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South China sea sea power thesis
China's Military Strategy: Great Naval Strategy

To understand the strategy of China's navy, it is necessary to understand the form of future war (under the current technical conditions, that is to say, there will be no leap-forward changes in military technology in the next twenty years).

If there is the possibility of a war between China and Japan in the future, surface ships are basically useless. The function of submarine is to block the enemy's port and lifeline at sea. The real decisive battle will be between the air forces. Because of the regional potential of China and Japan, once Japan's sea lifeline from the south is blocked, its only source will depend on the Pacific Ocean, which will inevitably weaken its war potential. Moreover, once the war starts, China can use strategic and tactical missiles such as Dongfeng 15 extended-range missiles to carry out a devastating attack on its air base, but it is difficult for Japan to do so. Therefore, in the real air force decisive battle, China has full initiative and the overall degree of the war.

In fact, the United States also understands this matter. The core means for the United States to contain Japan is to limit the development of its air force. In other words, although Japan has a strong shipbuilding capability, its aircraft manufacturing capability is very weak, and its independent research and development capability almost does not exist. Friends who have studied World War II should know that there can be no navy without the air force, and the air defense capability of surface ships is no better than that of aircraft. Japan's only value to the United States is to use its navy's air defense capability to build the first missile defense system far from its own territory.

Therefore, we can also see that there is no suspense in the Sino-Japanese War without the participation of the United States.

First, the North Sea Fleet

1, combat mission

The main strategic goal of the early construction of the North Sea Fleet was to curb local landings and set up the first line of defense in the Bohai Sea to avoid repeating the mistakes of the Qing Dynasty. It was a defense rather than an attack.

Geographically, in order to contain China, the Korean Peninsula is far more important than Japan. For China, the Korean Peninsula is as important as Taiwan Province Province, even more important than Taiwan Province Province. Once the United States has a firm foothold on the Korean Peninsula, for China, Beijing will be threatened by American planes every day, just like the British and French allied forces occupied Tanggu, Tianjin. So strategically speaking, the Korean Peninsula is China's top priority.

Russia and China have basically similar interests on the Korean Peninsula issue. It is a relief that the Sino-Russian military exercise is named "compulsory isolation". Hey? Legal wife; こ? Leftovers? Erlei is about to dry up? Leak? ⒉ r? What happened? What happened to the carpet? Zhang? Tu Yan? A woodcutter waving a leaf? Confused? Is it Zhang Ying? What does carpet mean? What is your vote? Hey? Plaque/p >

Judging from the operational tasks of the North Sea Fleet, China's air force was not very strong before 1980s, and it had to defend not only the whole Bohai Sea, but also the strategic task of defending North Korea.

After entering the 1990s, China Air Force has made great progress, especially with the service of Flying Leopard, the whole coastal defense part of Gyeonggi Police gradually shifted to the Air Force, and the role of the North Sea Fleet began to weaken. Therefore, as you can see, before the 1990s, the North Sea Fleet was the most powerful fleet of the China Navy, and now it is the weakest without strategic nuclear submarines.

2. Combat area

The active areas of the North Sea Fleet are the Bohai Sea and the Yellow Sea, mainly the Bohai Sea. The configuration of the fleet is passive defense, because of the protection of shore-based aviation, the main threat comes from the attack of underwater submarines. Surface ships and submarines are mainly used to block the Bohai Sea and the Yellow Sea, prevent enemy ships from threatening our strategic nuclear submarines from underwater, and provide guarantee for the existence and maneuverability of our strategic nuclear submarines. The water surface is the auxiliary, and the underwater is the main one.

3. Fleet configuration

Due to the restriction of the first island chain of the United States, China's navy cannot enter the Pacific Ocean, which is of little significance to China's shipping. In the first island chain, there is basically no need for large surface ships to deal with the United States, Japan and Taiwan. Throughout the battle of flying leopards, flying leopards in the air and underwater submarines are the nightmares of the US, Japan and Taiwan navies. This will not just be the navy against the navy, but the air force. From the perspective of combat missions, the air defense capabilities of the East China Sea Fleet and the North China Sea Fleet do not need to be very strong. Therefore, the air defense force does not need to be very strong, and the focus is on the attack on the ship. China is the largest aircraft carrier.

Therefore, from the arrangement of strategic tasks, the composition of each fleet is also very different. The configuration of the North Sea Fleet will mainly focus on strategic nuclear submarines, while tactical nuclear submarines and ordinary submarines (033,035) plus some surface ships will provide protection for nuclear submarines, which will serve as China's strategic nuclear counterattack force as a whole.

The main operational task of Type 033, Type 035 and tactical nuclear submarines is passive alert, and they will not be far away from the Bohai Sea and the Yellow Sea, so their endurance is not very strong. Because it is a distributed state, the alarm is basically closed and the mute level is not very high. For underwater defense operations, the combat capability of 033 and 035 is sufficient. Tactical nuclear submarines are arranged in the front and conventional submarines are arranged in the back.

Surface ships focus on the combat capability of surface ships and submarines, so they pay more attention to self-defense than attack. Therefore, more attention is paid to the defense of short-range incoming missiles than to the long-range air defense of aircraft. Long-range air defense is undertaken by shore-based combat aircraft.

Let's talk about the American aircraft carrier. Let's see where the American aircraft carrier is stationed in Hong Kong. In Yokosuka Port next to Tokyo. To put it bluntly, there are only dozens of planes that can't beat China's Air Force and the Second Artillery. So its greater significance lies in the existence of a symbol of American sovereignty in Japan, which means that once you accidentally meet me, you will violate my sovereignty and attack the United States. To put it bluntly, you will only give Japan a strong impetus. On the other hand, once the US military is ready to give up Japan, this aircraft carrier will become a vehicle for the US military to retreat.

Second, the East China Sea Fleet

1, combat mission

The earliest strategic goal of the East China Sea Fleet was to contain Okinawa and Ryukyu Islands and contain some enemy troops. At the same time, the East China Sea Fleet is responsible for attacking Japan's Pacific route. Geographically, once the East China Sea Fleet blocked the East China Sea, it also blocked the entire Yellow Sea, becoming the first line of defense of the North Sea Fleet and the first coastal defense island in North China and East China.

After Bao Fei's service, the surface defense of the whole Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea and East China Sea has actually been taken over by shore-based aviation. So at present, the defense of the East China Sea is basically not the main strategic task of the East China Sea Fleet. What is more important is to protect the maritime transport lines and contain Taiwan independence.

The main purpose of deploying the disputed East China Sea (mainly Diaoyu Island and East China Sea oil and gas fields) is to contain and contain it. American and Japanese troops in Okinawa were contained, and Taiwan Province Province was contained. China is not in a hurry to solve the East China Sea issue, but has taken a delaying stance. On the one hand, it can avoid aggravating the situation, on the other hand, it can save labor for construction. Anyway, China did not move, and the United States and Japan did not dare to move. Big countries can afford it, but small countries can't.

2. Combat area

The East China Sea Fleet is located between the North China Sea Fleet and the South China Sea Fleet, and its active areas are the East China Sea and the Pacific Ocean near the Ryukyu Islands. The main activities in this area are in balance with the surface and underwater.

3. Fleet configuration

The main configuration of the East China Sea Fleet will be more complicated, mainly composed of submarines, missile speedboats and some large surface ships, and equipped with HNA troops and air protection, which will form a containment, deterrent and containment force for the vast waters of the East China Sea.

In the future, a number of 022 series missile speedboat formations may appear in the East China Sea within the first island chain to enhance the defense and offensive capabilities of the East China Sea and form a joint attack capability with flying leopards against sea and air ships, mainly targeting local large surface ships. 2208 is mainly used as a missile launching platform. It is estimated that the attack guided by the early warning aircraft can form a saturated attack on the aircraft carrier.

The active area of the East China Sea Fleet is the East China Sea and the Pacific Ocean near the Ryukyu Islands, so its fleet configuration is both offensive and defensive. Similarly, due to the protection of Kanji Aviation, its long-range air defense capability construction does not attach importance to it, but only attaches importance to air protection. Different from the North Sea Fleet, 039 and Kilo are mainly equipped in the East China Sea Fleet, which is obviously far-sighted, which strengthens the underwater attack power of the East China Sea Fleet, not only for underwater operations far away from the mainland (outside the first island chain), but also for containing the nuclear threat to enemy transport lines, so it is required to strengthen the mute ability and endurance ability.

As for the 525 and 526, which belong to the East China Sea Fleet, it is obvious that the air threat to these two large surface ships is obviously less than the underwater threat, and strengthening the underwater combat capability is also to better protect themselves. As for the lack of ability to attack ships, there are 136, 137, 138 and 139 in the offshore, and there will be 022 series missile speedboats (2208) in the offshore in the future. In this way, in the sea area 0/500 km away from the mainland/KLOC-,the air, water and underwater combat capabilities against ships have been well coordinated and cooperated.

At the same time, the East China Sea Fleet can also form a joint ocean fleet, using "modern class" long-range air defense, two "modern classes", plus "525 or 526", plus several 039 or Kilo. Without the participation of American aircraft carrier fleet, the East China Sea Fleet also has considerable advantages between the first island chain and the second island chain. China imported two more "Modern Class" 138. Deterrence to Japanese or American aircraft carriers.

Third, the South China Sea Fleet

1, combat mission

The initial task of the South China Sea Fleet is to deal with disputes in the South China Sea and maritime defense in the Beibu Gulf. Since 1990s, Southeast Asian countries have not threatened China. Therefore, the construction task of the fleet has also undergone a strategic shift.

At present, the task of the South China Sea Fleet is much more important than before. She hopes to protect China's maritime lifeline and deal with possible disputes in the South China Sea. As most of China's maritime trade comes from the South China Sea and the Indian Ocean, it is the most important maritime transport line in China. Once this transportation line is threatened, China will be at a disadvantage. Therefore, from a geographical point of view, on the one hand, China established the "Shanghai Cooperation Organization", trying to open up the Silk Road to Europe and the Middle East, maintaining close relations with Pakistan and Myanmar, and opening up land passages to the Indian Ocean and the Mediterranean Sea. On the other hand, it also needs to build a powerful ocean fleet to protect the lifeline at sea. Therefore, its main task is to ensure the smooth transportation lines on board.

The South China Sea Fleet does not target Southeast Asian countries because their naval power is very weak. It will be mainly composed of large surface ships, and some submarines with strong endurance, such as Song and Kiro, will form China's first ocean-going fleet. It provides protection for China's transport fleet from Suez Canal-Indian Ocean-Malacca-South China Sea. To this end, China must also establish a port, a supply station and a port for the South China Sea Fleet in Myanmar.

2. Combat area

Before 1990s, South China Sea Fleet mainly fought in Beibu Gulf and South China Sea. After 90 years, especially in the new century, its combat area has expanded to Suez Canal, Indian Ocean, Malacca, South China Sea and other vast marine areas. Due to the protection of the Nansha Islands and the Indian Ocean from shore-based aviation, the fleet must assume aviation responsibility by itself. Therefore, water surface is the main factor and water is the auxiliary factor.

3. Fleet configuration

The activity areas of the South China Sea Fleet are the South China Sea and the Indian Ocean, and the configuration of the fleet is offensive. Therefore, there are mainly 170 and17 in the air, and there are mainly two tactical nuclear submarines underwater to ensure their endurance, which is why 167, 168 and 169 have relatively balanced air-to-underwater combat capability. The long-range air defense firepower of the entire fleet 100 long-range air defense missiles has basically no rivals in the South China Sea and the Indian Ocean except the US aircraft carrier fleet. Therefore, the entire fleet is basically composed of large surface ships and tactical nuclear submarines with the strongest endurance. As for ordinary submarines below 10, they are mainly used to protect the harbor.

Depending on the combat mission, the fleet needs regional air defense. 170 and 17 1 are rationed to the South China Sea not to defend the homeland, but to escort the whole fleet. His real combat area is mainly in the Indian Ocean, and the South China Sea is not his main battlefield. After the completion of Yongxing Island Airport, the defense of the entire South China Sea has basically been handed over to the Air Force.

As for India, it was landed by China. Attacking the Chinese fleet is undoubtedly tantamount to declaring war on China. Therefore, the biggest difficulty of China's South China Sea Fleet is actually the supply problem. Because there is no overseas military port, this is equivalent to cutting off the legs of the South China Sea Fleet by half. Therefore, China funded Myanmar and Pakistan to establish ports, in essence, to meet the supply problem of the South China Sea Fleet. In this sense, the importance of Myanmar and Pakistan to China is obvious. Without Myanmar, China basically lost the whole Indian Ocean, without Pakistan, it lost the Red Sea and Arabian Sea.

Summary:

Therefore, judging from the current naval strategy of China, with the service of the new ship, it can basically meet the needs of China's marine strategy. In this sense, it is not necessary for China to build an aircraft carrier within a decade or two. Taiwan Province Province does not need a fleet to solve the problem.

At the same time, we can see that China's fleet is built according to small and medium-sized military conflicts and local wars. Because no country in the world dares to go to war with China.

Therefore, in the aspect of nuclear strategic allocation of operational effectiveness, our naval strategy is completely in line with China's national conditions. Do not underestimate yourself. In fact, China's naval fleet in the Pacific Ocean and Indian Ocean is second only to the United States. The Japanese naval fleet is always unable to get rid of the threat of China's shore-based aviation in the sea area around the mainland 1500- 1800 km. As for the Indian Ocean, it is unlikely that China and Japan will go to war.