In the next few years, it is expected that the birth policy will be fully liberalized. Earlier, the central bank published an article in its WeChat official account, which encouraged the full liberalization of fertility. The article pointed out that the dilemma of low fertility rate faced by China was more complicated than expected, especially the suppression of female fertility desire by high housing prices, and many young families were reluctant to have children. This phenomenon is particularly obvious in big cities. Many young families still have to pay their mortgage every month. The pressure of children's car loan is too great for them, and the cost of raising and education is too high. So many people choose to marry late and have children late, or have no children at all.

The low fertility rate makes China's demographic dividend disappear gradually, although many experts point out that China can avoid the loss of demographic dividend by improving its future education level, and many even cite the examples of overseas countries. But this article points out that when the fertility rate in developed countries is low, it is already a developed stage. However, after the arrival of the low birth trap, China is still in the developing stage, and its bearing capacity cannot be compared with that of developed countries.

Moreover, because of China's previous family planning policy, many women who are willing to have children have never given birth to triplets and quadruplets, which will lead to a decline in the number of newborns in China, which may be faster than that in other countries. Combined with China's status as a developing country, it may have a negative impact on China society.

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On April 14, the central bank issued the working paper "Understanding and Countermeasures of Population Transition in China", proposing that China should realize that the population situation has changed and that the demographic dividend was used comfortably at that time and was a debt that needed to be repaid afterwards; We should realize that population inertia is a great power across generations, and its reaction will lead to population changes in the opposite direction; It is necessary to realize that education and scientific and technological progress can hardly make up for the decline in population. To this end, it is necessary to fully liberalize and encourage childbearing, effectively solve women's difficulties in pregnancy, childbirth, nursery and school, make comprehensive policies, make long-term efforts, and strive to achieve the long-term vision of 2035 and the goal of a century-long struggle.