In the future, it will be an inevitable trend to increase the popularization rate of higher education, and the chances of people willing to attend universities will increase a lot, but this does not mean that competition will be weakened, and good universities will still be fierce competition.
In the context of the shrinking "student cake", it is not easy to draw a conclusion about who will face resistance or even "close the door" in the future. However, from the trend, schools that can't meet the needs of social talents, have low efficiency and poor quality of running schools are more likely to fall into the "student crisis" first.
Good university enrollment is no problem. Higher vocational colleges and private colleges will be greatly influenced by enrollment in the future. Even if the number of people taking the college entrance examination will drop sharply in the future, some schools will face the pressure of closing down, but there will be no competition for taking the college entrance examination, and everyone will go to college. On the one hand, not everyone has the will to go to college: some people will take the initiative to choose vocational schools or get employment in advance.
It is not uncommon for the college entrance examination to be difficult under the low fertility rate. Take South Korea as an example. According to data recently released by the Korea Statistics Bureau, the number of people born in Korea decreased by 4.4% in 2022 compared with the previous year, which is the lowest since the relevant records were recorded in Korea. Compared with China, South Korea entered the situation of low birth rate earlier, but the competition for examination of quality education in South Korea is still fierce.
College entrance examination qualification:
① High school graduates from foreign language middle schools approved by the Ministry of Education 16 (the number of students enrolled in foreign language middle schools has gradually decreased since 20 16).
② A fresh high school graduate won the first prize in the Olympic Games and was selected for training in the Olympic National Team.
③ Excellent students at the provincial level.
④ Retired athletes who meet the requirements of race walking.
Children of police heroes.