The coming year of 2020 is the decisive year for building a well-off society in an all-round way, the decisive year for getting rid of poverty and the closing year of the Thirteenth Five-Year Plan. Under the background of the national fight against COVID-19, what kind of "report cards" of economic and social development will be displayed in various places will undoubtedly become an important perspective for observing the local two conferences.
The spiritual test center of the second year of the National People's Congress: the Tenth Five-Year Plan and the outline of the long-term goal in 2035. "
In the proposed agenda of provincial people's congresses published in some places, the consideration of the local version of the "14 th Five-Year Plan" and the outline of long-term goals in 2035 has become the standard topic of this provincial people's congress. The "Fourteenth Five-Year Plan" period is the first five years for China to build a well-off society in an all-round way and achieve the goal of the first century. It is also the five years for China to take advantage of the situation to start a new journey of building the country in an all-round way and March towards the goal of the second century.
National People's Congress Spiritual Test Site III: Economic and Social Development Goals in the New Year
At the new historical starting point, how to determine the economic and social development goals for the new year and how to draw the economic and social development goals for the next five years and the long-term goals for 2035 have undoubtedly become the focus of public attention. In addition, education, medical care, environment, housing, old-age care and other areas of people's livelihood have always been hot topics in the public opinion field of provincial local conferences. In the new year, what livelihood commitments and arrangements local governments will have are also highly anticipated.
National People's Congress Spiritual Test Site 4: New Expectations for People's Livelihood such as Employment and Social Security
"People's livelihood" has always been a hot topic in the two sessions every year. From increasing employment to social security, from housing system to education reform, many "hot words" in the field of people's livelihood carry more people's livelihood expectations of deputies. Employment is the greatest livelihood and social security is an important indicator of people's happiness. Many deputies said that in the new stage of development, to achieve more adequate and higher-quality employment goals in the field of employment and to establish a multi-level endowment insurance system will enter the fast lane.
Five spiritual test sites of the National People's Congress and the National People's Congress: common words
From the key words, there are six directions:
1. Almost all provinces are in the "C position" (the top three in all work);
2. Highlighting industrial transformation and upgrading, advanced manufacturing, modern service industry and digital economy are the three major directions;
3. Fixed assets investment target is lowered, traditional infrastructure investment ebbs, and new infrastructure and rail transit are the main directions.
4. The system dividend is expected to be further released, focusing on the reform of state-owned enterprises and the marketization of factors;
5. the importance of promoting consumption has increased, and there are three major graspers;
6. Other concerns, such as metropolitan areas, peak carbon dioxide emissions, carbon neutrality and rural revitalization.
NPC and CPPC2021Key Contents and Hot Topics
1. 202 1 two sessions will focus on three major contents!
1. Economic and social development "report card"
The coming year of 2020 is the decisive year for building a well-off society in an all-round way, the decisive year for getting rid of poverty and the closing year of the Thirteenth Five-Year Plan. Under the background of the national fight against COVID-19, what kind of "report cards" of economic and social development will be displayed in various places will undoubtedly become an important perspective for observing the local two conferences.
2. The Tenth Five-Year Plan and the Outline of Long-term Goals in 2035
In the proposed agenda of provincial people's congresses published in some places, the consideration of the local version of the "14 th Five-Year Plan" and the outline of long-term goals in 2035 has become the standard topic of this provincial people's congress. The "Fourteenth Five-Year Plan" period is the first five years for China to build a well-off society in an all-round way and achieve the goal of the first century. It is also the five years for China to take advantage of the situation to start a new journey of building the country in an all-round way and March towards the goal of the second century.
3. Economic and social development goals for the new year
At the new historical starting point, how to determine the economic and social development goals for the new year and how to draw the economic and social development goals for the next five years and the long-term goals for 2035 have undoubtedly become the focus of public attention.
In addition, education, medical care, environment, housing, old-age care and other areas of people's livelihood have always been hot topics in the public opinion field of provincial local conferences. In the new year, what livelihood commitments and arrangements local governments will have are also highly anticipated.
II. 202 1 Hot Topics of the National People's Congress
9 keywords at the two sessions:
1. Keywords 1: long-term goals
By 2035, the long-term goals, the guiding ideology, principles and main goals of economic and social development during the 14 th Five-Year Plan period will be basically realized.
2. Keyword 2: People's livelihood just needs
Employment, housing, medical care, consumption, food and other topics are still hot spots.
3. Keywords: rural revitalization
Rural revitalization is a long-term and arduous task. As early as 20 18, 1, * * * * and the State Council put forward the three-stage strategic concept of rural revitalization in the Opinions on Implementing Rural Revitalization Strategy, and made it clear that by 2020, rural revitalization has made important progress and the institutional framework and policy system have basically taken shape; By 2035, decisive progress will be made in rural revitalization and agricultural and rural modernization will be basically realized; By 2050, the rural areas will be fully revitalized, and agriculture will be strong, rural areas will be beautiful and farmers will be rich. Since the implementation of the rural revitalization strategy, important progress has been made, its institutional framework and policy system have basically taken shape, and some reform pilots and major action plans are also being actively and orderly promoted.
4. Keyword 4: Green water and green mountains
"Clear water and green mountains are priceless treasures" is a scientific conclusion put forward by then Zhejiang Provincial Party Secretary * * * * when he visited Anji, Huzhou, Zhejiang Province in August 2005. Planning first is not only the premise of Jinshan Yinshan, but also the premise of green water and green mountains, and it is also the top-level design of turning green water and green mountains into Jinshan Yinshan.
5. Keyword 5: Healthy China
Healthy China is the development strategy put forward by Comrade * * * * in the report of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China on June 8th, 20 17. People's health is an important symbol of national prosperity and prosperity. It is necessary to improve the national health policy and provide all-round and full-cycle health services for the people.
6. Keyword 6: Technological innovation
Since the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, * put innovation and development at the top of the new development concept. Nowadays, innovation has become a common practice in various fields and has become an "engine" to promote economic and social development.
7. Keywords 7: institutional innovation
Amend NPC laws and NPC rules of procedure.
8. Keyword 8: Zhengfeng anti-corruption
A century after the founding of the Party, we must fight corruption.
9. Keyword 9: Coexistence with the world
In today's world, a hundred years of change, a hundred years of epidemic, reverberate and resonate; Today, China is welcoming the centenary of the founding of the Communist Party of China (CPC) and the opening of the 14th Five-Year Plan, and is striving for the centenary of the founding of New China. At this new historical intersection, the National People's Congress and the National People's Congress will be important observation windows on how China coexists with the world and how China's diplomacy develops.
What are the highlights of this year's "two sessions" government work report? How will "high-quality economic development" be realized? Will there be a new round of adjustment in fiscal policy and monetary policy? Under the background of normalization of epidemic prevention and control, where will China's economy go?
On March 8 19:30-2 1:00, the eighth phase of the dry contract was grandly launched again. Mr. Huang Weiping, an expert on collective learning of the Political Bureau, winner of the special allowance of the State Council, director of the World Economic Research Center of Renmin University of China, and jean monnet Chair Professor of the School of Economics of Renmin University of China, shared with us the "Interpretation of the Spirit of 20021NPC and CPPCC".
In 2020, China's economy has made extraordinary achievements.
The government work report pointed out that the past year was extraordinary in the history of New China. In the face of multiple severe impacts such as the sudden COVID-19 epidemic and the deep recession of the world economy, under the strong leadership of the CPC Central Committee with Comrade * * * *, people of all ethnic groups throughout the country have worked hard, made significant strategic achievements in epidemic prevention and control, and the only major economy in the world has achieved positive economic growth, won the battle against poverty in an all-round way, made decisive achievements in building a well-off society in an all-round way, and handed over an answer that the people are satisfied with and can go down in history. The main objectives and tasks of development in the whole year were well completed, and new significant progress was made in reform and opening up.
Mr. Huang Weiping believes that under the strong leadership of our Party in 2020, it is hard-won for the people of the whole country to achieve such achievements. Especially in the first quarter of last year, despite the negative GDP growth and the global economy being severely hit by the epidemic, China still fought three tough battles resolutely. Financial risks have been effectively resolved, poverty alleviation has been won, and environmental governance and ecological restoration have made clear water and blue sky reappear. It can be said that China made extraordinary achievements last year.
Regarding the "expected target of GDP growth above 6%" proposed in this year's government work report, Huang Weiping believes that this fully reflects the requirements of keeping the economy in a reasonable range, focusing on improving the quality and efficiency of development, and promoting the full play of growth potential.
With the COVID-19 epidemic basically under control in China, the vaccine has been widely inoculated gradually, and all trades and industries have resumed work in an all-round way. In addition, last year's base utility was low, the international community predicted that China's GDP growth rate would reach 8% or even higher this year. Therefore, it is not difficult to achieve growth of more than 6%.
Insist on "housing and not speculation"
Innovation is the main driving force of high-quality development stage
The government work report pointed out that scientific and technological innovation was vigorously promoted last year, and the pace of industrial transformation and upgrading was accelerated. We will build an international science and technology innovation center and a comprehensive national science center, and successfully set up the first batch of national laboratories. Breakthrough achievements such as "Tian Wen No.1", "Chang 'e No.5" and "Struggler" are constantly emerging. Strengthen research on key core technologies. Support the transformation and application of scientific and technological achievements, promote the integration and innovation of large, medium and small enterprises, and promote relevant measures for comprehensive innovation and reform experiments. Promote the digital and intelligent transformation of industries and maintain the rapid development momentum of strategic emerging industries.
Huang Weiping believes that 20021is the first year of the Tenth Five-Year Plan. Since last year, the government has made great efforts to regulate and control the real estate sector for many times, insisting on "staying in the house but not speculating" and resolutely pushing China's economy to a high-quality development stage.
Obviously, innovation is the primary driving force in the stage of high-quality development, and scientific and technological self-reliance is the strategic support for national development. In the era of "stock economy" when the dividend of the third industrial revolution has been exhausted and the fourth industrial revolution has not yet fully arrived, "new infrastructure" including "5G infrastructure, industrial Internet, UHV, intercity high-speed rail and intercity rail transit, new energy vehicles and charging piles, big data center and artificial intelligence" will become an important starting point for economic growth and create new kinetic energy for promoting the structural reform of supply side in China. At the same time, related fields will also become the investment focus of state finance and private capital.
Reasonable and moderate monetary policy
"Water release" is difficult to reproduce.
According to the policy work report, a prudent monetary policy should be flexible, accurate, reasonable and moderate. Put serving the real economy in a more prominent position and handle the relationship between economic recovery and risk prevention. The growth rate of money supply and social financing scale basically matches the nominal economic growth rate, the liquidity remains reasonable and abundant, and the macro leverage ratio remains basically stable. Keep the RMB exchange rate basically stable at a reasonable and balanced level.
Huang Weiping believes that the Report continues the tone of maintaining stability of the Central Economic Work Conference, and proposes to maintain the continuity, stability and sustainability of macroeconomic policies and promote economic operation in a reasonable range.
In terms of fiscal policy, proactive fiscal policy should improve quality, increase efficiency and be more sustainable. This year's fiscal deficit ratio is around 3.2%, which is lower than the target of 3.6% above last year, but it is higher than the market expectation on the whole, and it is a loose fiscal policy on the whole.
In terms of monetary policy, a prudent monetary policy should be flexible, accurate, reasonable and moderate, and maintain the basic stability of macro leverage ratio and exchange rate. Like the tone of fiscal policy, monetary policy also emphasizes support for SMEs. In addition, this report emphasizes that it is necessary to continue to guide the financial system to make profits to the real economy and make financing for small and micro enterprises more convenient. It is expected that the overall financing cost of enterprises will decrease steadily. ;