TPP is a Pacific strategic economic partnership agreement. At present, it includes 65,438+02 member countries around the Pacific Ocean. This free trade agreement, which "affects 40% of the global economy", only lacks China's economy, which inevitably makes people at home and abroad talk about it.

Among the terms of TPP, the most concerned is the "zero tariff" clause, which stipulates that when trading between member countries, the import tariffs on all goods will be cancelled. Zhang Jianping, the National Development and Reform Commission, said recently that the conclusion of the TPP agreement will have a certain negative impact on China's trade and exports, as well as national income, or it will lead to employment reduction and industrial loss. Although some experts say that the impact of TPP on China's economy is quite limited, it cannot be ignored that TPP agreement will have different degrees of impact and influence on six major industries in China.

Agricultural products and basic industries

After TPP comes into effect, it will have a certain impact on China's agricultural products and basic industries. Members of TPP, such as Vietnam, Chile and Peru, are all big agricultural countries, and their main trade types include agriculture, fisheries, forestry and mining. Wang Yiming of Xiamen University School of Economics recently said that agricultural products and basic industries in China will be greatly affected, which may involve the employment of hundreds of thousands or even millions of people. At the same time, the areas where these products are produced will also be greatly affected.

Wang Yiming believes that China's measures to deal with the impact of agricultural products and basic industries are to shift exports to domestic demand, improve the impact capacity of China's economic system, and consolidate bilateral and multilateral economic and trade cooperation with ASEAN, Japan and South Korea.

Textile and garment industry

The special trade agreement of TPP is to cancel tariffs on textiles and clothing exported by TPP countries. China's textile and garment industry, as a labor-intensive industry, will certainly be affected to some extent. Among TPP member countries, Vietnam, Peru, Mexico and other textile powers will cancel tariffs and enhance the competitiveness of these countries' textile industries. Mike, a cost researcher at Gordon School of Finance and Economics, believes that due to cost considerations, orders originally belonging to China will be transferred to TPP member countries, so that TPP member countries will win more clothing market share from China and the textile industry of member countries will develop rapidly.

In fact, in recent years, with the increase of the comprehensive cost of domestic textiles and garments, the export business of China's textiles and garments industry has been struggling. After the implementation of TPP agreement, it will bring considerable influence to the textile and garment industry.

automotive industry

After the TPP comes into effect, the two major automobile manufacturers, the United States and Japan, will have closer cooperation. After zero tariff, it will promote the automobile trade between the United States and Japan to varying degrees. The Southeast Asian market is the home base of Japanese cars, and the United States is expected to get a slice of it. Although China's automobile trade has achieved a deficit dominated by domestic demand in 20 14, it will still have a certain impact on China's automobile enterprises. Some auto companies may be faced with transferring the production line of auto parts to Southeast Asian countries, which have their own advantages in raw materials.

However, it cannot be ignored that China's automobile industry chain is still highly competitive in the world. As the world's largest automobile market, China's automobile parts will not be transferred on a large scale in a short time.

Dairy processing industry

Among TPP member countries, New Zealand and Australia are big animal husbandry countries. New Zealand mainly exports dairy products, meat and forest products, while Australia mainly exports agriculture and animal husbandry, wool and mutton, and mining. Once the TPP agreement comes into effect, it will have a certain impact on the export of dairy products made in China.

It should be noted that New Zealand, as a big exporter of dairy products, currently has one third of dairy products flowing to the China market, while China, as the largest market in New Zealand, will not cease to abide by the previous trade agreement with China just because it joins the TPP.

Electronic product manufacturing industry

After the implementation of TPP agreement, Malaysian and Vietnamese members may have little influence on China's electronic product manufacturing industry. At present, most of the household appliances in these countries are produced in China, and many countries in Southeast Asia do not use China brand household appliances. However, China, ASEAN and China-ROK free trade agreements should be actively promoted to benefit China's electronics manufacturing industry.

Cross-border e-commerce industry

Cross-border e-commerce trade has broken through geographical and policy restrictions and is a brand-new trade model for global consumers. As one of the future trade trends, the landing of TPP will not have much impact on the cross-border e-commerce industry in China. At present, the transaction volume of cross-border e-commerce in China is far less than that of traditional commodities, but cross-border e-commerce is booming. The staff of Alibaba's cross-border B2C business unit said that if China's strong consumer market is placed in front of TPP member countries, they may be more open to the China market, and China may create a new trade rule through cross-border e-commerce in the future.