In order to better understand the current price increase in the market, I deliberately went to understand it. The following are my survey data:
1. Pork price: I think pork should be sold very cheaply, 6 or 7 yuan a catty. But when my mother asked about the price of pork, the stall owner said, "14 yuan a catty." I was very surprised. When did it go up so much? Another customer nearby said, "I haven't eaten pork for many days, and I don't know what it tastes like." If you want to eat meat, you can only buy some mutton to eat hot pot, otherwise you can't afford anything else, and the eggs are ridiculously long. Originally, 3.4 can make a scrambled egg, and now 4.2 can fry a plate. " Now I will buy some pork for China New Year. "I have long heard that the national government has been trying to control the rise in pork prices, but now it seems that it has no effect.
The price of eggs: I only bought one or two yuan a catty, but my mother told me, "that was the price a few years ago, and now it's all sold for four or five yuan a catty." I followed my mother to buy eggs. Sure enough, the price of eggs is 4.5 yuan/Jin. My mother bought ten eggs and spent more than ten yuan.
3. Vegetable price: 2008 is really a different year. There was a snowstorm a few years ago. Hubei, Hunan and Guangdong were severely affected. Due to the impassable roads, many seasonal vegetables in the north cannot be transported to the south normally. This is one of the main reasons for the price increase of vegetables. Mom went to buy lotus roots. At first glance, the price tag is 6 yuan/Jin. Buy two pieces 12 yuan. Mom said with emotion, "I buy more food now." I also secretly agree with you in my heart.
Then I walked around the market and found that the average price of vegetables was above 1 yuan. Many residents have tried to bargain, but sellers have been "complaining" that they can't be cheaper any more, and there is no way to raise prices. As soon as it goes up, it follows.
Seeing such a situation, I am really touched: life is really not easy!
From a rational point of view, the rise in prices in the past two years has indeed had a certain impact on low-income families who were originally living in difficulties. The fluctuation of food prices has also affected the lives of ordinary citizens, especially low-income families in cities.
Generally speaking, the life of urban residents in China is basically well-off, and the rise in grain and oil prices is not enough to affect the overall life of residents. However, the consumption structure of low-income families still stays in the food and clothing type. Therefore, the rise in grain and oil prices has a great impact on the lives of low-income residents.
How to stop the price increase and how to really make people live a happy life still depends on the efforts and regulation of the state and society.
People doubt whether there will be more price increases next. What is the reason for the current price increase? Is the current price increase partial or comprehensive? Will it trigger full-scale inflation? To this end, I consulted some relevant materials to deeply understand this profound topic.
I have a question, "What caused the price to rise?"
According to statistics, since the Spring Festival, the total monthly consumer price level of the whole country has increased by 5.2% compared with the same month of last year, including 4.5% in cities and 6.4% in rural areas, which is another increase after 1995. The national consumer price level exceeded 3% for three consecutive months, and it was 3.4% in May. According to statistics, in June, the consumer prices of 3/kloc-0 provinces and cities nationwide all rose by 2.4% to 8.4% compared with the same month last year. The price of food increased by 13% compared with the same month of last year, in which the price of grain increased by 3 1.7%, the price of oil increased by 2 1.2%, the price of meat and poultry and their products increased by 22.4%, and the price of fresh eggs increased by 28. 1%.
Among the new factors of rising prices, rising food prices still account for a certain proportion. In addition, the international oil price soared, driving up the prices of related raw materials and consumer goods, and the National Development and Reform Commission raised the prices of refined oil products, and its subsequent impact was reflected after the Spring Festival. According to reports, from the overall situation of the market price in Hohhot in the first half of the year, the main reason for the rise in the overall level of consumer prices is the rise in food and housing prices. Among them, the price of food increased by 2.8% compared with the same period of last year, mainly due to the increase in the prices of grain, oil, meat and poultry and their products, eggs, aquatic products and eating out. In addition, house prices rose by 4.6% compared with the same period of last year, mainly due to the increase in urban garbage disposal fees, housing loan interest rates and heating costs.
The following is a statistical data table of some price fluctuations since the Spring Festival in 2008.
Due to the international energy shortage, international oil prices continue to rise. In July 1 1 day, the oil price in the world market has exceeded 90 per barrel. Countries all over the world, including China, are accelerating the development of ethanol industry with corn as raw material, processing fuel ethanol with corn and manufacturing biodiesel with soybeans. "Changing grain into oil" has raised the price of grain and feed, affected the cost of raising pigs and chickens, and thus driven the price of meat, poultry and eggs. The large-scale development of bioenergy in the United States and other countries has greatly increased the demand for corn, soybeans and other grains, which has pushed up the price of grain in the international market, which in turn has led to an increase in the price of grain in China and affected the prices of major non-staple foods such as edible oil, meat, poultry and eggs. The rising prices of food such as grain, oil, meat and eggs have become the main reason for the rapid rise in the current overall price level.
Another message from the National Development and Reform Commission:
Since the second half of this year, people have been chanting one thing. How did food become so expensive? There is also a very professional economic vocabulary: consumer price index CPI has now become a popular word. Indeed, the grain and cereals we eat have increased a lot this year. Now everyone is very concerned about when grain and agricultural products can increase production substantially and prices can come down.
In this regard, Bi Jingquan, deputy director of the National Development and Reform Commission, believes today that the average price ratio between the purchase price of live pigs and corn in the past decade was 6. 1: 1, but now the price ratio between the purchase price of live pigs and corn has reached 9.3: 1, which is much higher than the normal price ratio, which is very conducive to mobilizing farmers' enthusiasm for raising pigs. However, due to the periodicity of pig production, the supply of pigs has undergone fundamental changes, possibly after the second quarter of next year.
However, unlike the previous price increases we have experienced, the direct cause of this food price increase is not the serious shortage of supply, but the increase of agricultural products, especially food prices. Think about the low price of grain in the past, so this round of price increase is also a correction to the distorted price system in the past to some extent. But why does the normal fluctuation of food prices quickly spread to so many agricultural products until it affects the lives of ordinary people? Obviously, the problem lies in the mode of agricultural production. Like the current pig production, it mainly depends on scattered farmers, who have poor information and weak strength, and have no strength to bear market risks. So last year, the pork market plummeted and then began to skyrocket. Many agricultural products can find such anomalies. At present, in order to stabilize food prices, departments at all levels are making active efforts. But we know that it is not only the price that needs to be regulated, but also our agricultural production methods.
The above is a macro summary based on the existing problems and actual situation.
After analysis, there are three main reasons for the price increase:
One reason: driven by the international market price. With the continuous rise in oil prices, countries such as the United States have developed bioenergy on a large scale, and the demand for corn, soybeans and other foods has increased substantially. This has led to a sharp rise in food prices in the international market, which in turn has pushed up domestic food prices and affected the prices of major non-staple foods such as edible oil, meat, poultry, eggs and milk.
The second reason: cost push. In recent ten years, China's main agricultural products have been running at a low level. The prices of major agricultural products such as rice, wheat, corn, soybeans, rape and pigs are mostly lower than those of ten years ago, and only a few varieties are slightly higher than those of ten years ago. At the same time, however, with the increase of production materials and rural labor prices, the cost of planting and breeding has risen sharply, so the current price increase of agricultural products has obvious recovery.
The third reason: the imbalance between supply and demand structure. Since the price of live pigs fell to the bottom in the first half of last year, the number of live pigs declined, and the price of live pigs began to rise periodically in the second half of last year. The epidemic situation in some areas has also aggravated the shortage of live pigs.
Expert's opinion: raising interest rates will not help to regulate prices and curb investment.
At present, the main macro-statistical variables (such as CPI, monetary aggregate, stock index, etc.) have many defects. ), which may even distort our view of the real world. Simply taking these variables as the goal of macro-control will mostly affect the effect of macro-control, and it is difficult to get the expected effect of raising interest rates.
Price has become a hot spot. How to actively and steadily deal with price fluctuations?
First of all, we need to seriously implement the "rice bag" governor responsibility system and the "vegetable basket" mayor responsibility system, and solve the problems in the production, supply and price of grain and non-staple food in time. Second, efforts should be made to keep the prices of major industrial and agricultural means of production basically stable. Comprehensive use of export control, increase reserves, strengthen supervision and other price and financial measures to stabilize fertilizer prices. Third, it is necessary to strengthen price monitoring and analysis, timely discover problems of signs and tendencies, and prevent abnormal price fluctuations. Fourth, properly handle the impact of rising prices on the broad masses, especially low-income groups, and attract attention.
For us students, there is no lack of price influence around us. For our own reaction, soaring prices have brought about an increase in spending on meals, school supplies and daily necessities. You don't have to buy beautiful clothes, but you can't eat rice. You must buy necessities, such as toothbrush, toothpaste, pen and paper. Every month, the expenditure per student will increase by about 100-200 yuan. Some students' family economy is already difficult, which is worse than the already difficult life. Even students with better family economy obviously feel the pressure brought by soaring prices. When the school started in 2008, a new topic "price" was added to the hot topic of college students. Away from society, they also began to talk about daily necessities. What should we do? To this end, I think we can alleviate the adverse effects of prices from these aspects:
First, explain the reasons for the price increase to college students in the form of formal policy courses, and do a good job of explanation and publicity to avoid adverse events caused by some college students' incomprehension.
Second, for student canteens, the government can subsidize college students' canteens through subsidies, so that students can eat cheaper meals.
Three, for students with financial difficulties, the state and relevant government departments should increase support, and not starve a student because of rising prices. Schools can also help poor college students by increasing work-study programs.
In a word, it is the responsibility of the whole society to minimize the negative impact of soaring prices on college students and let them, especially poor college students, finish their studies with peace of mind.