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Ding Wei's thesis in the military academy in the novel Liang Jian.
On China's national defense priorities (about1954):

Examiners and comrades. When you have a detailed and in-depth understanding of a country's geography, you will have a clearer understanding of the country's national defense policy and strategic defense priorities. A neighbor you can rely on and trust is China's survival interest.

I want to make an analogy, for example, a big family with four generations living under one roof, so who is the most loyal in this family? An elderly grandfather, of course. His life has filled the family with cohesion. If one day, grandpa dies, what should I do? Will this family fall apart because of this? The answer is yes. In this leaderless situation, the brothers at home are bound to split up and start a new stove.

From this I come to a conclusion that the stability of a big family is relative. Division is inevitable.

Examiner: Comrade Ding Wei, what are you trying to say?

Ding Wei: Sorry, please listen to me patiently.

What I want to say is: Under the grand strategic pattern of today's world, the key issue of China's national defense.

I want to ask you a question: Who can guarantee that our territory will not be invaded by foreign enemies in the next ten to twenty years? I'm afraid no one will make such a guarantee, so who will be our enemy? I don't know if this is a problem that I and everyone here must face. A problem that must be considered and paid attention to.

Ok, let's set the possible enemies in the future as-imaginary enemies-ABC three countries.

Look at the map: The direct threat to the southern part of our territory is the Kuomintang army in Taiwan Province Province and the islands it occupies. The indirect threat is the Seventh Fleet of Country A stationed in the Strait of Taiwan Province Province. With the current military situation in Taiwan Province Province, it is difficult to wage a big war. At best, it is only a local limited war, and country A has just signed an armistice agreement in Panmunjom, North Korea, and it is unable to fight again in a short time. Moreover, due to the limitation of national system and many other factors, country A will not be easily involved in large-scale wars.

Look at the eastern part of our country, country B. During World War II, the military industry of country B was completely destroyed, and it is difficult to make a comeback in 20 years. So from the perspective of national defense, I think the defense focus of China's inland territory should be the northwest, north and northeast borders. The imaginary enemy country we may face in the future is country C.