The European debt crisis has deteriorated again and again.

Global economic growth has slowed down significantly,

Master of Home Economics

Actively regulate the real estate market and resolve the risks of investment and financing platforms.

Economic growth is facing greater downward pressure.

International ring

The environment is full of complexity and uncertainty, and the domestic economy is seeking a new balance.

In view of the economic situation abroad,

Let's look at several major economies and big countries that affect the world economy.

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Emerging markets such as China, the European Union, Japan and BRIC countries. The US economy maintained moderate growth. American median

House prices rose year on year,

Newly started houses maintained rapid growth,

The real estate market continues to pick up.

Commercial retail maintenance

Steady growth,

Consumer confidence index is at a high level after the crisis.

The unemployment rate has dropped.

According to the American economy

Scientists estimate that,

At this stage, America's innovative vitality keeps it flexible and competitive.

Short-term maximum

The challenge comes from employment and debt pressure.

Low employment growth rate will affect the sustainability of consumption,

Fiscal austerity is unfavorable.

Economic recovery may also trigger financial market volatility.

Secondly,

The EU will maintain zero growth or slight recession.

The process of dealing with the European debt crisis is slow.

But on the whole,

It is still developing in the expected direction.

With the actual operation of the European Stability Mechanism,

And promoting fiscal union,

A surname; Short for Europe; lucky

Financial markets in Europe are likely to stabilize gradually.

But how to get rid of the high unemployment rate,

High inflation and zero or even negative growth

State,

Is still a huge challenge.

Financial market stability is only the first step,

The vitality and competitiveness of the real economy are not

Problems such as insufficient internal development and imbalance are difficult to see obvious results in the short term.

Third, Japan's economy is slowing down.

20 13

The pulling effect of post-disaster reconstruction and power supply restoration in

Obviously weakened.

Japan provoked the Diaoyu Islands dispute regardless of historical facts.

Influence on Sino-Japanese trade and global division of labor chain

The blow will last for a while.

In order to prevent the appreciation of the yen and try to get out of deflation,

Take measures to invest huge sums of money.

However, there is still great uncertainty about its impact.

Finally,

Emerging markets are not motivated enough to rebound.

With the new round of monetary easing,

Commodity prices will rise gradually.

Go higher and stay at a relatively high level,

This will be conducive to the recovery of investment and consumption in resource exporting countries.

Among the BRICS countries,

With the return of funds to developing countries, Turkey, Indonesia, Nigeria, Poland

Other countries will also have some new highlights.

However, due to the overall lack of innovation potential and dependence on the external market,

boom town

The momentum of market recovery is still insufficient.

Judging from the economic situation in China,

Comparing the economic situation of the United States and the European Union,

China's economic situation is relative.

It has risen steadily and slightly, but due to the fluctuation of the world economy, there are still problems such as rising prices. Leave China.

Population growth is generally stable.

In the past ten years,

China's foreign trade is growing at an average annual rate,

But this year

In recent years, global trade has obviously deviated from the historical trend.

According to the international situation and past experience next year,

Parallel inspection

Considering the rising labor costs in China,

The gradual weakening of low-cost advantages and structural adjustment and upgrading,

It is expected that next year

Export growth is roughly the same as this year.

Secondly,

Since the beginning of this year, the consumption growth in China has remained basically stable.

In the current economic recession,

Overall employment

Stable,

The income of urban and rural residents maintained rapid growth,

It laid the foundation for the steady growth of consumption.

Real estate sales stagnated.

Continue to pick up, residential decoration, building materials, home appliances, furniture and other consumption will pick up.

According to car purchase

The cycle and trend of crude oil price,

The consumption of automobiles and petroleum products will maintain steady growth.

Affected by inflation expectations,

Due to the demand for value preservation, the consumption of jewelry and precious metals has recovered.

In addition,

The pressure of rising prices in China has increased this year.

Influenced by the new round of global loose monetary policy,

Higher commodity prices and short-term capital returns may push up prices next year.

consumer price index (CPI)

. The supply and demand of food are usually in

Tightly balanced mode,

International,

Domestic supply shocks or monetary easing can easily turn expectations of rising prices into rising prices.

Reality. Then consider factor price reform and so on.

consumer price index (CPI)

Leave some room for growth.

Comprehensive judgment shows that the world economy is still in a period of deep adjustment this year, and domestic demand faces certain downside risks.

The pressure of rising prices has increased.

The annual economic growth is roughly the same as last year.

Consider the stage of development and

Potential uncertainty,

In order to maintain the basic stability of China's economy in the process of seeking a new balance,

For the system

Reform and structural adjustment create conditions, which are also conducive to sending a positive and rational regulatory signal to the market.

China should formulate corresponding economic policies,

Establish a new concept of macro-control.

Due to the speed benefit model

There is no fundamental change,

In the short term, the economic growth rate has fallen too fast.

The losses are expanding.

Financial risks may

Concentrated explosion. Therefore, we must establish the basic idea of macro-control to stabilize growth, stabilize benefits and prevent risks. get through

Demand management,

Focusing on preventing the sharp decline of economic growth in the short term,

So as to stabilize the quality of economic operation.

Effectively prevent and resolve various risks.

Secondly,

Pay equal attention to short-term policies and medium-and long-term policies,

Promote the smooth transformation of growth momentum.

China's economy is growing.

A critical period of long-term transformation and seeking a new balance.

The change of growth stage is essentially the change of growth motivation.

Nohara

The competitive advantage is gradually weakening,

The gradual formation of new competitive advantages,

It was also the original balance that was broken.

need

The process of rediscovering and establishing a new balance,

The overall economic operation is relatively fragile.

We will continue to implement a proactive fiscal policy.

While maintaining a prudent monetary policy,

Pay attention to the combination of demand policy and supply policy,

Short-term policy and medium-and long-term politics

Policy mix,

Enhance policy flexibility and effectiveness,

Strive to solve the difficulties in the production and operation of enterprises,

Accelerate structural adjustment

Stand up,

Cultivate new competitive advantages,

Promote the transformation of growth momentum and the substantive transformation of development mode,

Facilitating country

The private economy is running smoothly.

At the same time,

Further improve the real estate regulation and control policies,

Strive to realize the smooth operation of the real estate market.

First, on the basis of summing up local experience, further improve the purchase restriction policy. Second, when the loan interest rate is lowered,

Appropriately increase the down payment ratio,

Prevent the buyer's ability to pay from being greater in the short term due to the adjustment of monetary policy.

Change,

In turn, market demand and housing prices fluctuated greatly.

The third is to encourage gradient consumption and increase the supply of second-hand houses.

Here you are.

Fourth, pay more attention to the regulatory role of local governments in land supply.

Increase the number of hot cities such as Beijing

Land supply, ease the contradiction between supply and demand and stabilize real estate investment.

In general,

While continuing to implement a proactive fiscal policy and a prudent monetary policy,

China should pay attention to demand.

Seek the combination of policy and supply policy, short-term policy and medium-and long-term policy, and enhance the flexibility and effectiveness of policies.

Strive to solve the difficulties in the production and operation of enterprises,

Accelerate the pace of structural adjustment,

Cultivate new competitive advantages,

Promote growth

The transformation of long-term power and the substantial transformation of development mode will promote the smooth operation of the national economy.

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