The report on the operation of the real estate market in 2009 released by the National Bureau of Statistics yesterday showed the madness of the property market last year for the first time. According to statistics, in 2009, both the volume, sales and price increase of commercial housing set a historical record. Among them, the transaction price of new houses rose by more than 20% for the first time, reaching 24%.
Annual sales exceeded 4 trillion.
According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, in 2009, the national commercial housing sales area was 937 1.3 million square meters, an increase of 42.6438+0% over the previous year. Among them, the sales area of commercial housing increased by 43.9%; The sales area of office buildings increased by 30.8%; The sales area of commercial business premises increased by 24.2%.
Prior to this, the hottest property market sales were in 2007, with an annual sales area of 760 million square meters. Last year, this figure was more than 23% higher than the all-time high.
In terms of housing prices, the sales of commercial housing in 2009 was 4,399.5 billion yuan, an increase of 75.5% over the previous year. Among them, the sales of commercial housing increased by 80.0%, and the sales of office buildings and commercial buildings increased by 66.9% and 45.5% respectively.
Based on this data, the average transaction price of new commercial housing in 2009 was 4695 yuan/square meter, up nearly 24% compared with 2008, of which the price of commercial housing rose by 25%.
Director of the comprehensive research department of Shanghai Yiju Real Estate Research Institute said that these two increases were the biggest in 15 years. In 2004, the average transaction price of new commercial housing in China increased by nearly 18%, in 2007 it was about 15%, in 2005 it was about 14%, and it did not exceed 10% in other years.
The supply shortage will continue.
As can be seen from the data, only the sales have increased substantially, while the investment in land acquisition and development related to future market supply is still in a tight state, which means that the future property market may still be in a state of short supply.
In 2009, the national real estate development enterprises completed the land acquisition area of 319.06 million square meters, down18.9% from the previous year; The completed land development area was 230.06 million square meters, down 19.9%. The biggest impact of land development reduction is that the future will inevitably lead to a decrease in the listing of commercial housing.
In addition, the investment in real estate development in 2009 was 3,623.2 billion yuan, an increase of 16. 1% over the previous year. Among them, the investment in commercial housing was 25.61900 million yuan, an increase of 14.2%, accounting for 70.7% of the investment in real estate development.
The housing construction area of real estate development enterprises nationwide was 365.438+0.96 billion square meters, an increase of 654.38+0.2% over the previous year; Newly started construction area165438+54 million square meters, with an increase of12.5%; The completed housing area was 702 million square meters, an increase of 5.5%. Among them, the completed residential area was 577 million square meters, an increase of 6.2%.
Although the development and construction data showed positive growth, compared with the volume growth data, it is still stretched.
"House prices can't go up any more"
The historic outbreak of the real estate market in 2009 once again allowed the government to make regulation. From last year's 65438+February to this year's 65438+ 10, the central government has issued policies to regulate the property market five times.
However, in the opinion of analysts, the regulation of the property market is likely to breed new imbalance between supply and demand. According to the latest macro analysis report of CICC Securities, due to the unusually hot real estate sales in the past year and the relatively lagging completion, the current housing inventory level in major cities is at a historical low level, and the average inventory in 15 major cities nationwide can only meet the demand of 10 month, and the imbalance between supply and demand may further push up housing prices.
According to the report, in the long run, before 20 15, China's population structure still supported the rise of housing prices, and the government's lack of social security and other public expenditures forced residents to buy houses as their own protection, pushing up rigid demand, and property buyers were in a "prisoner's dilemma" and had to buy, so the rising trend of real estate prices would not change.
Sun, deputy chief engineer of the Housing Industrialization Promotion Center of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, said at the first "China Classic Housing" and Urban Economic Development Summit Forum that the current housing prices can't go up any more. However, the focus of property market regulation should not be to reduce housing prices, but to adjust the supply structure and increase the supply of ordinary housing, especially small and medium-sized units and low-priced housing.
Sun pointed out that one of the main problems in the real estate market at present is the poor control of high-end housing. According to international experience, the supply of public rental housing in the market should be second only to commercial housing. If we increase the supply of public rental housing, house prices will naturally come down.