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Read a dream for ten years.
After reading a dream for ten years, I tried to pursue the ability of short-term speculation. I fully understand that if we want to succeed in short-term speculation, we must face human weakness, fear and greed. These games are hard to overcome. I think that if we can face up to these problems and weaknesses and successfully overcome them, it means that our short-term ability is perfect. These are my previous views.

A dream in ten years has two sides: rational and irrational. Neither will disappear completely. And my above point of view is to completely kill my irrational side? Looking back now, is it possible? If it is really possible to kill the irrational side, then, strictly speaking, I am no longer a person. As it happens, Wu just published a blog: "OK, that's right! An excellent professional trader, he is a trading robot without any emotion. All his operations are strictly in accordance with his own technical trading principles. If it is in a factory, then this transaction mode can be summarized as: programming, standardization and assembly line ".

That's true, but if we look at it from a longer-term perspective, Wu's explanation has obvious defects! People will never be machines! As long as a person is alive, he will be more or less influenced by society and the surrounding environment. Even if you can mechanize for 20 years, after 20 years, because you are used to mechanization, or a sudden irrational move, such people will be driven to the wall. Even when a person is mechanized to a certain extent, he will think, why should I stock? Now that you have evolved into a robot, you must have no desire, so will you still go to stock market? Isn't this a contradiction? In other words, from the perspective of others, if you see a robot trading stocks, then you must know that he is not trading stocks for himself, but being manipulated to make profits for others! This is one situation, and the other is. Such people often think that they have completely killed irrationality and that they are a completely rational person. Then one day, because irrationality is awakened in a state of "completely rational thinking", this person will destroy himself.

However, it is feasible to have a perfect state. The premise is that people cannot absolutely deny rationality and irrationality. However, a person can make himself in an extremely rational state in the first half of his life through his own efforts, and choose to awaken the irrational side again in the second half of his life to truly be a person. I'm afraid this state is impossible to achieve.

Therefore, I don't think I need to fight against the sky and kill all the irrational side in order to pursue the ability of short-term speculation. Because I know that no matter how good the short-term result (relative to a lifetime, the short-term can be within 20 years) is, in the end, it will still be a bad day, and I will hate it all my life. Why did you kill yourself in the first place?

This result may be very similar to that of Jesse Lee Murphy. The book "Kizawa" came at the right time and solved a long-standing problem in my heart. That is the choice of speculative style. Short term? Midline? Long line? I will choose the center line. In the short term, people's subjective initiative is overemphasized, while in the long term, people's subjective initiative is neglected. Only the middle line is just right, follow the trend and overcome greed and fear.

Kizawa also said that speculation is his own enemy. I don't think this statement is correct enough. Speculation is not to defeat yourself, but to know yourself, to know human nature and to know yourself.

Rifmer said, you are a first-class loser, so you are a first-class winner. If you are willing to give up 99% of the opportunities, you can get the opportunities that really belong to you. For the stock market, the authorities are obsessed with bystanders. Keep a certain distance. No, it's not far. Take the middle route.