Since the new production of honeysuckle, honeysuckle in the north and south of the river has entered the batch delivery period, especially in Shandong, Henan, Hebei and other places, and there are many merchants negotiating the market. Indeed, due to the arrival of swine flu last year, the price of honeysuckle rose to a record high during SARS, with the highest price of high-quality green flowers reaching 760-800 yuan Jin and green flowers 860-900 yuan Jin. The flower market, such as the stock market, "goes down after a big rise", and many businesses expect honeysuckle to hit at a low price and start a new round of market. So what will happen to the honeysuckle market this year?

First, the overheating of honeysuckle market is the rapid development of production.

In 2009, the price of honeysuckle rose sharply, and farmers' income per mu reached 1 10,000 yuan to 20,000 yuan, which greatly stimulated farmers' enthusiasm for planting. They bought seedlings at high prices to develop production, and the area of new varieties in various places at least doubled, with output in two years. If the number of merchants and deep processing does not increase, the situation of oversupply will reappear. (Unless the planting fails in areas with high wages in rainy season)

Second, the new arrival of honeysuckle production, the market reflects the reasons for stability.

(a) last year, the consumption of honeysuckle was large, and the stock was not large.

Compared with four or five years ago, the sales of honeysuckle in tea and other health care fields have increased greatly. The sudden outbreak of swine flu greatly increased the demand, boosted the market and reduced the inventory in the producing areas.

(2) The change of farmers' thinking and the improvement of economic concept have slowed down the fluctuation of the market.

In recent years, the government has increased its support for economic development in mountainous areas, planting honeysuckle in large areas in mountainous areas such as Hubei, Chongqing, Guizhou, Zhejiang, Hunan and Jiangxi. After the price of honeysuckle rose sharply last year, the management was strengthened, the yield per unit area increased and the output increased. However, farmers have more income channels and become richer. Compared with going out to work or other income, the price is too low to sell. The price of honeysuckle in Hebei Julu production area is higher than before10-20 yuan, and there is no abnormal phenomenon that new honeysuckle is sold at a low price.

The output of honeysuckle has not increased much this year.

The production of Lonicera japonica Thunb developed rapidly, and the output only increased greatly during 20 12-20 13. The output of honeysuckle increased this year because farmers strengthened management, and the weather was good, but the output did not increase much.

With the deepening of honeysuckle production and the increase of market volume, the price decline is the trend. It is estimated that the price of honeysuckle will not be too low this year. Only in this way can we safeguard the interests of farmers and promote the healthy development of production.

Third, the price of honeysuckle actually depends on whether the weather can make you have a good harvest.

Like the drought and flood disasters in Guangxi, Yunnan and Guizhou provinces and cities this year, the output of honeysuckle will be swallowed up by half, and more importantly, whether growers can accept the new round of market prices. Accepting means that money has a future, giving up means losing money, and another is whether the government image project can be transformed, otherwise the development will fail.