How to write a paper about the future development trend of the construction industry?
In fact, whether in a narrow sense or a broad sense, the construction industry, as a pillar industry of the national economy, inevitably has the relevance and policy sensitivity of the macroeconomic situation, which determines that construction enterprises will pay close attention to the national macroeconomic policies, trends and various economic indicators when formulating strategies. All the data show that the construction industry has a bright future in the next few years. In recent years, China's economic growth has been in a high-speed growth trend. According to the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, China's economic growth in the first half of 2006 was 10.9%, and the annual growth rate is expected to be no less than 10%. Moreover, judging from the overall economic development of the country, China's industrial production, construction, retail and other fundamentals are generally good, which means that China's economy has great potential to continue to grow rapidly in the next few years. According to experts' prediction, in the next few years up to 20 10, the average annual GDP growth rate of China is expected to exceed the official target of 7.5%. According to China's future investment in fixed assets, the forecast of the future total demand of the construction industry is: by 20 10, the total output value (turnover) of the construction industry is expected to exceed 900 billion yuan, with an average annual growth rate of 7%, and the added value of the construction industry will reach more than150 billion yuan, with an average annual growth rate of 8%, accounting for about 7% of the GDP. Specifically, the hot spots in the future construction industry will focus on the following aspects: First, railway construction. The Eleventh Five-Year Plan period will be a period of large-scale railway construction in China. The railway department plans to continue and arrange more than 200 construction projects, including 28 passenger dedicated lines, with a total construction investment of 654.38+0.25 billion yuan. This year, as the first year of the 11th Five-Year Plan, the railway construction has been in full swing. It is understood that in the first half of this year, China's railway capital construction investment was 6.2/kloc-0.90 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of/kloc-0.9 times. Among them, the investment in large and medium-sized railway infrastructure projects was 665.438+364 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2 times. It can be predicted that a new round of large-scale railway construction in China will start soon. With the liberalization of railway investment and the relaxation of qualification restrictions on participating in railway construction projects, the railway construction market will become another market segment full of opportunities for construction enterprises. Second, highway construction. According to the specific goal of the development of highway and waterway transportation by the Ministry of Communications before 2020 and the strategic goal in the middle of this century, by 2020, the highway will basically form a skeleton highway network composed of national and provincial trunk lines and national key highways, and the highway network in the eastern and central regions, 8 inter-provincial highway passages in the western region, 45 major highway hubs and 96 national highway hubs will be built; By 20 10, the total mileage of highways in China will reach 2 million kilometers, including more than 35 thousand kilometers of expressways; By 2020, the total mileage of national highways will reach more than 2.5 million kilometers, and the expressway will reach more than 70,000 kilometers. Therefore, the next 10-20 years should be a period of sustained and stable development of road and bridge construction in China. Third, urban rail construction. According to the report completed by the Urban Rail Transit Professional Committee of China Communications and Transportation Association, China has entered a new period of rapid development of urban rail transit. At present, more than 30 cities in more than 40 megacities with a population of over one million have started the construction of urban rapid rail transit or the preliminary work of construction, and about 14 big cities have submitted the urban rail transit network planning scheme, and 55 lines are planned to be built, with a line length of about 1500 kilometers and a total investment of 500 billion yuan. According to the 11th Five-Year Plan, the mileage of subway and light rail in mega-cities in China will exceed10.5 million kilometers in the future, and the total investment will exceed 200 billion yuan. Fourth, the construction of water transport ports. With the sustained and rapid economic development in China, the port construction in China, especially the coastal port construction, has maintained a rapid development trend. This year, the port construction carried out in various places in accordance with the 11th Five-Year Plan has started one after another, showing an upsurge of port construction, and the investment scale is calculated according to 1000 billion yuan and1000 billion yuan. The construction of water transport port gradually presents the characteristics of large construction scale and rich investment funds. It is understood that in the next five years, the Ministry of Communications will further broaden the funding channels, expand the scale of water transport construction funds, and increase investment in infrastructure such as the Yangtze River waterway and inland ports. The large-scale construction of water transport ports and the large-scale and professional transformation of existing wharf berths will provide more opportunities and markets for the development of construction industry. V. Urban construction. First of all, from the perspective of urbanization rate, China's urbanization rate is only 3 1%, which is lower than the world average 15 percentage points. According to the comprehensive analysis of China's economic growth potential and China's population growth, it can be predicted that the urbanization level of China will increase to about 60% in the next 20 years, which means that the urbanization rate needs to increase by about 1.5 percentage points every year. Secondly, judging from the functional zoning of cities in China, the functional zoning of many cities in China is unreasonable at present. In order to maximize the value of urban land, functional zoning will be re-divided, which will lead to the re-optimization of housing resources allocation in a large number of cities, many of which need supporting transformation. Sixth, real estate. In recent two years, in order to promote the healthy development of the real estate market, the state has issued a series of macro-control policies, which initially curbed the excessive growth of real estate investment and cooled the overheated demand for housing. However, from the perspective of total investment, the construction demand of the real estate market is still one of the sub-sectors that construction enterprises should focus on. According to the growth rate of residents' income and the speed of housing renovation in the past 20 years, the per capita housing area of urban residents in China may reach 35 square meters in 2020, that is, the average existing housing of each urban resident will increase by more than 10 square meter. Therefore, it can be boldly asserted that the real estate industry will be in a golden age of stable development for a long time to come, although real estate developers may face a reshuffle. Seven, energy construction and energy dispatching projects. In the process of rapid economic development in China, the contradiction of energy shortage has emerged. In the future, energy construction including thermal power, hydropower and nuclear power will continue, and energy dispatching projects such as water, electricity and gas will also be fully launched and continue to be invested. At the same time, the Eleventh Five-Year Plan will further strengthen the exploration and development of domestic coal, oil and natural gas, actively develop hydropower, accelerate the development of nuclear power, and encourage the development of new and renewable energy; Actively and steadily carry out international energy resources cooperation, actively use the international energy market to increase and ensure supply, and ensure the realization of the economic and social development goals in the Eleventh Five-Year Plan. In addition, the rapid economic growth and large-scale investment in fixed assets during the Eleventh Five-Year Plan period will lead to more hot spots in the construction market, such as metallurgy, chemical industry and electronic engineering. In the next few years, construction enterprises will show their heroism and talent on the architectural stage.