Professor Ceng Guang: Maybe by 2023, Professor Ceng Guang, a member of the National Health Commission Senior Expert Group and the chief epidemiologist of China CDC, said in an interview with the Health Times reporter that COVID-19 has become a "resident virus".
Before the COVID-19 vaccine went on the market, this period of time could be called the first stage of human struggle with COVID-19; We can call it the second stage after the COVID-19 vaccine goes on the market. As for when the global epidemic will turn to an inflection point, we need to look at it in the second stage according to the epidemic development, COVID-19 mutation and vaccine popularization.
When can I completely return to my life before the COVID-19 epidemic? Professor Ceng Guang predicted that the vaccine will not be widely inoculated in COVID-19 until 2023, and COVID-19 may become similar to the "influenza virus". Every year, it is necessary to do a good job of protection and vaccination according to the virus variation and epidemic season. By then, the whole world may basically be able to return to its pre-epidemic life.
The epidemic of 202 1 cannot be completely ended, because the global epidemic is still serious. Although the epidemic prevention and control in China is relatively good, foreign countries do not take the epidemic seriously, and even do not wear masks when traveling. COVID-19 mutates again and again, so the end time is unknown. Because of the epidemic situation in China, the prevention and control efforts have also increased, so we must not take off masks and do daily protection.
I compiled experts' predictions on the end time of the epidemic as follows:
Prediction one. Zhang Wenhong said: The epidemic is not over yet, and the global epidemic may last for one or two years, which means that the whole world may restart in the next three months or three months.
Prediction 2. Zhang Boli said: We should prevent death this autumn and winter. Multiple outbreaks and local outbreaks cannot be completely avoided, so we need to be vigilant. The main reason is that many countries have begun to have a new round of epidemics, some of which are the third wave and some are the fourth wave. Although we have taken measures to prevent imports, we can't completely close our doors, and more and more people are coming back.
Prediction three. Hans, director of the European Department of the World Health Organization, said: Only when the global vaccination rate reaches 70% can the epidemic in COVID-19 end, and it will not end completely, but there is no possibility of a large-scale epidemic, and there will still be the possibility of a small-scale outbreak in some areas, just like the current domestic epidemic in China.