Are you familiar with such a scene? However, you may not realize that there is actually a shadow of artificial intelligence behind this.
Of course, these are not the whole of artificial intelligence.
Status quo—
Artificial intelligence already exists.
"Humans will eventually make computers intelligent and far superior to human brains." This is a farewell letter from Qilu, a computer graduate of Fudan University, from 65438 to 0987.
Today, Qilu, president and chief operating officer of Baidu Group, is experiencing the ups and downs and great changes of artificial intelligence with thousands of programmers and hundreds of millions of people.
From the "Xiao Bing" that you can chat with to the smart speaker that can help you turn on the TV, from machine translation to intelligent education, from face-brushing payment to driverless, from wearable devices to intelligent medical care ... Artificial intelligence has entered human life in an all-round way, widely penetrated into all fields of production and life, and constantly refreshed people's imagination.
In the field of news, personalized recommendation based on big data and artificial intelligence has become the standard of many news apps, and production tools such as writing robots and intelligent video scissors are also emerging;
In the field of education, artificial intelligence has been applied to correcting homework, teaching English and other teaching projects, and exploring the personalized learning mode of "personal tailor" and "thousands of people";
In the field of speech recognition and translation, translation software has been able to support the translation of dozens of popular languages around the world, covering hundreds of translation directions;
In the financial field, the application of biometric technology has made face-to-face payment a reality, and smart investment that provides personalized and exclusive wealth management solutions at a lower cost has also been developing continuously;
In the field of logistics, products and services such as intelligent ordering, intelligent distribution robots, unmanned warehouses and drones have been continuously helping the express delivery industry to improve logistics speed and service level;
In the retail field, in addition to the compelling exploratory applications such as unmanned supermarkets, artificial intelligence is also used to predict the purchase volume of fresh goods in supermarkets;
In the field of transportation, in addition to applications such as maps and navigation, the unmanned driving that has attracted much attention has also made new progress;
In the medical field, using the capabilities of AI and big data, machines can screen and analyze medical images to assist doctors in diagnosis;
……
Of course, the application of artificial intelligence is not only in the tertiary industry, but also in the fields of agriculture, industry and social governance.
Compared with the two booms after the birth of artificial intelligence, the research and application of artificial intelligence have blossomed everywhere, and the boom is closer to the industry.
"This wave of artificial intelligence is actually a more stable wave with a solid technical foundation, data technology, computing foundation and social foundation." Zhang Yizhen, vice president of Microsoft Research Asia, said, "This wave of artificial intelligence has more practical application scenarios than before, and Industry-University-Research interaction is richer than before."
"The era of' artificial intelligence+'has arrived." Fu Sheng, founder and CEO of Cheetah Mobile, said.
Change—
All walks of life are reshaping.
The change is obvious, and the influence has already appeared, and some are still underwater.
"The continuous development of artificial intelligence technology will continue to reshape all walks of life and our lives." Zhang summarized this "remodeling" in three aspects: promoting the transformation of industry to intelligence, triggering business innovation and making people's lives better.
For all walks of life, intuitive change is the improvement of efficiency.
In the industrial field, the data from Alibaba Cloud shows that through its ET industrial brain, the yield of photovoltaic slicing enterprise GCL has increased by more than 1%, bringing economic benefits of hundreds of millions of yuan every year; Tire manufacturer Zhongce Rubber increased its output by 5%. "Advanced manufacturing is probably the most efficient industry for artificial intelligence," said Liu Song, vice president of Alibaba Group.
In the field of credit rating, big data risk control based on machine learning is effective in improving the efficiency of credit services and increasing the coverage of financial services. According to Baidu, its education credit is basically "seconds" to decide whether to lend to a person.
"In the past 40 years, the digitalization process in the first 20 years has changed the mode of production, and the networking process in the last 20 years has reconstructed the market relationship. In the next 20 years, artificial intelligence blurs the boundary between means of production and labor. Its mission is to graft with traditional industries, reduce production costs and increase productivity by orders of magnitude. " Wu Gansha, co-founder and CEO of Shi Yu Technology, said.
This promotion has given birth to an imaginative incremental space.
The report "Artificial Intelligence: Helping China's Economic Growth" released by Accenture in June 20 17 shows that manufacturing, agriculture, forestry and fishery, and wholesale and retail will be the three industries that will benefit most from the application of artificial intelligence. By 2035, artificial intelligence will promote the annual growth rate of these three industries to increase by 2%, 1.8% and 1.7% respectively.
The impact will also occur in the field of social governance.
Experts said that with the development of artificial intelligence technology, it is necessary for many government management methods to change from chasing management to predictive management in the future.
In 20 16, the Hangzhou municipal government led a joint venture with 13 enterprises including Alibaba Cloud to jointly explore the urban data brain. Hangzhou Xiaoshan pilot found that by intelligently adjusting the traffic lights, the traffic speed in this area increased by 15%, and the time for 120 ambulance to arrive at the scene was shortened by half. In the main urban area of Hangzhou, the travel time in some areas was shortened 15.3%.
For individuals, in addition to the changes in the field of life, the impact will also occur in the professional field-in the future, some repetitive jobs, such as online customer service, shorthand translation, drivers and so on. May be replaced by artificial intelligence.
However, industry insiders also said that there is no need to worry too much about this. At the same time, AI will also generate new industries. "After the container appeared, porters were worried about losing their jobs, but there were many suspension bridge workers in the port." In the view of Ma Yun, Chairman of the Board of Directors of Alibaba Group, new technologies do not make people unemployed, but make people do more valuable things, make people not repeat themselves, but innovate and make people's work "evolve".
Huge impact, bringing fast enough industry growth.
The data shows that the scale of artificial intelligence industry in China has exceeded 10 billion yuan in 20 16 years, with a growth rate of 43.3%. It is predicted that the growth rate of 201525438+00 billion yuan will increase to 5 1.2%, and the industrial scale will reach 100 billion yuan.
However, in the eyes of the industry, these effects are only the tip of the iceberg.
The McKinsey Global Institute believes that artificial intelligence is promoting the transformation of human society, and its speed will be "faster 10 times, 300 times greater and its influence will be almost 3,000 times greater" than the industrial revolution.
"In the near future, intelligent flow will surround and support us as calmly as today's water flow, provide nutrients in all aspects, and completely change the economic, political, social and life forms of human beings." Li Yanhong, chairman and CEO of Baidu, said.
Future-
The 100-meter race has just begun.
"I want to see myself in the future." This is the last sentence of the preface made by Baidu brain to the book Intelligent Revolution.
What will artificial intelligence look like in the future? No one may have an answer now, but what is certain is that it is only the beginning.
"If the application of artificial intelligence is compared to the 100 meter race, it is just the beginning." Zhang Yizhen said, "The current stage of artificial intelligence is the stage of the Internet in the early 1990 s."
The government, enterprises, capital and so on have become the "boosters" of this wave of artificial intelligence. Of course, like many new things in the development of the Internet, artificial intelligence has become a slogan, but there are still bottlenecks to be broken.
From a technical point of view, artificial intelligence is still in the "black box" decision-making stage, and "the main methodology is still based on big data and big computing mode". If you want a machine to think like a human, you must "feed" it with a lot of data, which leads to the industrial limitations of artificial intelligence at present. "Industries with a large amount of data accumulation and analysis needs are more suitable for transformation." Zhang Yizhen said.
In addition, from the domestic situation, the talent gap is also becoming a major constraint for enterprises interested in the field of artificial intelligence.
"There are less than 200 doctors and masters in the field of artificial intelligence research every year in the country. Today, there are a lot of startups, and this number is simply not enough." Li Yanhong said bluntly. According to LinkedIn's data, there are 65438+95 million artificial intelligence professionals in the world, with China accounting for only 2%, ranking seventh.
From the perspective of the industry, problems such as quick success and instant benefit, disorderly repeated investment, overheating, conceptual packaging, impetuousness and exaggeration cannot be ignored. Some insiders bluntly said that we should be alert to the tendency of artificial intelligence "network celebrity".
Xu Li, co-founder and CEO of Shangtang Technology, bluntly said that most domestic artificial intelligence venture capital is gathered at the application level. Entrepreneurs use open source algorithms to find a vertical field and put the concept of "artificial intelligence" into it, but not many people really do "original technology" from the algorithmic level. "And this piece is the core and the most needed."
However, insiders also said that these can be understood as "growing pains": bottlenecks and the next step. From a broader perspective, China is in a good opportunity to develop artificial intelligence.
From the perspective of talents, it shows obvious growth. According to the data of Wuzhen think tank, in terms of the number of artificial intelligence patents, the average annual growth rate of patents in China in the last five years is 43%; The growth rate in the United States is 2 1.7%. Among them, in 20 16, China added more than 9,000 artificial intelligence patents, which was more than twice that of the United States.
"The number of artificial intelligence enterprises, the number of patent applications and the scale of financing in China are second only to the United States, ranking second in the world." Qilu said that China has huge market opportunities and unique massive data, which can not be ignored in attracting overseas talents. In fact, in recent years, a number of well-known AI talents, such as Andrew Ng and Li Feifei, have returned to China for development, which also proves this point.
The state's attention is also helping the development of artificial intelligence. From 2065438 to March 2006, the word artificial intelligence was written into the outline of the 13th Five-Year Plan. From 2065438 to March 2007, artificial intelligence was written into the Government Work Report for the first time, and now the Development Plan of a New Generation of Artificial Intelligence has also been officially promulgated.
"China is ahead in this wave of science and technology. More than 40% of the papers on deep learning are published by China people. This time, we communicated with experts without language barriers or time difference. We have good data, a huge sample group, an excellent team of engineers and world-class manufacturing capabilities. " Fu Sheng said: "In the future, people and robots will exist, and China will have the opportunity to overtake in corners."
In this sense, the future has come, but it has not been popularized yet.