In the early years, I would tell them that they couldn't train good players because of the poor level of youth training, but I watched more and more news and learned more and more. For a while, I suddenly realized that the problem of football in China is probably not a problem of a certain aspect. Just like a person is seriously ill, not only because of bad luck, but also because of usual living habits and family genetic problems. Football in China is poor, not only in one aspect, but in all aspects, which has caused this situation.

But no matter how bad the football in China is, we always need to find the root of the problem, which is what I want to say today.

The football level of a country is closely related to the average level of professional football players in this country, and the average level of professional football players is closely related to the level of every professional football player, so from a certain point of view, we can simplify the problem to one person.

If you want to train a child into a professional football player, you need to let him get in touch with football, let him find happiness in football, and train him into a child who loves playing football and wants to devote himself to football in the future. Secondly, we will send him to a professional and formal youth training institution for training. After the guidance of the coach, the experience of the game, and numerous repeated exercises, you can become a professional football player.

So this is two stages. The first stage is the popularization stage, which trains a child into a child who wants to join football. The second stage is the youth training stage, which trains a child who wants to devote himself to football to become a professional football player.

This is only from a personal perspective. In a magnified view, there will be two efficiencies: the success rate of popularization and the success rate of youth training. The former determines how many children you can turn into football children, and the latter determines how many children you can turn into professional athletes.

These two efficiencies determine the number of professional athletes in a country, which naturally determines the football level of this country.

Of course, the process of turning children into players simply boils down to two efficiencies, which does sound a bit simplistic, but in fact, any aspect of football is related to these two efficiencies.

The achievements of the national team, the rise and fall of professional leagues, and the promotion of sports by football practitioners are related to the success rate of popularization; The level of youth training coaches, the number of youth training institutions and the quality of youth training competitions are related to the success rate of youth training.

The popularity of the Japanese cartoon soccer boy helped popularize Japanese football, and the excellent performance of South Korea in the 2002 World Cup helped popularize Korean football, while the formal and reasonable youth training norms of Japan and South Korea helped the success of these two countries in youth training.

Therefore, as long as these two key efficiencies can be solved, the level of the national football team can be improved.

Mathematically speaking, keeping other aspects unchanged, as long as either of these two efficiencies can be improved, the number of professional football players in China will increase, and the level of football in China should also be improved.

Although there are some problems in the youth football training in China, the success rate is much lower than that in Japan and South Korea, as long as we can do a good job of popularization, the number of our professional players can easily surpass that of Japan and South Korea, because the population of China far exceeds that of Japan and South Korea. According to the data of 20 15, there are as many as 320 million minors in China, but only 65438+200 million in Japan and 5 1 10,000 in South Korea.

On the other hand, if the current popularization rate is maintained, the youth training rate can be improved, and the number of professional players in China will also increase. Although the success rate of youth training always has a ceiling, as long as it can be improved, it will be an improvement for China football.

All the above are considered from a mathematical point of view. As long as any efficiency is improved, the total output will increase, but in fact, in reality, there is an implicit sequence here.

In recent years, China Football has been striving to improve the youth training rate, whether it is organizing training courses for youth training coaches or organizing competitions for youth training institutions, and forcing top league clubs to engage in youth training. These are all policies that try to improve the youth training rate, but to be honest, the effect is not obvious.

Then, if we aim at the popularization rate, what will happen if we make more efforts to popularize football?

There is no doubt that more children will like playing football, and at the same time, more children will want to take football as a career. These children will then choose a formal vocational youth training institution, whether it is a club football school or a youth training camp of the local football association. The income of these youth training institutions will increase, and the income of youth training coaches will also increase. After the market discovers that youth football training can bring benefits, more institutions and coaches will join in and try to share a piece of the action, which will bring competition between youth training institutions and coaches in the market.

In the competition, some youth training institutions stand out and some youth training institutions withdraw from the market; Some youth coaches have both fame and fortune, and some youth coaches have been defeated, which has led to the improvement of youth training at the grassroots level. With the increase of youth training institutions in the region, the possibility of competing with each other begins to increase. Youth training institutions don't need to focus only on U-series competitions organized by China Football Association. Provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions can try to hold some small-scale competitions. With the increase of competitions at the same level, the level of children will also improve.

In other words, if we increase the popularization rate, the whole youth training market will become bigger. On the contrary, it will form an internal attraction and competition mechanism for social forces, which will normalize the youth training rate and increase the number of professional players, which will help the national team to continue to improve.

This is the normal development path of football itself, because looking at the world football, you can't find a high-level football country with high success rate of youth training. Among all football powers, grassroots people have a high enthusiasm for football.

Therefore, in China, we must first solve the problem of football popularization.

The clue is found, and the next step is to solve the problem.

Sadly, the problems involved in football popularization are not only football problems, but also traditional concepts, education system, social security and many other factors. We must face up to the difficulties here.

Undoubtedly, the elimination rate of professional sports is much higher than that of other industries. In the current youth training environment of football in China, although the proportion of cultural classes has increased a lot, compared with western countries, we still have to choose between playing football and cultural classes. Once we are finally eliminated by professional sports, whether children can reintegrate into society has become the key reason to restrict the popularization rate.

In addition, we must admit that the grassroots in China still have some prejudices against football and even sports. Korean parents of Park Ji-sung Football School are also worried that their children will be injured in football activities. Parents in western countries are also worried about their children's football career, but they generally think that sports is also an education, and football is only a way to cultivate children's team spirit.

In China, I'm afraid most parents can't accept the idea that "sports is an education". For China's parents, football can be an interest, but if it affects their study or becomes a career, it is still a little crazy to think about it.

The idea of "campus football" in the past two years is really a good attempt in theory. Many schools have set up their own campus football teams, but some, even most, are still unwilling to participate in the U series organized by China Football Association, which makes campus football deviate from the original set track.

Campus football cannot be linked with professional football, so the core task of campus football as a supplement to professional football has become a decoration.

From the present stage, it seems that the "campus football" that has lasted for several years has come to an end, and from this incident, it can't change the society's distrust and neglect of the whole football industry, and this way can have little effect.

Of course, it is still difficult to reverse the uncertainty of parents about the future of the football industry and their lack of attention to physical education at this stage, but this does not mean that it is completely impossible.

From the statistical results, it is not accidental that the school-age children who received professional football youth training in the age group of 04 and 05 far exceeded the previous age group. Children born in 2004 and 2005, when they were 7 or 8 years old, coincided with the time when the Super League began to be highly market-oriented. However, two days ago, China beat Japan 0-4 in junior high school, and it took only 45 minutes for the opponent to get rid of us. However, when the school-age players in China junior high school received professional football training, it coincided with the lowest tide of "fake gambling on black" in China football.

Therefore, in the short term, our own professional league is still the easiest platform to attract parents. It is hard to say whether the league stage can attract parents after the New Deal. ...

Therefore, from a certain point of view, it is probably right to play football in China, because the number and enthusiasm of our children to participate in football are too low, which leads us to be in a dilemma of "short piles and big ones" in all aspects. It is not surprising that there are any unprofessional, irregular and unreasonable phenomena in this dilemma.

Japanese football population exceeds 1 10,000, with 500,000 professional players, while China's football population does not exceed 40,000, with less than 8,000 professional players. The gap is so obvious. With the development in recent years, the number of professional players in Vietnam has exceeded 50,000. ...

So I have always said: "China has great potential in football", but it is not a good word to say that there is great potential.