"New normal" is the key word to guide this year's economic work. This word was further elaborated at the Central Economic Work Conference at the end of 20 14, but it can be used to describe not only the economic field, but also the political and social fields. But the understanding of why there is a "new normal" is still quite insufficient. This vague understanding makes it difficult to promote reform. Therefore, this year's annual analysis first analyzes the reasons for the long-term changes, and then analyzes the political and economic trends and reform trends of 20 15.
Generally speaking, the political situation in 20 15 years is more stable than that in 20 14 years, and the downward pressure on the economy will further increase, but the deep water area that the reform will break through will exceed 20 14 years. In 20 15, there should be no doubt that the overall political and economic situation is stable, but the downward pressure on the economy has increased, and the constraints on economic and social development have increased. It is not excluded that there will be some unstable phenomena in some areas and fields.