The communiqué of the Fifth Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee proposed on the 29th that family planning should be adhered to.

Basic national policy, perfect population development strategy and fully implement monogamy.

Women can have two children and actively implement policies to deal with the aging population.

Action. Experts generally believe that this move is conducive to promoting the average population in China.

Balanced development.

"As an important step in adjusting and improving the birth policy, the two-child policy alone.

The policy implementation is basically in line with expectations. "Family planning base of the National Health Planning Commission.

Zhuang, director of the layer guidance department, said that the smooth implementation of two children alone is progress.

The one-step adjustment and improvement of the birth policy has laid a solid foundation.

"Born in the first year after the implementation of the comprehensive two-child policy during the 13 th Five-Year Plan period,

The population will have a small peak of 20 million to 23 million. "Nankai University

Yuan Xin, a professor at the Institute of Population and Development, believes that the second child should be fully liberalized.

Under the one-child policy, in terms of population, the total population will increase appropriately.

The peak in 2029-2030 will reach 65.438+0.45 billion. fourteen

In the fifth period, it entered a stage of slow decline and gradual stability.

Expected policy

After implementation, the population replacement level will gradually reach the normal level of 1.8.

That's right.

In addition to balancing the sex ratio at birth, the implementation of the comprehensive two-child policy has also slowed down.

Understanding the aging population in China will also play a positive role. Yuan Xin believes that,

The implementation of the comprehensive two-child policy in the middle of this century will make the level of aging

It decreased by 65,438 0.5 percentage points, which is the short-term sum of the population aging level.

The medium-term impact is not obvious, and the long-term decline is more significant.

Furthermore, it is conducive to optimizing the family structure. Under the influence of industrialization, urbanization and family planning policies, the family model in China tends to be simple, nuclear and childless. Parents and children no longer live under the same roof, children lack the support of brothers and sisters economically and spiritually, and traditional family functions gradually weaken and disappear. What followed was the increase of empty-nest families and families who lost their independence. Fully liberalizing the two children can improve the family structure to a certain extent, which is conducive to the development of family economic and social functions and the education of children.