This is recently, Dongguan City, Guangdong Province announced its withdrawal from the housing purchase restriction. In the toolbox of property market regulation, common and flexible purchase restriction is undoubtedly one of the means to shake the market nerves. Recently, many representative cities have made a fuss about canceling the purchase restriction, which also reflects the significance of laying the foundation for the stable development of both the supply and demand sides of the market next year.
Policy changes in Greater Bay Area's two trillion cities.
With the issuance of "Notice of Dongguan Housing and Urban-Rural Development Bureau on Further Optimizing Real Estate Regulation Policy", the whole city of Dongguan released the housing purchase restriction, which also means that the city temporarily withdrew from the historical stage from 20 16.
This is also the last step for Dongguan to gradually relax this round of real estate purchase restriction. Previously, an experiment was conducted in Dongguan in July, which divided the original restricted areas of the city into restricted areas and non-restricted areas.
In the many real estate policy adjustments carried out in Dongguan this year, the effect of canceling the purchase restriction in some of the above areas is particularly prominent. According to Hefei Big Data, the volume and price of Dongguan property market rose in July: 3,754 sets were sold in one hand, a slight increase of 2% year-on-year and a substantial increase of 65% quarter-on-quarter; The average price of first-hand houses is about 29,274 yuan/square meter, up 1 1% from the previous month and up 9% year-on-year.
Another big boost to Dongguan's full liberalization of the purchase restriction this round may be that Foshan, the "brother city" of Greater Bay Area, also withdrew from the purchase restriction half a month ago.
"Dongguan has withdrawn from the mode of restricting purchases, restricting sales rather than restricting purchases, which is exactly the same as that of Foshan not long ago." Li, chief researcher of the Housing Policy Research Center of Guangdong Urban Planning Institute, pointed out that from the recent moves of core second-tier cities such as Ning, Buddha, Han and Wan to withdraw or shrink the purchase restriction policy, a new round of policy easing on the demand side of the real estate market has begun.
Data map: Under the blue sky, high-rise buildings in the center of Dongguan. Wang Jian photo
Intermediary: The amount of consultation has increased significantly, and confidence is expected to recover.
"Because many employees in the store have not returned to their posts, we still mainly consult online. In the past two days after the cancellation of the purchase restriction, I have to communicate with more than a dozen customers every day. Before that, I had about six or seven people every day, and my energy more than doubled. " Lin Liu (pseudonym), who works in an intermediary agency in Dongguan, told Zhongxin Financial reporter that several clients had made an appointment with her and came out to see the house after recovery.
Lin Liu is a "new Dongguan native". She and her colleagues often refer to Foshan and Dongguan as the "third" and "fourth" of Greater Bay Area. Not long ago, Foshan officially announced the full liberalization of purchase restrictions, and Lin Liu's colleagues in Foshan also ushered in a round of work peaks. Not only did the house inspection and transaction volume increase significantly, but even many developers followed the hot spots to raise prices, and some properties rose by more than 2,000 yuan per square meter.
Will Dongguan, once the "first city with rising house prices", usher in a situation similar to Foshan? Lin Liu believes that restoring the confidence of those who really need it is more important than a temporary investment craze.
Lin Liu mentioned that in fact, after the release of the "Ten Articles of New China" to optimize epidemic prevention and control, the property market in Dongguan, especially the core streets, has gradually shown some signs of recovery. "In this difficult year, the store often can't sell a suite for two or three weeks. It can be opened almost every day now, which is already a good signal. "
Lin Liu still remembers that when she first arrived in Dongguan, her colleagues quoted the phrase "Dongguan is in traffic jam and the world is out of stock" to describe the current situation of the city. Coupled with GDP exceeding one trillion and population exceeding ten million, Lin Liu always believes that economy and population are the real strength for the future development of Dongguan real estate.
"More than half of the local permanent residents in Dongguan, who exceed 10.53 million, mainly live in villages in cities. The city's housing ownership rate is only about 50%, and housing conditions need to be improved. " Li also believes that Dongguan can't rely on foreign investors, and releasing the local demand potential by canceling the restrictive housing purchase policy is the fundamental policy to stabilize the property market.
Data Map: A real estate project under construction. China News Service reporter Zhang Bin photo
Restrictive policies will accelerate the withdrawal from the historical stage?
Recently, the relevant person in charge of the Central Financial Office pointed out: "There are still some restrictive policies that hinder the release of consumer demand in areas such as housing consumption, and these consumption potentials should be released." Many people in the industry interpret "restrictive policies that hinder the release of consumer demand" to point to strict restrictive property market regulation policies such as purchase restriction, sales restriction, loan restriction, price restriction and business restriction.
This is also reflected in the practice in various places. According to the statistics of the Central Hospital, as of February 26th, 65438, more than 330 provinces, cities and counties have issued more than 1000 housing market easing policies, among which 48 cities have issued 1 1 1 73 cities have issued 240, 33.
This may be just the beginning, not the end. "The real estate market must develop steadily, strengthen the resilience of the real estate market, and prevent the introduction of policies that are directly or indirectly unfavorable to the market." A few days ago, Chou Baoxing, chairman of the China Urban Science Research Association and former vice minister of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, publicly stated.
More and more voices believe that the withdrawal of restrictive policies such as purchase restriction will become the trend of real estate regulation in the future.
"A new round of demand-side rescue policy has been launched by hot new first-tier and second-tier cities. Financial support for real estate policies should be exhausted and give full play to the positive effects of policies. " Guan Rongxue, a senior analyst at Zhuge Housing Search Data Research Center, predicts that there will be more hot second-tier cities to follow up. Except for first-tier cities, other cities will completely cancel the purchase restriction. (End)