The so-called compatibility with hosting the Olympic Games means that such economic activities must take the Olympic Games as the axis and meet all the conditions required by the International Olympic Committee for hosting the Olympic Games, which are necessary for successfully hosting the Olympic Games.
All economic activities carried out to adapt to the Olympic Games are mainly composed of five parts:
1. Various direct economic activities for hosting the Olympic Games. To host the Olympic Games, it is necessary to build competition venues and athletes' villages, which is a must for any host city. Otherwise, it will be difficult to meet the requirements of the International Olympic Committee and the Olympic Games will be held normally. The only difference is that some cities often hold large-scale sports events and have some ready-made athletes' villages and competition venues, so most of them can continue to be used, and only need to invest in some newly built and expanded competition facilities.
2. Various indirect investments for successfully hosting the Olympic Games. For example, the construction of urban infrastructure for the successful hosting of the Olympic Games. These infrastructures are necessary for the successful hosting of the Olympic Games. Generally speaking, this kind of investment is called the indirect investment of the Olympic Games. For different cities, indirect investment will be very different. In economically developed cities, urban infrastructure such as airports, communication facilities and transportation have reached a relatively advanced level, and no more investment is needed. Cities with relatively backward urban infrastructure need to increase investment in this area.
3. Economic activities such as urban transformation taking the opportunity of hosting the Olympic Games. Such activities mainly include the renovation of dilapidated houses in cities, the maintenance of urban cultural relics, the re-planning of urban development, the overall relocation or re-renovation of factories with serious pollution, and so on. This kind of economic activity is not necessary for hosting the Olympic Games. In other words, the Olympic Games can be held without these activities. However, these activities can enhance the image of the city, improve the living environment of residents and enhance the visibility of the city. For example, in the 25th Barcelona Olympic Games from 65438 to 0992, the Olympic planning was integrated into the urban transformation planning, and the Olympic Games was taken as an opportunity to promote urban transformation, which not only successfully hosted the Olympic Games, but also greatly improved the shape of the city, enhanced the visibility of Barcelona and left a deep impression on the world.
4. Investment activities induced by high psychological expectations for the Olympic Games. This refers to the investment activities induced by hosting the Olympic Games, which greatly improves the investment environment and obviously increases investment opportunities. For example, investors think that the Olympic Games will raise the price of real estate in cities and it is profitable to invest in real estate, so they will invest a lot of money in urban real estate. Investors' higher psychological expectations may not be accurate. The investment activities induced by market sentiment have little to do with the success of the Olympic Games, but they are economic activities generated by the Olympic Games. If there is no Olympic Games, investors' funds may be invested in other fields or other cities.
5. The linkage effect brought by various investments related to the Olympic Games. All the above investments will bring corresponding investment multipliers, that is, the multiplier effect of investment on residents' income. The lower the propensity to save, the higher the propensity to marginal consumption, the higher the income multiplier effect brought by investment, and the greater the economic activities caused. Generally speaking, the investment multiplier effect can also be understood as the linkage effect of the above three types of economic activities on related industries and departments. For example, an important part of urban infrastructure construction is the development of urban rail transit, which directly stimulates the production of subway trains, building materials and raw materials. The production of subway trains stimulates the development of iron and steel departments, and the development of iron and steel departments promotes the production of iron ore, and so on.
If the first three items of the above five types of economic activities can be predicted and calculated, then the fourth item is difficult to predict and random. Because the fourth economic activity also has investment multiplier and linkage effect, its unpredictability leads to the unpredictability of the fifth economic activity. Only after the Olympic Games can the scale of this economic activity be calculated.
Through the analysis of Olympic economic activities, we can give a more accurate definition of Olympic economy: Olympic economy is the general name of a series of economic activities to meet the needs of the Olympic Games or take advantage of the business opportunities provided by the Olympic Games.
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The Olympic economy will effectively promote the all-round economic and social development of the capital, and will have a positive and far-reaching impact on pushing Beijing to take the lead in basically realizing modernization in the country, initially establishing the basic framework of a modern international metropolis, and realizing the strategic goal of "new three steps" ahead of schedule.
(A) two years ahead of schedule to achieve the goal of per capita GDP
The Ninth Party Congress of Beijing proposed to achieve the goal of "Tenth Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development" in Beijing in 2008, and to achieve a per capita GDP of 6,000 US dollars in 20 10.
Whether the goal of per capita GDP of 6,000 US dollars in 2008 can be achieved ahead of schedule mainly depends on the following three factors, namely, economic growth rate, population size and exchange rate level. Any one of these factors will have an important impact on achieving the per capita level in 2008.
1. Analysis of economic growth rate
To achieve a per capita GDP of 6,000 USD in 2008, the annual GDP growth rate of Beijing in the next six years must be above 1 1%. The premise is that the registered population of the city has increased slightly on the existing basis, and the total amount is controlled within120,000, and the exchange rate remains unchanged. Some experts believe that Beijing's GDP will grow at an average annual rate of 13% in the next six years due to the Olympic economy. Some experts believe that China's economy has become a part of the world economy, and it will be good to reach 9% in the next six years, even considering the Olympic economy. The author believes that it is possible for Beijing's economic growth rate to reach 1 1% if there are no major unpredictable factors in the political and economic environment at home and abroad in the next six years. However, it is quite difficult to achieve an average annual growth rate of 13%.
In the next six years, the pulling effect of Olympic economy on economic growth is mainly reflected in three aspects: stimulating investment, expanding consumption and increasing employment. Taking investment as an example, according to the Outline of the Tenth Five-Year Plan for Beijing's National Economic and Social Development, the investment in fixed assets of the whole society increased by 8% during the Tenth Five-Year Plan period. Due to the hosting of the Olympic Games, the growth of fixed assets investment in the whole society will increase by several percentage points in the next few years.