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Once the fertility rate falls, is it possible to rise again?
Once the fertility rate is reduced, it is difficult to recover.

During this period, according to the national data survey, the national birth rate fell below 1% for the first time in 2020, and then this data rushed to the hot search of major online media. I also paid more attention to this data, which caused many people to have a lot of worries, because the birth rate in China has been declining like a cliff in recent years, especially breaking through the 1% mark. It can be said that the birth rate is getting lower and lower, and the population crisis will come ahead of time.

Many people are actively making suggestions for the birth rate, suggesting that the state should introduce corresponding policies to adjust the birth rate. According to my observation and discovery, I personally think that with the rapid economic development and social progress in China, the birth rate in China will be lower and lower, and there may be a rebound, but this kind of thing will become lower.

Why do you say that?

There are three main reasons.

First of all, after 30 years of reform and opening up, China has changed from an agricultural society to an industrial country. At the beginning, China needed a large number of people to continuously improve productivity and meet the needs of society and families. So the birth rate in China was relatively high at that time, which was caused by the social environment and the historical stage.

After China's reform and opening up, the industrial age has changed people's productive relations. The original manpower has been gradually replaced by machines, and there is no need for a huge population to maintain the needs of productivity, so the birth rate of people is getting lower and lower.

Secondly, it has a lot to do with China's birth policy. China began to implement the one-child plan in 1980s, aiming at reducing the number of births and reducing the pressure on the country and society. The release of this national policy was also based on the national conditions of China at that time. At that time, this national policy was correct, but it has been implemented for too long, and people's concepts have undergone profound changes, and the concept of the only child has been deeply rooted in the hearts of the people. So now people no longer pursue high fertility rate, but pursue independent life. Therefore, many young people no longer like to have more children, but prefer to spend more time on themselves, which has also led to the decline of the birth rate in China.

The most important point is that the cost of raising children in the whole society is too high, which leads many ordinary young people to be unable to bear the ability to raise a second child after raising one child. This has also caused many young people to dare not have a child after marriage and have no courage to have another child. If they have a second child, the quality of life will only get lower and lower, and the economic pressure will become greater and greater.

In addition, there are still some contradictory problems in the whole society, such as mortgage, car loan and young people's income, which indirectly affect the fertility rate of the whole younger generation in China. Therefore, judging from the present situation of the whole society, the birth rate problem in China will become a systematic structural problem that has long plagued the society, and it must be treated for a long time before the problem can be solved slowly.