Historical origin: The ancestors of Jews and Arabs competed for the throne. The Jews occupied Palestine and were driven away by the Romans. Later, the Arabs drove out the Romans and settled in Palestine. Zionism came into being before the First World War, aiming at restoring the Jewish state, choosing Palestine, failing to negotiate with the Palestinians and giving up.

After World War I, Britain ruled Palestine without restrictions on immigration. It coincided with the massacre of Jews in Germany in World War II, and a large number of Jews moved to Palestine, leading to chaos. Unable to solve it, the British handed it over to the United Nations. Under the intervention of the United States and the Soviet Union, the resolution divided Palestine into two parts, with Jews in the majority and Jerusalem under international jurisdiction. Then there are endless arguments.

Strategic position: the strategic position and economic value of the Middle East (land of three continents and five seas, Suez Canal, rich oil resources)

Evaluation: Political turmoil has long intensified domestic political struggles in some countries, weakened government functions and failed to provide basic guarantees for economic development and social stability. After the coups in Tunisia and Egypt, the new government failed to be established, street politics continued, political forces regrouped, and it was difficult to form a stable and reliable government in a short time. In Egypt, for example, the Muslim Brotherhood is a political party with strong Islamic color, representing religious forces that demand to participate in national political affairs. At present, the military, which temporarily holds the state power, is the powerful faction in the state power, and dozens of secular political parties are currently dividing and merging. These three forces all play an important role in Egyptian politics, and none of them can be excluded from the government. The power base, power source, ruling idea and behavior of the three forces are very different. At present, Egypt is formulating a new constitution under the leadership of the military, but any new constitution must meet the needs of these three forces. Historically, these three forces have never worked closely together, and it will never happen overnight to form a stable cooperation framework in the future. The political situation in Libya and Yemen is even more worrying. Because of the existence of tribal forces, the possibility of long-term internal affairs will not be ruled out, and the people will be thrown into the abyss of despair. Therefore, American Middle East observers assert that the political turmoil in the Middle East has just begun.

Enlightenment to us:

First, the country cannot be weak, and it will be beaten if it falls behind.

Second, dictatorship is unpopular, so we should do a good job in democracy that suits our country and let more people participate in and discuss state affairs.

Third, the state should do its own thing and let the people live and work in peace. Must represent the fundamental interests of the overwhelming majority of the people. Citizens should study hard and work hard for the prosperity of the country.

Fourth, western powers are shameless countries. Especially for people in other countries. This is the case in Afghanistan, Iran, Libya and Yemen in the Middle East and North Africa. You must put it behind you.

Whether the domino effect caused by the turmoil in the Middle East and North Africa will continue, and whether Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan and other countries will become the next target of the United States remains to be closely watched. But not long ago, some people with ulterior motives inside and outside China incited domestic residents to gather illegally through the Internet in an attempt to trigger "street politics". It can't be said that an individual is trying to lead the chaos to China. We should be very sober and highly vigilant about this. Thousands of years of civilization in China have proved that the western powers always want to put China, which has a vast territory and rich products, under their control, and an independent and powerful China has always been the hope of people of all nationalities. After more than 30 years of reform and opening-up, China is making unprecedented achievements and development, and courageously marching towards the bright future of great rejuvenation. We should cherish this and consciously safeguard the hard-won harmony and stability.

Political earthquakes and geographical earthquakes have made Libya and Japan dangerous and uninhabitable for a time, and countries have issued warnings and advised their citizens not to travel, which just confirms Confucius' point of view. Compared with the past, not to mention the Confucius era, the world has changed a lot compared with the world before this round of globalization. For countries, companies, groups and individuals living in a globalized world, if they want to learn from the crises in Libya and Japan, they should seriously study how to reduce the risk of globalization, how to avoid it once the crisis occurs, and how to minimize the loss of life and wealth.

Facing the crisis in Libya, the China government made a decisive decision and successfully evacuated more than 30,000 compatriots working in Libya, which attracted worldwide attention. However, when Libya's civil war and western allied military intervention in Libya, China also began to calculate the losses in Libya. If the loss is limited to commercial interests, no matter how high it is. The problem is that China's retreat from the Libyan incident has serious warning significance. Ignoring or ignoring the potential major political and security dangers and crises in some countries and regions, it seems that it is not of strategic significance to enter this business on a large scale, including long-term huge investment.

Western comments on China in Africa are not all bitter, but there are some experiences and advice. For example, some western experts on China-Africa relations have repeatedly pointed out that China will not have security immunity in Africa just because it comes from the developing world and pursues a foreign policy different from that of the West. China will also encounter setbacks and blows from western companies and countries in Africa. It is not so easy for foreign forces to gain a foothold in the African continent. The large-scale history of China's real contact with Africa, especially the political mutual support and economic interdependence, is the story of the past 50 years, or more accurately, the past 10 years. Europeans and westerners, on the other hand, have a history of 500 years, starting from the evil slave trade, colonizing Africa in all directions, and then "decolonizing" and establishing new aid relations.

One is 500 years and the other is 50 years. No matter how China's foreign policy and African policy stand on the moral high ground (supporting the development of people in developing countries and supporting them to take the road of their own choice, not the road imposed by foreign forces), China's experience and understanding of Africa is still lacking and immature after only 50 years of contact. In some ways, it is necessary to learn from Europeans and Americans about Africa and how to deal with it better.

China needs to keep in mind our ancient philosophy "Never enter a dangerous country, never give birth to a chaotic country" and learn from the current international setbacks. Only in this way can China truly "go out".