The largest and strongest country among the few countries that continue to implement the socialist system. Moreover, through more than 20 years of reform and opening up, China has been positioning the primary task of the state machine as economy for nearly 30 years.
Focusing on construction, it quickly jumped from the bottom of the "ten-year catastrophe" and developed rapidly all the way. Its rapid economic recovery and expanding economic strength have become a new bright spot of world economic development. At the same time, China' s politics and
The orientation of foreign affairs, culture and other elements gradually moves closer to international rules and gradually integrates into the international community. China, with its comprehensive national strength and rising international status, is playing an increasingly important role in world affairs.
Use, its influence is becoming more and more important and can not be ignored.
From the changes in the international society and political system in the short term after the Cold War, we can see that the rise of China has brought truth to China.
With the role of Russia as a "doomsday empire" during this period and the long-term concealment of structural differences and conflicts between the United States and Europe, Sino-US relations seem to have returned to the initial stage of contact between the two countries. that is
A dialogue between an emerging country and a traditional big country, but their positions have turned 180 degrees. The emerging United States has become a rising China, and the "global power" of the Qing Empire is called "global".
Sexual empire. "History will never repeat itself, but it will often" reappear "in different time and space or in the same space, and with the passage of time," reappeared history "will often have more interpretations to complicate and increase it.
Analyzed many uncertain factors and created many equal futures.
Undeniably, the environment in which Sino-US relations are located and the present situation of the two countries are indeed similar to that of18th century.
From the last leaf to the beginning of the nineteenth century, but this should be regarded as the superficial status quo. With the progress of economic globalization, the international system is more closely linked, the trend of global political diplomacy is more obvious, and internal conflicts are covered up by appearances.
Compared with history, it is very prominent. The appearance and obvious presentation of internal contradictions enable people to influence and act on historical laws with a clearer mind and create a broader space for politicians of various countries. Therefore, China and the United States are expected.
This relationship is likely to take the historical law of emerging countries' hegemony over traditional countries as the main line and criterion, and show a wave-like progress under the influence of decisions made by government politicians and heads of state in combination with information elements. Of course, because the United States is
All kinds of non-traditional phenomena in this unique "global empire" expressed by "imperialism theory" do not rule out the long-term existence of this "American empire period" If this assumption holds, the relationship between China and the United States and the development of the two countries will be
The luxury of exhibition space and even the future of the two countries will, for the first time, step out of the scope of historical laws, get rid of its shackles and embark on the second road of long-term US domination of the world. As a rising China,
The situation and status of "emerging powers" may be stifled under this system, which is certainly a road that China does not want to see and embark on. Perhaps it can be understood as China's intrinsic motivation to advocate a multipolar world.
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As mentioned above, Sino-US relations generally have two development directions. These two development directions are based on historical laws and the interaction between the two countries. However, the international community is increasingly globalized, even if the only superpower
The United States should also maintain and make use of the existing international system and order in contradictions. Events in any corner of the world or decisions made by any country will affect other countries and nations to varying degrees (introducing the concept of nation is
As one of the founding concepts of European countries, that is, "nation state", although the world today is dominated by sovereign States, it does not rule out that the conceptualization of nations has an impact on national politics, diplomacy and even the world.
This is directly related to their interests in the region. Therefore, according to the traditional norms or concepts of relations, it is somewhat narrow to analyze and predict the development of bilateral relations only based on the relations between the two countries. It is necessary to analyze the trend of Sino-US relations.
It must be from the following aspects: the maintenance of American global hegemony; The maintenance and destruction of the existing international order by the United States; Russia; The role of Europe in Sino-US relations; China's own economic influence and pragmatic diplomacy; Iraq war
The impact of the incident on global and Sino-US relations; Permanence of the problem in Taiwan Province Province.
1. Maintain global hegemony
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The analysis of the so-called maintenance of American global hegemony is actually to look at the length of time for the United States, the only global country, to maintain its dominance under the current international order. At the same time, it cannot be ruled out that the United States is right.
Implicit infiltration and indirect influence on other parts of the world. If the two are skillfully combined, the hegemony of the United States is likely to last for a long time, and it is not an exaggeration to judge that it will last for one to two centuries.
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Looking back at history, there are four empires that really have influence on the world: the Roman Empire, the Chinese Empire, the First Empire of France and the British Empire. (Note: Global influence does not mean that these four empires are "global countries".
Among them, the Roman empire and the Han empire in the Chinese imperial system almost existed at the same time, which was vaguely known by the Parthian empire ruled by Persia and the Guishuang empire ruled by Afghanistan and northwest India.
Know each other's existence. The two empires have the following similarities: imperial power is based on a hierarchy composed of vassal States, protectorates and colonies, and people outside the empire who are generally regarded as barbarians.
On the basis; Economy is a single self-sufficient economy; Exert strength through complex political and economic organization system; Strong sense of cultural superiority; The system is independent and self-sufficient, isolated and not challenged by any external organized opponents.
The Chinese empire itself has some characteristics: centralized political authority and unified bureaucratic system. For the first time, the British empire achieved global hegemony through maritime power. London has become a major financial and trade center in the world.
Easy center. The British opened the way with trade, and then the national flag followed. However, as the world hegemon, the population is relatively small, and it does not control Europe, but only balances European power. (Note: Europe has a long history in the world.
As the geopolitical center of Eurasia, compared with the first two regional empires, it is not a global empire. Earlier before it, the French First Empire almost established its true hegemony in Europe.
That's right. If Napoleon succeeds, he will probably become the first big country to dominate the world. But Napoleon was defeated by seven anti-French alliances.
In contrast to the above situation, the scope and omnipresence of global power in the United States today is unique. If we don't stick to the conceptual definition, we can find that except for the self-sufficient economic structure and isolated system, the United States has all the characteristics of the above four empires and "controls" Europe. In addition, the United States has many advantages that the former does not have.
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China's economic vitality stands out among the economies of all other countries, providing the necessary preconditions for the United States to play a leading role in the world. After the war, the American economy exceeded 50% of the world's gross national product! Cold war intersection
At that time, the proportion of the United States in the global gross national product, especially the share of manufacturing production, had been fixed at around 30%, which was the proportion for most of the 20th century, except for a few years after the war.
The average value of. Backed by the economy, the United States has maintained or even expanded its leading position in using the latest scientific breakthroughs for military purposes, thus theoretically establishing the only position that can effectively exert its influence in the world.
Troops. In the field of residential technology, which plays a decisive role in the economy, the United States has also maintained a strong competitive advantage. The United States has mastered the cutting-edge areas of the future economy, which means that the United States is in an advantageous position in technology.
Can be quickly updated and lost, and maintain an advantage over major competitors in productivity.