The trade war is only the part of Sino-US relations where icebergs above sea level can be directly seen. There must be comprehensive considerations and connections: economic strength, scientific and technological innovation ability, financial influence and radiation, military confrontation considering extreme situations, and soft power contest. From this perspective, China is far from reaching the platform of confrontation with the United States.
Rational discussion must consider how to deal with the so-called qualitative change of Sino-US relations when China is far from reaching the strength to confront the United States. In this new stage, competition may be the key word, the main tone, but it may also be the enemy without fighting, which may indicate that the intensity of friction and conflict is high or low in this process.
China's improper handling has accelerated the arrival of such a thing that will come sooner or later. This is our mistake. It doesn't seem to be meaningful to discuss this matter more, but it is worth thinking about whether our rational attitude can be improved a little.
Blindly high-profile high-profile, "awesome, my country", and finally some people said that the actual situation of ZTE incident was "pinching my neck", which brought out many of our passive factors.
Sino-American relations have developed to the present. If we make a summary, I think we have entered a new stage. The key words are competition and "playing tricks", and this stage has long-term characteristics. There is no way. Competition under the guidance of the law of the jungle is the basic feature now.
Although the new stage of Sino-US relations is similar to the past Cold War, it is possible to avoid falling into a situation similar to the Cold War.
American containment policy towards China
The American strategy to contain China did not begin in the last two years, but was formed in the mid-1990s. In other words, the strategic elite of the United States realized as early as 20 years ago that this civilization-based conflict between China and the United States was inevitable.
The most typical one is the book Clash of Civilizations published by Huntington in 1994. It is mentioned in the book that the most urgent conflict facing western civilization is of course from Islamic civilization. He predicted that the two major civilizations will break out at the beginning of the next century, and his judgment is very accurate. But at the same time, he believes that the threat from Islamic civilization is not fundamental, because Islamic civilization is disunited and there is no core force to challenge the United States.
Huntington borrowed a positioning of Lee Kuan Yew 1994, saying that China is the biggest participant in history, and her arrival will change and rebalance the world order. So Huntington, like Lee Kuan Yew, saw the scale of China and the challenges that this scale may bring to the old world order ruled by the West, so Huntington said this in the preface to Clash of Civilizations:
"If China's political stability is maintained for 20 years and China's rapid economic growth is maintained for 20 years, China's challenge to the world order at that time is certain.".
Refer to the above content: Phoenix. On Sino-US Relations from the Perspective of "Hundred Years of Change"
He Xun. Com- How to understand and correctly grasp Sino-US relations?