The basic analysis method belongs to strategic analysis and is often used in value evaluation as a reference for whether to invest at present; Technical analysis belongs to tactical analysis, which is mostly used as a reference for short-term investment behavior; Because the change of the stock itself always reflects the psychological change of investors' investment sentiment, the trend often begins to change with this change. In order to make up for the one-sidedness and deficiency of basic analysis and technical analysis, psychological analysis is introduced as a reference. The three influence each other and complement each other. Once investors with one investment angle become the relative majority of current market participants, the market trend will change with this direction, and will be more and more recognized by market participants with other psychology, and the trend will become more and more obvious.
As far as stock forecasting is concerned, the three are not important, and over-reliance on any one of them will lead to subjective errors in the forecasting results.
For example, as far as the current A-share market is concerned, the resistance level of the 5-day, 10, 20-day, 30-day and 60-day moving averages has been completely broken down without any resistance. At this time, if you still hold technical analysis and think that the next resistance level has support, is it meaningless?
If you want to predict the trend next week, it depends on what kind of investors are leading the current trend. The so-called "the one who tied the bell is needed to untie the bell". Basic school? No, the global economy is relatively stable at present, and there is no major turning point; Technical school? No, if the technical faction is dominant, the 60-day moving average, which is the watershed between bull and bear, will not be easily broken down; It seems that only the psychology school is left. Anyway, the panic plate has been smashed for two days. Technically, it's just a floating chip, which can't shake the previous shock adjustment trend at all.
Based on the above analysis, we can draw a conclusion that next week's trend will be suppressed first and then raised, and then the previous shock consolidation trend will be restored. Operation strategy: When the inertia drops at the opening on Monday, choose the stocks with a large decline in the previous period to intervene and sell them after resuming the rise.