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Transportation during the Spring Festival
Recently, the Economic and Trade Department of the National Development and Reform Commission and the Economic Construction Department of the Ministry of Finance jointly launched the tender for the qualification of new commodity fertilizer storage enterprises in the off-season of 2018/9, and officially released the tender announcement for new commodity fertilizer storage projects in the off-season of 20 18/20 19. The storage task of chemical fertilizer is 465,438+500,000 tons, and the validity period is tentatively set at 2 years. It is understood that the total fresh storage in 20 17/20 18 is only 4.59 million tons. With the change of the situation, the Economic and Trade Department of the National Development and Reform Commission and the Economic Construction Department of the Ministry of Finance issued a document at the beginning of 20 18, adding the task of 5.5 million tons of light storage in 20 17/20 18. On this basis, in 20 18/20 19, the fresh storage of chemical fertilizers was increased by 4150,000 tons, making the total fresh storage of chemical fertilizers reach about100,000 tons this season.
Supply and demand are closely balanced, and light storage can play the role of "reservoir".
Since the implementation of chemical fertilizer storage and storage in 2004, both the scale and the number of storage and storage enterprises have been adjusted according to market changes: from the initial 610.5 million tons to 2010.8 million tons in three years, it has remained at the level of10.8 million tons per year in recent years; The number of warehousing enterprises has expanded from the initial 20 to more than 90, covering 29 provinces, cities and districts across the country. The thin storage system has made outstanding contributions to ensure the brisk sales, stable prices and stable supply of domestic fertilizers, and to realize the "Tenth Five-Year Harvest" of China's grain and ensure national food security.
Xiu Xuefeng, executive vice chairman of China Phosphate Compound Fertilizer Industry Association, combed the background of establishing fresh storage system and the present situation of fertilizer market. She said that in order to cope with the tight balance between supply and demand of fertilizers at that time, it was easy to cause the local market price to skyrocket and plummet, and the state introduced a light storage system. With the continuous development of chemical fertilizer industry, the supply and demand of chemical fertilizer began to show a trend of oversupply. At this stage, influenced by the external environment changes of enterprises, the guidance of national policies, the acceleration of fertilizer innovation and research, and the improvement of fertilizer utilization rate, the supply of fertilizer has dropped significantly compared with previous years. At the same time, with the diversification of agricultural planting demand, low prices of agricultural products and increased market risks, the demand for chemical fertilizers has also shrunk, and production enterprises have adjusted the output of chemical fertilizers. Judging from the performance of supply and demand, there has been a tight balance between supply and demand. Xiu Xuefeng said that in this state, in order to cope with the possible large price fluctuations in some areas in a special period, the market regulation function of the thin storage system is more prominent.
Talking about the function and significance of the thin storage system, Fan Huiqun, director of the Agricultural Materials Division of the Agricultural Production Materials and Cotton and Hemp Bureau of the All-China Federation of Supply and Marketing Cooperatives, and vice president and secretary general of the China-ASEAN Agricultural Materials Chamber of Commerce, said that the commercial storage and storage system of chemical fertilizers in the off-season effectively combined the storage and operation, and initially achieved the goal of win-win for the government, industry, enterprises and farmers. First, the government has formed a large-scale fertilizer off-season reserve through market-oriented mechanism, which not only strongly supports the balanced production of fertilizer enterprises, relieves the contradiction between perennial production and seasonal use of fertilizers, but also enhances the government's macro-control ability; Second, the thin storage of chemical fertilizer has played a role in balancing the market, promoting the large-scale development of the industry and enhancing industrial concentration, promoting the optimization and upgrading of the chemical fertilizer industry and promoting the development of enterprises; Third, the thin storage of chemical fertilizer has stabilized the market price, ensured the supply of chemical fertilizer in the peak season of chemical fertilizer use, protected the enthusiasm of agricultural planting, and formed favorable conditions for stabilizing grain production and increasing farmers' income.
Judging from the development history and present situation of the fertilizer market, the implementation of the thin storage system and the increase of thin storage are of great significance, which plays an important role in maintaining the stability of the fertilizer market to the greatest extent and will become a powerful guarantee for the stable price and reasonable supply and demand of fertilizer during spring ploughing.
Market-oriented operation and weak storage also highlight the role of "wind vane"
Recently, affected by many factors, the fertilizer market has not improved as expected, and it is still in a continuous weak state. The two-way pressure of supply and demand leads to the low reserve this winter, which increases the risk and unstable factors of using fertilizer in spring ploughing. What role does the thin storage of chemical fertilizers play in the market downturn and tight balance between supply and demand?
"Fresh storage of chemical fertilizers has been implemented for more than ten years", and Zhang Zihui, deputy general manager of Sichuan meifeng Agrochemical Co., Ltd. also said that the positive significance of the off-season commercial storage system is to adjust the contradiction between supply and demand on the one hand and resolve the market crisis on the other. Xu Guoqing, general manager of the State Reserve Management Department of China Agricultural Means of Production Group Company, said that the fertilizer thin storage system has become the grasper of national macro-control, and it has the status and function of "ballast stone" and "four or two". Through market-oriented operation, the thin storage system also provides financial support for high-quality fertilizer production and circulation enterprises, and promotes the optimized development of the industry.
Meng Jie, deputy secretary-general of China Agricultural Production Materials Circulation Association, said that in the short term, bidding for new fertilizer storage projects will help promote the progress of winter storage and enhance the confidence of all parties involved in the market; In the long run, it will also play a positive role in stabilizing the supply and circulation price expectations of the fertilizer market and the stable and healthy development of the industry. Gao Jianbo, deputy general manager of China-Arab Fertilizer Co., Ltd. said that optical storage should not only stabilize the market, but also highlight the role of weather vane. According to market changes, improve the variety structure of light storage, upgrade the standards of related products, constantly adapt to the pace of agricultural modernization, and guide the chemical fertilizer industry to continuously optimize and upgrade. At present, due to the low price of agricultural products and other factors, farmers' demand for low-cost and low-end fertilizers has increased relatively, which is not conducive to the national policy requirements of "reducing weight and increasing efficiency" and improving the level of agricultural modernization. The implementation of the thin storage policy and the proposal of relevant requirements have played a guiding and guaranteeing role in the application of high-end and high-efficiency fertilizers.
Zhu, chairman of Yunnan Agricultural Means of Production Co., Ltd. believes that the off-season fertilizer reserve system effectively connects supply and demand and ensures the stability of the fertilizer market. Thin storage of chemical fertilizer is a system worthy of long-term implementation. Cao Haitao, deputy general manager of Shanxi Agricultural Resources Group Co., Ltd. said that the thin storage at the fertilizer supply side eased the pressure on capital, storage and transportation of production enterprises, ensured the timely supply of fertilizer at the demand side and the relative stability of farmers' prices, and played an important role in meeting the market fertilizer supply, stabilizing prices, and ensuring national food security and agricultural security.
Keeping pace with the times, how to improve and make good use of this system is the key.
The fertilizer dilute storage system has been highly recognized by the industry. However, in the current complex market situation, whether the new fertilizer will increase the operational risk of storage has also become a topic of concern to the industry. Zhu said that the operating rate of urea enterprises has been running at a low level due to environmental protection or gas restriction. The operating rate of gas-fired urea enterprises is less than 17%, and that of coal-fired enterprises is about 50%. At present, the delivery price of urea in Yunnan is 2100-2,200 yuan/ton, and the market price of urea has been high. At the same time, due to the low prices of grain and agricultural products, farmers' enthusiasm for purchasing agricultural materials is poor, and the downstream terminal demand is insufficient. Therefore, for dealers, storing urea in winter is risky, and the market game and wait-and-see atmosphere are strong.
He Gang, manager of Jiuhe Co., Ltd. also said that autumn and winter are the off-season of domestic fertilizer consumption, and the introduction of light storage policy has amplified the market demand in the off-season and pushed up the market price of fertilizer in the off-season by about 10%. However, after light storage, the fertilizer market showed a situation in which the market price fell and the storage enterprises lost money. How to avoid the management risk of warehousing enterprises and straighten out the cooperative relationship between manufacturers has become an important topic in front of the industry.
In this respect, storage enterprises are also constantly innovating and practicing. Zhu said that at present, Yunnan Agricultural Resources and Shanxi Yangmei Fengxi Fertilizer (Group) Co., Ltd. have carried out effective joint marketing. Manufacturers produce products, and dealers sell products from warehouses. Production enterprises reduce costs and increase market share. Circulation enterprises reduce risks and improve profit margins. The joint marketing model of joint storage, in which vendors share resources, risks and win-win cooperation, has been well received.
In response to the risk of purchasing and storage, Fan Huiqun said that purchasing and storage enterprises should strengthen market analysis and forecasting, risk prevention and control, and formulate a careful purchasing and storage task execution plan and risk prevention plan; Relevant fertilizer industry associations should strengthen fertilizer price monitoring, information release and market situation analysis and exchange. The competent department can improve the current assessment method of chemical fertilizer reserves, and promote the fresh storage of chemical fertilizers to better play the role of reservoirs and regulators in stabilizing the market.
At the same time, Wang Ye, Minister of Commerce of China Agricultural Production Materials Circulation Association, said that undertaking the task of purchasing and storing fertilizers by storage enterprises is not only an important way for storage enterprises to participate in market regulation, but also a concrete manifestation of their social responsibilities. Therefore, storage enterprises should reduce their business risks, fulfill the task of light storage with good quality and quantity, actively increase innovative business services, promote enterprise transformation and upgrading, and improve their services for agriculture, so as to face the market with the image of actively undertaking social responsibilities.
Under the background of the continuous transformation and upgrading of the chemical fertilizer industry, the chemical fertilizer thin storage system will continue to meet the needs of agriculture and the market and keep pace with the times. Xiu Xuefeng said that the thin storage system can further improve the assessment and implementation system and enhance the ability to cope with market changes, thus truly stabilizing the market. For the optical storage system, Xu Guoqing suggested: First, maintain the long-term stability of the system; The second is to maintain a certain scale of light storage, which should be maintained at around 900-120,000 tons at present; Third, according to the changes in the fertilizer market, improve the assessment and management system of thin storage in time to ensure the effective implementation of the thin storage system.
The ship was sailing in Wan Li, and there were stones in the ballast. On the whole, the chemical fertilizer dilute storage system is an important "grasping hand" to ensure market stability and plays an increasingly important role in market operation. It is a reservoir and a weather vane. However, it is a double-edged sword for storage enterprises. Facing the new changes in the fertilizer industry and the complex situation in the fertilizer market in the new period, the fresh storage system of fertilizers should keep pace with the times, persist for a long time, and constantly improve, innovate and develop in the implementation process. At the same time, enterprises should make good use of this system according to changes.
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Graphic Editor: Mix
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