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The Development Prospect of Logistics Industry in China
Looking back on the development of China's logistics industry in 2009, there are some new features as follows: First, the State Council issued the Logistics Industry Adjustment and Revitalization Plan, and all regions and departments promoted the development of the logistics industry. In March, 2009, the State Council issued "Logistics Industry Adjustment and Revitalization Plan", which included the promotion of logistics industry in the "package plan" to deal with the international financial crisis, and rose to the national strategic level, which greatly boosted the confidence of the whole industry and promoted the status of logistics industry in the overall development of national economy. The National Development and Reform Commission set up special funds to support the "nine major projects" included in the plan by means of discount loans. The Ministry of Commerce organized the evaluation of the establishment of modern logistics demonstration cities in the circulation field, and the first batch of 46 demonstration cities have been publicized online. The Ministry of Finance set up special funds for the development of rural logistics service system, the promotion of service industry development and the agglomeration of service industry functional areas to provide financial support for rural logistics, trade logistics and logistics infrastructure construction. The Ministry of Science and Technology, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments are studying and implementing policies and measures to support the development of the logistics industry in combination with their own work functions. Local governments at all levels have increased their support for the logistics industry. Second, the logistics market has generally stabilized and rebounded, with obvious structural changes. In 2009, the logistics industry in China recovered in response to the crisis, and the logistics pattern accelerated, showing obvious seasonal and structural changes. The growth rate of total social logistics was low before and then high, with a decrease of 3.3% in the first quarter, 0.8% in the first half, 2% in the third quarter and 15% in the fourth quarter. In the composition of total social logistics, the total import logistics decreased by13% year-on-year; Total industrial product logistics increased by 8% year-on-year. Driven by the national policy of expanding domestic demand, the logistics of automobiles, household appliances and electronic products has grown at a high speed; The logistics demand for infrastructure construction and post-disaster reconstruction has increased significantly; The logistics demand of agricultural products, food and consumer goods has increased steadily. Third, logistics enterprises expand to large-scale operation and specialized services. There are various forms of merger and reorganization of logistics enterprises, and the pace is accelerated. Small and medium-sized logistics enterprises explore new alliance models and implement joint marketing. Some logistics enterprises form strategic alliances with major customers, and participate in customer marketing activities while contracting logistics business. Through the integration of logistics resource elements, the concentration of logistics enterprises will be further improved. Logistics enterprises take the road of specialized service. Many logistics enterprises' innovative business and value-added services, such as supplier management inventory, supply chain finance and bonded logistics, all show strong anti-risk ability. Fourth, industrial logistics accelerates integration and interaction. In 2009, driven by the policy of expanding domestic demand, the total retail sales of consumer goods and the total sales of means of production in China reached 12 trillion yuan and 27.74 trillion yuan respectively, which brought about the rapid growth of the logistics volume of the circulation industry. Traditional wholesale markets have upgraded their logistics functions, chain retail enterprises have reconstructed their logistics systems, and emerging formats such as e-commerce, online shopping and futures delivery are increasingly dependent on third-party logistics enterprises. In 2009, the No.1 Document of the Central Committee focused on agricultural logistics and put forward specific policies. The Ministry of Transport and other six departments jointly issued the Opinions on Promoting the Development of Rural Postal Logistics. All regions are required to incorporate rural postal infrastructure and the construction of postal "three rural" service outlets into the new rural construction plan, give policy support, and make overall and coordinated progress. Fifth, the construction of logistics infrastructure has advanced by leaps and bounds. In 2009, the development of logistics infrastructure was the fastest. The national investment in railway capital construction is 600 billion yuan, exceeding the sum of the Ninth Five-Year Plan and the Tenth Five-Year Plan. The operating mileage reaches 86,000 kilometers, ranking second in the world. In the whole year, the investment in fixed assets of civil aviation in roads and waterways in the whole society was 1. 1.3 trillion yuan, up by 3 1% year-on-year. The mileage of newly added expressways is 98,000 kilometers; 96 new deep-water berths above 10,000 tons were added; Increase inland waterway mileage1192km; The total construction area of the civil airport terminal building increased by 660,000 square meters. In 2009, 47 19 kilometers of expressways were built nationwide. By the end of the year, the total mileage of expressways had reached 65,000 kilometers, ranking second in the world. Under the background of implementing the "Logistics Industry Adjustment and Revitalization Plan", the logistics park has gained new development opportunities. Sixth, the basic work of the logistics industry has been solidly promoted. The 2009 -20 1 1 year logistics standard special plan compiled by the national standardization management Committee in conjunction with the national development and reform commission and other relevant departments has been basically finalized, and a number of new industry standards are being formulated. There are 743 A-level logistics enterprises recognized by the national standard of Classification and Evaluation Index of Logistics Enterprises. There are 92 logistics enterprises that have been rated as A-level credit in the logistics industry. The statistical system of social logistics is released regularly, and the purchasing managers' index (PMI) has been attached great importance by the leaders of the State Council, and the society has paid wide attention to it. There are more than 2,000 colleges and universities offering logistics majors, with more than 6,543,800 students. More than 65438+ 10,000 people participated in the qualification training of logistics division, and nearly 70,000 people obtained the qualifications of senior logistics division, logistics division and assistant logistics division. The research on logistics theory has reached a new level, with 860 papers and 1 12 research topics received at the 8th China Logistics Academic Annual Conference alone. Nearly 1000 people from all walks of life at home and abroad attended the annual logistics academic grand meeting. Several Issues Needing Special Attention in the Development of China's Logistics Industry According to the changes in the development environment of the logistics industry and the reality of its own development, 20 10 should pay special attention to the following issues: First, the total logistics volume continues to grow and the pace of structural adjustment is accelerated. With the slow recovery of the world economy and the continuity and stability of national macroeconomic policies, China's economy will maintain steady and rapid growth. Therefore, the growth rate of logistics industry in China in 20 10 will be higher than that in 2009. It is estimated that the total social logistics will increase by about 15%, the added value of the logistics industry will increase by about 10%, and the proportion of total social logistics expenses to GDP will continue to decline. At the same time, the demand structure, regional structure and industry structure of the logistics industry will accelerate the pace of adjustment, and the requirements for logistics service quality will be further improved. Second, the requirements for specialization and refinement of logistics services are getting higher and higher. With the economic development and structural adjustment, the specialization process of logistics market is accelerated, and the demand for logistics services is diversified and personalized. From the perspective of supply and demand structure, it is difficult for general services and traditional transportation and warehousing services to meet the professional and personalized needs; Specialized, customized and integrated supply chain services are seriously inadequate. From the development trend, professional logistics services that can meet the professional production needs of enterprises and refined services that meet the needs of lean production will gain greater development space. Logistics is compatible with business flow, information flow and capital flow, and it is integrated with manufacturing, circulation and financial industry, so the demand for integrated supply chain services will grow rapidly. Third, the pressure of rising costs of logistics enterprises has increased, and mergers and acquisitions have accelerated. From the analysis of the current situation, international oil prices have entered the upward channel, inflation expectations have increased, labor costs and land resource costs have continued to rise, and the prices of various factors required for the operation of logistics enterprises have shown an upward trend. Coupled with the intensified market competition, it is difficult to increase the service price accordingly. Under the double squeeze of cost and price, the profit space of logistics enterprises will be further compressed. At the same time, private equity funds, venture capital funds and industrial investment funds have injected more capital into logistics enterprises to promote the structural adjustment and merger and reorganization of logistics enterprises. Fourthly, the impact of regional economic integration and urbanization on the logistics industry. In recent years, especially in 2009, the State Council has intensively introduced plans and policies to promote regional economic development, and the pace of regional economic integration has accelerated. With the promotion of economic development and the encouragement of national policies,100000 people will enter cities and towns from rural areas every year in China, which puts forward new requirements for the quantity and quality of logistics services. We should attach importance to regional logistics integration and urbanization development and adjust the layout of logistics services in a timely manner. We should pay more attention to and support the logistics services in the central and western regions, northeast old industrial bases, urban development zones and urban-rural fringe areas. Fifth, the impact of the new pattern of logistics infrastructure construction on the logistics industry. As the country has increased its investment in infrastructure, the formation of an integrated transportation system has accelerated. A number of passenger dedicated lines have been completed and put into use, and the railway capacity will be released quickly, creating conditions for passenger and cargo separation. With the gradual formation of expressway network, the road transportation pattern will be adjusted. The role of highway in railway and water transportation is further manifested, and the intermodal and transshipment hubs connected by various modes of transportation are facing a new layout. With the implementation of the adjustment and revitalization plan of the logistics industry, the construction of logistics parks and distribution centers will be accelerated. How to establish a modern logistics service system according to the planning requirements and avoid repeated construction will be a new topic. Sixth, the impact of "low-carbon economy" on the logistics industry. It is the mission of all mankind to curb climate warming and save the earth's homeland. Our government has made a solemn commitment to this end, and the emission reduction target will be incorporated into the long-term planning of national economic and social development as a binding indicator. The requirement of "low-carbon economy" has formed a reverse mechanism for "green logistics", and the logistics operation mode must be greatly changed. 1. The trend of internal logistics to specialization and socialization. Under the planned economy system, enterprises, regardless of size, have formed a model of "small but comprehensive" and "big and comprehensive". Almost all enterprises have their own internal logistics organizations and are equipped with corresponding facilities. Although the internal transportation task is very limited, it is necessary to purchase certain transportation vehicles and loading and unloading equipment. It is reported that 36% of the raw materials needed by industrial enterprises for production and operation are transported by themselves, and suppliers bear 46%. Only 18% really rely on third-party logistics enterprises to complete the transportation task. In the field of circulation, enterprises pay their own freight, accounting for 24%, and it is estimated that cooperation with third-party logistics will bear 59%; The third party logistics is less than 16%. Commercial enterprises take care of themselves and deliver goods to their doors, which are 76% and 17% respectively, while logistics enterprises only account for 7% of the freight. In this way, the retention rate of logistics facilities in most enterprises is very high and the utilization rate is very low. This self-service logistics organization has affected the development of specialized and socialized logistics, which is not conducive to the full use of logistics equipment and the rational flow of professional logistics personnel. At the same time, enterprises lack the motivation and means to improve efficiency and reduce costs. Therefore, with the expansion of the production and operation scale of the industry, it has become inevitable for the development of the logistics industry to try to streamline or divest the internal logistics of enterprises and gradually change to specialization and socialization. 2. The trend of changing from a specialized socialized logistics enterprise to a three-dimensional multimodal transport logistics system. The existing professional logistics service mode in China is very limited, with low operation level, single logistics mode, few effective means, primitive, small organization scale and lack of competitiveness. According to incomplete statistics, there are 2.74 million highway logistics enterprises in China, with 5.42 million registered trucks, with an average of only 1.97 vehicles per enterprise. There are only a handful of enterprises with 100 vehicles, only a few enterprises such as cosco and Chinese and foreign companies. There are few logistics enterprises with large transportation capacity and high facilities level that have developed into a considerable scale, and there are still problems such as low management level, service quality to be improved, lack of service norms and reasonable internal management procedures. Those small logistics enterprises have small distribution facilities, poor logistics distribution and storage capacity and low level, which are easy to cause cargo damage. Some small enterprises have limited maintenance power, vehicles often work with diseases, and traffic safety problems occur from time to time, making it difficult to ensure the transportation safety of high value-added goods. Moreover, it is often difficult to communicate and negotiate with cross-regional logistics because of the self-contained logistics system in all parts of the country and the restriction of the interest pattern of departments and regions. On the one hand, low-level and small-scale logistics enterprises are still registered and increasing, on the other hand, a considerable number of logistics enterprises have not fully played their role, so thousands of logistics professional companies compete blindly in the low-level market, resulting in a great waste of logistics resources. The modern logistics system of three-dimensional multimodal transport has obvious comparative advantages such as simple procedures, safe and fast, reasonable freight rate and improved service quality. This is an efficient logistics model, which can greatly enhance the overall comprehensive competitiveness of logistics system enterprises. This advanced logistics mode is not only beneficial to the single mode of road, railway, aviation and sea transportation, but also the hope of shippers and carriers. 3. We must change from the traditional original loading and unloading logistics to the modern green logistics integration. This trend is becoming more and more obvious and urgent. This is not only beneficial to nature and society, but also an inherent requirement to improve the quality of logistics. As long as traditional logistics can transport goods from place A to place B, no one will ask about the ways and means of transportation. Whether Scientific Outlook on Development can be implemented, whether a conservation-oriented production and consumption society can be established, and whether economic construction, cultural construction and social construction can develop in a balanced and coordinated way are important criteria for measuring logistics industry and logistics system. Therefore, the use of vehicles, the construction of ports, docks and facilities in the logistics system should be measured by this standard, which is not only the requirement of Scientific Outlook on Development, but also the need of the development of modern logistics itself. Some people call the logistics system of high-power diesel vehicles running all over the street, spitting thick black smoke and making harsh noise, full of cars, empty cars, loading and unloading all packaging, dirty oil and sundries everywhere, polluting the environment and destroying the ecology black logistics. The logistics in Shanghai and the Yangtze River Delta also has this phenomenon. Due to the influence of disorderly competition, the overall competitiveness is low, and the inefficient abuse of logistics resources such as terminals and means of transport coexists with the repeated construction of roads, ports and airports, which is out of harmony with the ecological balance. It is suggested that relevant regions and competent departments should focus on the overall situation and take the invisible hand of the market and the visible hand of the government to coordinate and integrate logistics resources. First of all, we should have a unified logistics development plan and logistics positioning in related regions, and make clear their respective goals and regional goals; Secondly, efforts should be made to create conditions, build a green logistics assimilation platform, share logistics information, make full and effective use of ports, stations, vehicles and various modes of transportation, strengthen logistics information communication and unified management of goods supply, prohibit trucks with trucks from being light and empty, introduce electric vehicles, use low-pollution mixed gas vehicles, reduce the number of trucks, improve packaging (multiple use), reduce the volume of goods, realize energy-saving operation and improve goods. To purify the ecological environment, we should use technical standards, environmental protection standards and social responsibility standards to restrain and transform the traditional logistics industry into green logistics, which is an important step to improve the internal quality and competitiveness of logistics. Green logistics is the trend of quality logistics, scientific logistics and the general trend.