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Will "multi-school dicing" really cool down the educational real estate?
20 15 12, the Ministry of education is considering the implementation of "multi-school dicing", with the aim of cooling the educational real estate. Simply put, a community corresponds to multiple primary schools and junior high schools. Once this policy is implemented, it means that families who have bought "educational real estate" may not be sure which school to go to. Will so many school scribes really cool down the educational real estate?

"Multi-school dicing" means turning a blind eye: the educational real estate you bought is not sure which school you can go to. Theoretically speaking, in this way, the corresponding relationship between prestigious schools and high-priced educational real estate has been broken, and parents have hesitated, so educational real estate will not be sold.

However, the idea is too beautiful and the reality is too difficult.

First, although the one-to-one relationship no longer exists, the concept of educational real estate still exists. If you buy educational real estate, you may not be able to attend a prestigious school, but if you don't buy educational real estate, you will definitely not be able to attend a prestigious school. In other words, "multi-school scribing" only reduces the probability that a degree comes from a house, and does not fundamentally change the added value of educational real estate.

Secondly, once the "multi-school dicing", how to explain to people who have already bought a house? People who plan to buy a house may be more entangled. Originally, a house could handle a school district, but now it may take several houses to get a degree. The bidding threshold has been raised, and the rich may not care, but the poor are "fairer".

In fact, "multi-school dicing" is nothing new.

From 2065438 to the beginning of 2004, the Ministry of Education issued documents in succession, demanding that "single-school scribing" or "multi-school scribing" be adopted to promote entrance to the nearest school without examination, and pilot it in 19 key big cities.

In March of 20 15, the Ministry of Education further deployed and expanded the scope of key big cities to 24, requiring all counties and cities in these cities 100% of public primary schools and 90% of public junior high schools to implement dicing admission.

No matter how to "scribe", the nearest place is a destination. But in fact, "nearby" is only a relative concept: the poor only have one suite, so they have no choice nearby, but the multi-room households in the "three caves of cunning rabbits" get their wishes. Besides, the houses of poor people can't shake even when it thunders, and high-quality schools can be relocated, at least they can open a "branch school". As a result, a good school moved to a new place, which doubled the appreciation of thousands of houses and became a trump card for a few places to "support the new city". Of course, this is also the root of educational real estate soaring against the trend and fierce ability to maintain value.

It is expected that "multi-school dicing" will cool down the educational real estate, and the effect may be expected, but after all, it is a kung fu to raise soup and stop boiling. As long as good schools stand out, as long as the concept of educational real estate does not die out, then the ambiguous relationship between the house and the degree will not be clear. If you really want to cool down, the simplest prescription is just the word "education balance". The allocation of good teachers and principals to weak schools by means of administrative orders has also changed the inertia of "preferring boys to girls" in the allocation of educational resources-then, they are all good schools and good school districts, so how can house prices change from school to school? The balance of compulsory education is a matter of course, and the education real estate price index may be the best measure.

Of course, the price reduction of educational real estate and the balance of compulsory education are two different things after all, and no one can replace anyone. However, since it is necessary to cool down, it is really necessary to pour some cold water. Don't expect "multi-school dicing" to have any miracle.

(The above answers were published on 20 15- 12-22. Please refer to the actual purchase policy. )

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