Ancient military strategists paid attention to "know yourself and know yourself, and fight every battle." If retail investors want to achieve the goal of successful bargain-hunting, they must first have a thorough and detailed understanding of the banker, be familiar with the advantages of the banker and understand the disadvantages of the banker. In the process of sitting in the village, the banker's tricks are often false and true, true and false, and advancing and retreating, which can be described as confusing and complicated. Faced with such a profound strategy, why can retail investors only look up to the sky and sigh, pathetic, and finally lose money? There are reasons for this, such as the stock market environment and the amount of funds, but the most fundamental reason is whether you have mastered the basic knowledge and skills necessary for hunting villages, and whether you have used scientific hunting strategies on the basis of knowing yourself and yourself.

In fact, in the process of each banker sitting in the village, although their operating methods vary widely, in the process of capital operation, it is inevitable to leave all kinds of traces. As long as we carefully observe and analyze the stock price fluctuations, the banker's every move will be exposed to our eyes.

Therefore, what investors need to do is to fully understand the banker, understand the means and characteristics of entering the village, controlling the market, opening positions, washing dishes, testing the market, pulling up and shipping, and the methods and skills of retail investors to find villages, follow villages, avoid traps and cheat money; After that, you can understand the trading objectives, trading techniques and disk characteristics of each step in the whole process of sitting in the village; Finally, we can make a reasonable strategy from our own point of view until we win the final victory.

Breakthrough trading is a common trading strategy for bookmakers. In the breakthrough transaction, the most difficult thing for retail investors to "digest" is the false breakthrough form shown by the banker in the process of sitting in the village: it is obviously the form that just gave birth to the peak of the rising market after the breakthrough; Clearly falling form, just below the support line, suddenly turned up and started a round of sharp upswing. False breakthrough often means loss. How to avoid false breakthrough or reduce the loss of false breakthrough is a problem that successful business investors must solve. Grasping the following points will help solve the problem of false breakthrough.

Response 1: through K-line morphological recognition. When the stock price breaks through, it often closes at the Dayang line. However, with the shrinking of trading volume, the stock price will stagnate, and the K-line will also have cross stars and xiaoyin xiaoyang patterns. When the turnover shrinks rapidly, the stock price will also fall, and there will be a negative line on the K-line. In this way, in the K-line form, there are some short-term K-line combinations, such as Twilight Star, Tower Top, Covered Yinxian Line, etc. Retail investors should combine the theory of time and space measurement, take the principle that short-term obeys medium and long-term, small trend obeys big trend, and small form obeys big form, and integrate short-term trend into long-term trend form for compound judgment.

Coping 2: Identify with moving average. Will the stock price fall to the key long-term moving average soon? If the stock price just broke through the pattern, that is, it encountered an important support line, and then the stock price stabilized, indicating that the previous break below the pattern may be a false breakthrough. After the stock price breaks upward, it will generally continue to rise along the 5-day moving average, and will also stop falling near the 5-day moving average when it returns. The 5-day moving average and the 1 moving average are arranged in a long position. However, a fake breakthrough is different. After the stock price broke a new high, it began to shrink sideways, which made retail investors mistakenly think that it was a retracement confirmation after the breakthrough, but the stock price fell below the 5-day moving average and then fell below the 10 moving average. When the 5-day moving average and the 10 moving average form a dead fork, a false breakthrough can be confirmed. Retail investors should combine other technical analysis tools to make three-dimensional judgments, especially pay attention to breakthroughs with signs of reversal. Generally, the first breakthrough is mostly a false breakthrough. There is a gap in the breakthrough process, and the retreat trend line is fast and powerful, which is also a feature of false breakthrough.

Response 3: Stop loss with time. This method emphasizes leaving as soon as possible after the false breakthrough to reduce the losses caused by the false breakthrough. Generally speaking, it is based on the following situations: successful breakthroughs are generally crisp and neat, often breaking through the breakthrough position you set quickly, and then leaving the breakthrough position quickly to make you profit; In contrast, fake breakthroughs are often timid, either touching the breakthrough position and then going in the opposite direction, or barely breaking through the breakthrough position and stopping. Anyway, it is difficult to make a profit. Using this feature, 2-3 time units after the breakthrough, there is still no action in favor of you in the market. You can think that this is not a successful breakthrough and leave. Although there may be losses, it is often very small compared with the stop loss, which can reduce the loss of false breakthrough.

Response 4: Open positions in batches. Opening positions in batches is actually an extension of the price filter belt. Its core idea is to abandon the mode of buying or selling the whole warehouse, but to divide the whole warehouse into three or four batches, each of which is equipped with different price filter belts, so as to smoothly filter out different degrees of false breakthroughs at a small cost.

Technical form analysis of false breakthrough

First, the false V-shaped bottom. Figure 1, Kelon Electric (00092 1): The share price dropped from 17.00 yuan to below 6.00 yuan. At this time, the stock price stabilized and rebounded, and the stock price broke through the 30-day moving average. At this point, some investors believe that the stock has formed a V-shaped bottom shape, which is an opportunity to do more intervention. However, since then, the stock price has not risen, but has continued to fall. In fact, if you look at the long-term K-line chart of the stock, you will find that the high point of the rebound has not broken through the suppression of the long-term decline track of the stock, and this channel has the function of limiting the drastic changes of the stock price.

Second, the false W-shaped bottom. Fig. 2. Yun Sheng Industry (600767): The stock price began to fall from the highest price 1 1.58 yuan, and the lowest price fell to 4.25 yuan, a huge drop. At this time, the stock price stabilized and rebounded, rebounding to a high point and then falling back. When it falls back to the previous low point, it rebounds again, forming a very beautiful W-shaped bottom shape. This form is not unattractive, so retail investors have stepped in and secretly calculated the minimum measurement increase of the W-shaped bottom. Who knows, this is a beautiful trap, the stock price fell quickly, and the beautiful wish instantly became a bubble. In fact, experienced investors already know that there is no breakthrough in the W-shaped bottom.

Third, the false latent bottom. Figure 3. Gong Xuan, Hebei (000923): After a sharp rise, the stock price peaked from 13.00 yuan, and soon fell below 9.00 yuan, with a phased decline of over 30%. At this time, the stock price has stabilized and rebounded upward after more than 30 trading days, forming a very beautiful latent bottom shape. However, the stock price did not go out of the rising market, quickly fell back and penetrated the previous low point, and then the stock price fell again. In fact, the stock did not break through the hidden bottom strongly and failed to retreat. Smart investors, even if they misjudge their involvement, must resolutely go out when they fail to quit, otherwise the losses will be even greater.

Fourth, artificial head and shoulders. Figure 4. Beijing Tourism (000802): After hitting 24.37 yuan, the stock price went down wave after wave. After two and a half years of adjustment, the stock price fell below 6.00 yuan, which was amazing. After that, the stock price fluctuated between 5.70-7.90 yuan, building a very beautiful head-shoulder-bottom shape. This attractive head-shoulder-bottom shape has attracted many people's enthusiastic participation. Who knows, this is also a beautiful trap carefully prepared by the banker, and retail investors have been fooled again. In this picture, although the stock price was released in the process of breakthrough, it did not meet the increase requirement of effective breakthrough, that is, the increase was 3%, and it fell too deeply when the withdrawal was confirmed, destroying the head, shoulder and bottom forms.

Fifth, the false bottom of the island. Figure 5. Qilu Petrochemical (600002): The stock price fell from a high level, and broke down after the platform was consolidated, which became an accelerated downward trend. Then the gap opened lower, the intraday high point fell back, and a middle line was closed, leaving a downward gap. The next day, unexpectedly, the gap opened sharply higher and closed at the daily limit, leaving an upward gap. The left and right notches form an island shape, which can be said to be an inverted figure. However, this is also an imaginary number, and the stock price has fallen again. In fact, from the perspective of the disk, the dealer's willingness to do more is not strong, the amount of energy is insufficient, the disk is not activated, and there is no V-shaped reversal situation.