The development of K 12 education in China has encountered a bottleneck.
According to the data of the Ministry of Education, by 2020, the number of students in the K 12 stage in China will reach 230 million, a year-on-year increase of 1.9%. Since 20 16, the number of students in education in 12 has increased at a low speed, even negatively, and the development of K 12 education is facing a bottleneck.
The proportion of high school students has declined.
According to the Statistical Bulletin of National Education Development in 2020 issued by the Ministry of Education, in 2020, the number of students with various academic qualifications will reach 283 million, an increase of 6.5438+0.000 million compared with 2065.438+09, with an increase of 0.35%. Among them, there are 24.945 million students in ordinary high schools, accounting for only 65.438+03.76%, which is 8.62 percentage points lower than that in 2065.438+05. The gross enrollment rate in senior high school is 965.438+0.2%, and the consolidation rate of nine-year compulsory education is 95.2%.
It is suggested that compulsory education should be gradually extended to senior high schools.
During 20021"Two Sessions", Wang Xuedian said that because high school education is not compulsory, many poor families in deep poverty-stricken areas before poverty alleviation could not afford education fees, which led to dropping out of school. "The state can take the lead in extending the nine-year compulsory education to the high school stage in the original poverty-stricken areas, so that more poor students have the opportunity to continue their education." At the same time, kindergarten education should be fully integrated into compulsory education, and it is suggested that twelve-year compulsory education should be gradually popularized in the original deep poverty areas.
Pupils are tired of growing up.
In 2020, the number of students in ordinary primary schools will be107254,000, with a year-on-year growth rate of 1.6%, down 0.5 percentage points from the previous year. This is the decline of growth rate for three consecutive years since 20 18. In addition to the decline in the number of new students, the problems existing in the development of primary education can not be ignored.
It is suggested that primary school students' homework be completely cancelled and class time be postponed.
During 20021"Two Sessions", Ma Guangyu said that the heavy homework burden of primary school students also led to the commercialization of compulsory education, students' mental health and other problems, which aggravated the family economic burden and students' psychological burden. The pressure of education has also objectively led to a sharp decline in young people's desire to have children.
It is suggested that primary school students' homework should be completely cancelled, the responsibility boundary between schools and parents should be clarified, and the time for primary school students to leave school should be postponed to coincide with that of parents, so that students can finish their homework before going home and reduce the burden on parents. At the same time, increase exercise and housework to enhance students' physique. In addition, experts and scholars should be organized to scientifically compile teaching materials and reduce written training.
The new population is declining rapidly.
In addition, with regard to the newborn population, influenced by factors such as China's separate two-child policy and comprehensive two-child policy released in 20 14 and 20 16 respectively, the birth will was released in 20 16, and the number of newborns in China reached a stage high in 2016. After 20 17, the two-child bonus gradually disappeared, and the number of newborns in China went from bad to worse. By 2020, only newborns 10035 million will be registered, a decrease of nearly 4.62 million compared with 20 19 years. It decreased by 3 1.5% year-on-year, the fastest decline in recent 10 years.
Note: The data in 2020 are reported by relevant media for reference only, subject to the authoritative announcement in the future.
The population of kindergartens is growing at a low speed.
The decline of newborn population leads to the lack of reserve motivation for kindergarten population growth. From 20 10 to 20 19, the number of kindergarten students in China is also increasing year by year, but from 2010/year, the growth rate has been declining, and it gradually recovered from 20 19. By 2020, the overall growth rate will remain low in these years.
It is suggested that kindergarten education should be fully integrated into compulsory education.
The current stage of compulsory education in China is from primary school to junior high school. Lin Yong suggested that kindergarten education should be included in compulsory education for all, so as to reduce the family burden of women of childbearing age. The country's money is limited, so it is better to start with the education of children, which is the foundation of our country and nation. "Lin Yong said.
In addition, Lin Yong also suggested vigorously developing nursery services for infants aged 0-3, issuing kindergarten education vouchers, rewarding families with many children, and alleviating the worries of raising children through family education.
To sum up, according to the proposal on 12-year compulsory education during the "two sessions", it is suggested that the length of compulsory education should be extended from kindergarten to high school.
-For more data, please refer to China K 12 Analysis Report on Market Foresight and Investment Strategic Planning of Education Industry by Forward-looking Industry Research Institute.