The outbreak of COVID-19 epidemic in early 2020 had a great impact on the domestic and international economic development, and also had different degrees of impact on the domestic and international air transport passenger and freight development.
-The passenger transport market fell off a cliff.
During the COVID-19 epidemic, travel restrictions and isolation policies had a great impact on the domestic and international air passenger transport market.
From the perspective of the global market, IATA predicts that the global air passenger traffic will plummet to 654.38+08 billion in 2020, which is 60.5% lower than the 4.5 billion in 2065.438+09, and the passenger revenue is expected to be less than one third of the revenue in 2065.438+09.
From the domestic market, from 20 10 to 20 19, the passenger load factor of China's civil aviation generally showed an upward trend, with an average of 83.2% in 20 19 and 72.0% in 2020+00-09, which was the lowest level in recent ten years, reflecting the domestic situation.
-The freight market recovered strongly.
On the one hand, the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on the air cargo market is reflected in the sharp contraction of the passenger transport market, which leads to the decline of passenger aircraft's abdominal load capacity; On the other hand, the transportation of epidemic prevention materials during the epidemic, the vigorous development of e-commerce under the home office mode and the increase in the number of all cargo planes have promoted the rapid growth of air freight demand. Compared with air passenger transport, air freight has a strong recovery trend.
From the global market, the performance of air freight is obviously better than that of passenger transport, but it is still lower than 20 19. IATA predicts that the freight volume will be 54.2 million tons in 2020, which is10/0.58% lower than that of 2013 million tons.
From the domestic market, from March to June, 2020, CAAC approved all-cargo overtime charter flights 1, 794, 2225, 2083 and 1 respectively, with year-on-year growth of 40 1. 1%, 476.4% and 574% respectively. In 2020 1- 1 1 10,000 tons, the monthly cumulative freight volume has recovered to nearly 90% of the same period in 20 19.
-The epidemic situation has less impact on air freight than on passenger transport market.
Judging from the cumulative growth trend of domestic air passenger transport and freight from June 5438+0 to June 5438+0/kloc-0 in 2020, compared with the passenger transport market, the decline of freight transport is relatively mild. By the end of 1 1, the recovery degree of domestic air passenger transport market was still less than half of that of the same period in 20 19.
Judging from the growth of civil aviation cargo and mail turnover, from June to September, 2020, the cargo and mail turnover of civil aviation was168.9 billion tons kilometers, down1/0.8% year-on-year, and the passenger turnover was 4 122 billion person kilometers, down 82.9% year-on-year. Compared with air freight, the air passenger transport market is seriously frustrated.
-For more logistics industry-related planning and data analysis, please refer to Forward-looking Logistics Industry Research Institute.