20 16,6543810.5, the forecasting science research center of China academy of sciences released the economic forecast of China in 2016. According to the forecast, China's economy will maintain steady growth in 20 16, and the GDP growth rate will be around 6.7%, which is about 0.2 percentage points lower than that in 20 15. When it comes to real estate, especially the housing price that people are most concerned about, the report predicts that the price of commercial housing will rise steadily in 20 16 years, continuing the trend of 20 15 years, and the average selling price of commercial housing is predicted to be about 70 10 yuan/square meter, up by 3.9% year-on-year.

The report also shows that under the influence of the regulatory policies in the first half of 20 15, the transaction volume of the real estate market has declined seriously. In the second half of the year, in order to stimulate the real estate market and digest more and more accumulated inventory, relevant regulatory policies began to loosen and the real estate market began to pick up.

"Looking forward to 20 16, there are many factors that affect the trend of the real estate market in China." Yang Cuihong, a researcher at the Center for Predictive Science of Chinese Academy of Sciences, pointed out that in 20 16 years, both the supply and demand sides began to show signs of improvement. From the supply side, under the moderately loose monetary policy, the market liquidity will increase, the sales of commercial housing will improve, and the capital situation of housing enterprises will improve.

At the same time, the state has implemented a proactive fiscal policy and increased the indicators of livelihood projects such as the renovation of affordable housing shanty towns, and the indicators of newly started area may be improved. From the demand side, under the loose credit policy, residents' ability to pay and willingness to buy houses will be enhanced, and the implementation of destocking measures will promote the transaction rate of commercial housing.

In the long run, the total population, population growth rate, population structure, population migration and other factors have an important impact on the current situation, future development trend or potential risks of the real estate market; The new urbanization is closely related to the supply and demand of the real estate market, which affects the demand structure, overall spatial layout and balance of supply and demand of the real estate market, and the real estate price is in the rising range for a long time; The reform of real estate registration system and household registration system is the key to accelerate the construction of a long-term mechanism for government real estate regulation and control. The "Belt and Road" strategy and the integration of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei will promote the all-round development of the real estate market.

(The above answers were published on 20 16-0 1-06. Please refer to the actual situation for the current purchase policy. )

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