Whether the number of universities in major provinces and cities is sufficient is related to the population of each place. If the population increases, the number of places will be tight and insufficient.
However, there has been a negative population growth. Without so many people, not only will the number of study places not be tense at all, but there will even be a surplus. According to relevant information, the population of China has changed from positive growth to negative growth.
Moreover, there will be a birth population in 2022, which is less than the total number of college students in that year. According to official statistics, the enrollment of 202 1 ordinary undergraduate colleges is 4,446,600.
The number of students enrolled in higher vocational colleges is 4 1.400, and the number of students enrolled in higher vocational colleges is 5,525,800 (including 452,000 students enrolled in five-year higher vocational colleges).
In this way, the enrollment scale of undergraduate and junior college students in 202 1 0013200 is as high as13200, which is more than 400,000 people born in 2022.
According to this change, experts predict that many universities will close down in the future? If the negative population growth has not changed and has not returned to the previous growth changes, it shows that the relevant predictions of experts are reasonable.
To say that the impact is better, there is no doubt that colleges and private universities will be more prone to the crisis of bankruptcy, and good universities naturally do not worry about students.
In the future, colleges and private colleges with less requirements for the quality of students will have a greater impact on college enrollment.
Of course, this is a prediction of the future, but the situation will not change in a short time after a few years.
Entering university is an important identity change for students, and students must make a good screening on this issue.
If a student's university is not well screened, he can easily enter a university he doesn't like so much. In order to avoid being screened to a university he doesn't like, students need to be prepared in the screening process.
Then where is their way out?
1, vigorously develop vocational education
It has long-term necessity and short-term urgency.
Education, as the cause of cultivating qualified socialist successors, plays an irreplaceable key role in ensuring the scale of employed labor force, comprehensive quality and skill training. Under the background of China's economic development entering a new era, many industries in manufacturing and service industries are facing profound changes, and it is urgent to upgrade to the direction of independent control of the whole industry chain, high-quality advanced manufacturing, high-knowledge technology and added value of professional services. In this historical process, vocational education undertakes the historical mission of training and transporting high-quality talents corresponding to majors for various industries, and its high-speed and high-quality development has long-term necessity.
2. Improve the strategic orientation of vocational education, improve quality and cultivate excellence in multiple dimensions.
Due to the short time of vocational education, with the industrial transformation and upgrading, secondary vocational school students have received shallow technical and theoretical training, which is difficult to adapt to the strong demand of enterprises for technical and skilled talents and emerging service industries. The overall salary of students is low, and the satisfaction of employers in enterprises is not high. Higher vocational education is limited to junior college, and the way to upgrade from junior college to undergraduate college is narrow, while the level of undergraduate and postgraduate education in general education is high, and the academic level is quite different from that in junior college. Under the social atmosphere of attaching importance to academic qualifications, higher vocational graduates are at an obvious disadvantage in employment competition. Therefore, the lack of opportunities to receive higher education makes vocational education less attractive than ordinary education, and it is labeled as "inferior", "helpless choice" and "inferior".
3. Long-term planning of connotation development and broad space of vocational education track.
The income sources of traditional private schools are mainly students' tuition and accommodation fees, and the scale of a single school is restricted by the investment in fixed assets such as land, buildings and teaching equipment. The scale of running a listed company will also be limited by the number of school licenses. The expansion of the number of schools is subject to strict regulatory restrictions.
Merger and acquisition (M&A) is one of the main ways for private colleges and universities to expand in the past few years, but it needs strong financial strength and outstanding M&A integration ability. At this stage, it may be difficult to carry out M&A projects in the market environment where prices are upside down. If the self-built model is adopted, a series of applications need to be approved in the early stage. The initial investment includes land lease, campus construction and other expenses, and the payback period of the investment is generally more than 8- 10 years, which tests the comprehensive ability of school operators.