After Obama took office, Sino-US relations have been repeated. On the one hand, because the new US administration doesn't know enough about Sino-US relations, it needs to adjust its predecessor's China policy. On the other hand, as both China and the United States are big countries with frequent economic exchanges and many trade frictions, we should safeguard our own rights and interests from our own interests. On the one hand, China and the United States have different systems. The United States always wants to network the development of China into its own ideas, and always wants to lead China, guide China to do things and safeguard itself. Therefore, on the one hand, the United States emphasizes on improving bilateral relations with China and safeguarding its own interests; on the other hand, it puts pressure on China from the aspects of human rights, the South China Sea issue, RMB interest rate and trade deficit. In the future, China and the United States will continue to have frictions and continue to tinker, all because of the economic systems of the two countries. In a word, the essence behind this change is the rise and fall of the strength of China and the United States, and the resulting changes in the world political structure. The "potential" of the world political pattern began to shift from the west to the east, the west led by the United States began to decline in an all-round way, and China began to rise.
Before Obama took office, doves prevailed in the United States and advocated dialogue and economic cooperation with China. That's why there are so-called "China and the United States" and "responsible big countries". However, after Obama took office, with the deepening of the economic crisis and the decline of national strength, the hawkish forces began to expand and suppress doves, so they showed a "tough" side in their China policy, such as publicly claiming to intervene in the South China Sea issue and frequently conducting military exercises around the Korean Peninsula. But these actions are actually a reflection of inner weakness.
From the Sino-US Strategic Economic Dialogue to the Sino-US Strategic Economic Dialogue, what do you think of the changes in the Sino-US dialogue platform?
First, the scope has been expanded, from an economic field to a strategic and economic field; Second, the dialogue from economic issues to economic strategy and other strategies has been deepened. Divide a theme into two themes, and refine and deepen the treatment.
China and the United States have changed from the original "strategic economic dialogue" to the upcoming "strategic and economic dialogue", and the meaning of this "harmony" is still very rich. In the past, there were two dialogues, one was a strategic dialogue and the other was a strategic economic dialogue. Now, the level of dialogue between them has been greatly improved. In the past, the economic dialogue was ministerial and the strategic dialogue was deputy prime minister. This is the first and second meaning, and the efficiency has been greatly improved. In the past, these two dialogues were not held at the same time and place, but now they can be held at the same time and place after being merged into one. Leaders of the two countries can participate in these two important dialogues at one time, which is very good for improving efficiency. The third meaning is that the proportion of strategy has increased, and the combination of strategic issues and practical issues has become closer. In the past, economic dialogues often insisted on some specific issues, such as the trade deficit between the two countries and the RMB exchange rate. Some strategic dialogues are on relatively large macro issues and do not involve specific issues. Now, the combination of the two can make up for each other. Economic dialogue will analyze and talk about specific issues from a strategic perspective, and strategic issues will also involve specific issues. After the combination of the two, the proportion of strategy has increased, and specific issues have risen to the strategic level.
Why is the global financial crisis triggered by the subprime mortgage crisis not really far away?
It can be said that governments around the world printed a lot of money with quantitative easing from the end of 2008 to the middle of 2009. After trying their best to save the market, the worst moment of the global economic system has passed. However, the global assets caused by the subprime mortgage crisis have shrunk and destroyed a lot of wealth. The western countries that started from 20 10, after printing a lot of money and reducing the interest of the central bank, the economic growth momentum is not good. Moreover, with the advent of inflation, faced with the slow economic growth/recovery and high unemployment rate in various countries, western governments began to use trade protection to reduce their imports and unemployment rate for their own economic growth; For the purpose of devaluing other countries' currencies through political forces, domestic exports have increased, which has hit many countries with export-oriented economies, even making their economies unable to grow well or even decline, and the global economy has fallen into a vicious circle. In addition to the slow economic growth, western countries have also begun to tighten spending, reducing people's spending power. Moreover, a large number of cheap funds with interest have contributed to a large number of hot money. When the economy did not fully improve, the stock markets around the country rose sharply, divorced from the fundamentals, and bubbles began to appear. If the bubble bursts again, the global economy will enter an unprecedented depression. If the above situation worsens and the global economy declines again, then the global financial crisis is not far away.
Why do China and the United States increasingly share the same fate, but the future Sino-US relations need to be rebalanced?
With the strengthening of economic strength, China's global influence and competitiveness are also increasing. The United States and China will play a key role in the future international political and economic structure, and the relationship between the two countries must be upgraded to a new level. The new generation of leaders of the two countries have the opportunity to realize this vision and make the two countries "the mainstay of world progress and prosperity, peace and stability." The development of Sino-US relations is the general trend. The United States and China "help each other in the same boat", establish a "unity of life" and work together to deal with increasingly complex world problems. This is a new foreign affairs bureau under the global financial crisis and a new pattern of world political and economic order.
In the context of the global financial crisis and economic recession, many countries have asked China to adjust its economic growth model. However, China's inward-looking economic growth transformation will inevitably mean a change in the world political structure, and China's influence on the international political arena will be greatly enhanced, so Sino-US relations need to be "rebalanced".