It is true that a trader with no opinions is the best trader.
Traders who have no opinions do not mean that they have absolutely no opinions, or that their opinions are not what investors expect. Their point of view is that there is no way to express it in terms of long and short, rising or falling. Their no-view is essentially an opinion, and no-view is just a representation and a trading state.
A trader who has no opinion puts himself in the market and integrates himself with the K-line. The trader is the K-line, and the K-line is the trader. His decisions and actions are highly similar to those of the K-line.
On the other hand, if he really has no opinion, should he go long or short? Should I buy or sell or hold a position? Without these views, how can an agreement be reached?
In fact, there is no point here, that is, we do not subjectively guess the top and bottom, nor do we guess the trend reversal. An upward trend means an upward trend, and a downward trend means a downward trend. How can the market go? Therefore, they seem to be "okay." The trend of the market is an objective fact, and the narrative technique used here is not argumentative.
In fact, they really understand the essence of the words "follow the market and follow the trend".
The essential meaning of no viewpoint means that traders do not predict the market, follow the trend, compete with the market, focus on the present and make the right decisions and operations at the right time.
1, do not forecast the market.
Warren Buffett once said a classic sentence: it is foolish to predict the short-term rise and fall of stocks! Only two people can know whether the stock will go up or down tomorrow: one is God and the other is a liar.
At the same time, investors often hear the saying that if you can predict the three-day trend of stocks, you will be as rich as an enemy.
Obviously, the market is unpredictable.
If you can predict it, think about it. If you earn only 2 points a day, only 200 trading days a year, assuming that the principal is 654.38+ 10,000.
One year later: 65,438+ten thousand * (1+2%) 200 = 5,248,500;
Two years later: 65438+ million * (1+2%) 400 = 275466400, about 275 million;
There is no need for ............ to keep counting. In time, investors will be able to own the whole galaxy.
I often hear many great gods declare how magical and accurate their trading system is on TV, Internet and other media. It's all a bluff and can't stand the market test. If so, will they reveal the secret to you?
Conclusion: The market is unpredictable, and traders without opinions know it well. Since it is unpredictable, of course not. If it is predicted, it is a waste of time and tinkering.
2, respect the market, fear the market, follow suit.
Traders who have no opinions are traders who respect the market. They trust the market, and the trend of the market has explained everything. Profits are made with your ass, not your head.
Jesse Livermore made a profound exposition on this point. The secret of making a lot of money is that I often just sit quietly. At the same time, he also said that if I don't respect the market and follow the trend, the result is usually a loss or even bankruptcy.
What the stock sage wants to express here is that traders should wait patiently for opportunities, not YY opportunities, and feel good about themselves. When the opportunity arises, we should bravely attack and follow the trend.
For example, since February 3rd, the Growth Enterprise Market (GEM) has experienced a spectacular rise. Judging from the valuation, the GEM has been in a bubble state for a long time, even when it rose on February 3, but the whole market is speculating on the concepts of chips, consumer electronics and 5G. As a trader (remember what I said), the only thing you can do is to get on the bus in time and follow the trend. As for when it will reach its peak, it is left to the gods to do it.
3. Focus on the present and know what to do?
There is a famous saying on Wall Street: I don't know the ups and downs of the market tomorrow, but I know what I should do now.
Traders without opinions don't guess the bottom and respect the market at the same time. This is just the basic quality of top traders. The most important thing is that they will act decisively and practice and trade with real money.
The core of trading is to overcome their own subjective assumptions, overcome their own fears and greed, and take action at the same time. In the A-share market, many investors have expressed their regrets.
Isn't this nonsense? The market can solve this problem. You made the right judgment at the right time, but didn't take action. Then the market will naturally punish you for stepping on the air or losing money.
It's that simple.
4. The last meaning of traders without opinions is that there are no short-term opinions, only opinions suitable for their trading cycle.
In stock, futures or foreign exchange investment, it is every investor's dream to become a master trader. What should ordinary investors do?
1, define your own trading market and trading varieties.
For domestic investors, there are only three major commodity exchanges, the medium-term exchange and the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets. You should choose the variety you are most familiar with to trade. If you know about stocks and know the operating characteristics of the market, then focus on stock trading.
2. Trading active stocks.
Many stocks in the A-share market have fluctuated for decades, but they just don't rise, which is not the prey of traders. Such as China Petroleum and China Industrial and Commercial Bank. Instead, we should trade the hottest targets in the staged market. The fluctuation of these targets is large enough, and there will be room for profit if there is room for price difference, such as chips in recent times, consumer electronics, and the early concept of online celebrities.
Step 3 stay away from market noise
Don't read the daily comments, and don't listen to the endless grandstanding of big coffees. You make your own decisions and are responsible for your own transactions. Respect your own analysis and intuition, and don't let market noise affect your judgment.
4. Proficient in certain trading skills.
As a trader, no matter what kind of "weapon" or tool you use, remember that this tool must be your most accomplished and researched, not your understanding and cognition of the crowd. At the same time, be loyal to your tools, don't easily doubt the effectiveness of your tools, and effectively implement the operation signals that the tools tell you.
5. Effective fund management and emotional management.
Fund management can help traders avoid bankruptcy and never want Man Cang. Even if there are one or two mistakes, it will have little impact on the overall account. Emotional management requires traders to be rational and objective. When traders feel angry, uncomfortable and embarrassed, leave your trading room and go for a walk outside!
In short, traders who have no opinions are not completely independent, but they are more respectful and awe-inspiring to the market and live in harmony with the market. Everything looks like what Taoism says.
"The best trader is a trader who has no opinion" I like this sentence very much, because it can be said that it points out the essence of trading, at least that's my understanding, which coincides with the leading idea of binding theory, "unexpected measures, complete classification", and regards itself as a zero phasor, just trading with the trend, rather than determining the future of the trend.
How to understand traders without opinions
No opinion doesn't mean you don't have your own opinion. If you understand it this way, you are wrong. There is no opinion here, that is, there is no subjective consciousness. All judgments are based on objective facts, and the written explanation may be a little pale. Let's give an example to make it easier to understand.
For example, the above two screenshots of the same trend at the same time have a time difference of only one week. According to the entanglement theory, there is a high probability that a trend will end after two centers. Obviously, it is the trend after the two centers. The difference is that figure 1 does not form a bottom classification, and figure 2 forms a bottom classification. The problem comes out. If it is judged in figure 1 that the end of the trend deviation is subjective, then the judgment in figure 2 is an objective fact. Because the entanglement theory stipulates that the premise of backstroke is the end of the last stroke. Although the chart 1 is the trend after the two centers, it is likely to end the downward trend, but it is not certain. Figure 2 shows the bottom classification and confirms the establishment of backstroke, which is equivalent to increasing the probability of the end of the trend. In short, if the probability of success in figure 1 is 40%, it can reach 70% or more in figure 2, which is the difference.
Conclusion: Traders who have no opinions don't really have no opinions, but wait until the confirmation signal appears, so the success rate will be higher. You got it?
The best traders are those who have no opinions. This is a famous saying on Wall Street, and it is what Master often tells me. This means that as traders, we need to keep up with the trend and believe that the market is always right. Because all the analysis is based on the previous market trend, but the market trend is uncertain, the only certain market trend is its uncertainty, so as traders, we need to follow the trend, follow the market trend, the market is long, we will be long, the market is short, we will be short.
A good trader must not have his own thinking, nor will he have his own thinking. He only goes long or short according to the instructions issued by the market, and will not go against the trend and make subjective judgments. In other words, he will not predict or expect the market to be long or short, but pay close attention to and track the market.
For example, if he chooses a stock and it seems to be going up or definitely going up according to the market trend at that time, then he will buy long, but he will also consider that the stock may also fall in the next market, so he will set a stop loss according to technical analysis and leave when it stops, instead of thinking that it will go up and analyzing that it will go up, but in practice, he will hold it and fantasize about it.
And if the stock he analyzes does go up according to his analysis, he will keep it until it changes its trend, and he will not say to himself, "Oh, this stock has doubled. I'm afraid it will fall. I want to sell it first. " He will only be loyal to the market. When the market has been doing it for a long time, he will not short and go against the trend. He won't try to prove that he is right, but let the market tell him whether he is right or wrong, so he summed up such a famous saying: "The best trader is a trader who has no opinion." The best traders will only faithfully associate with the trend, not make decisions based on their own subjective ideas.
1. Follow the trend of the market, follow the trend, and improvise is the core of the market.
2. Not fixed, not solidified their thinking, so as to go long-term.
3. Look at the K-line objectively, look at the market objectively and look at yourself.
This is a market-oriented trading road, not self-oriented.
At present, I think there are three kinds of traders in the market. The first one is just entering the business, and everything goes with the feeling. The outstanding phenomenon is that if it rises more, it will be empty, and if it falls more, it will buy it.
The second is to analyze traders, mainly analyzing and forecasting, learning a lot of theories, and making the K-line diagram into a spider web. The head of the analysis is Tao, opening a short position at a certain resistance position, seeing a certain position and so on.
The third is a system trader with clear trading rules. When the trend appears to conform to his own trading rules, he enters the market, and when the trend conforms to his own stop-loss and profit-taking rules, he leaves.
You should be talking about the third kind of trader. In fact, this is an advanced trading profession. I wonder if this kind of trader is the best. Anyway, I am such a trader. I don't make any analysis or even prediction now. What about analyzing uncertain things?
Then the question comes again. Why do you want to make a deal if you are not sure? Because the market has a trend, this is the fundamental reason why the market can make a profit. The trend movement is regular, and it will naturally move in one direction along the trend line. We just need to design a rule to follow and leave when making a transaction.
So many people ask me what I think of the trend of a commodity today. I said I was sitting and watching. I was joking. I don't know. No one who knew me later asked me what I thought of the market, because I really didn't know.
Finally, add a sentence: I think the only certainty is that after the end of the shock trend, it must be an upward or downward trend.
Hello, I am a maker in the financial field. The best traders are those who have no opinions. Let me explain this sentence to you.
First of all, what is a trader? A trader is a person who is responsible for placing orders for stock trading in major institutions.
This kind of work is purely mechanical. Buy and sell. Can not act according to their own ideas, timely and strictly complete the instructions conveyed by superiors.
The best trader is the one who can finish the instructions conveyed by his superiors strictly and quickly in time, especially in the process of trading, and can't be disturbed by any noisy environment around him.
If these can be done well, then it is possible to be promoted to a trader. Traders are much more stressed and skilled than traders.
This sentence is simple and easy to understand, but it is the highest wisdom in the investment market, but it took me five years to understand it. I have been in the stock market for almost twenty years. This sentence has had a far-reaching impact on me, which has completely transformed me into a "system trader" without any prediction and subjective judgment, thus embarking on the "fast lane" of stable profit. System traders should have a clear trading rule, that is, enter the market when the trend conforms to their own trading rules, and leave when the trend conforms to their own stop-loss and profit-taking rules. This is the advanced stage of trading career. Before, during and after the market, we don't make any analysis or even forecast. What should I do if I thoroughly understand and analyze the uncertain things? We should follow the trend determined by the market, because the market has a trend, which is the fundamental reason why the market can make a profit. The trend movement has certain regularity, and it will move along the trend line to the direction of least resistance. System traders only need to design a rule to follow and leave.
This is a famous Wall Street saying: "A good trader is a trader who has no opinion. A truly successful trader does not presuppose which direction the stock market should go, that is, he does not make predictions, but lets the stock market tell him where the stock market will go. He just reacts to the stock market trend and doesn't need to try to prove his point of view is correct.
Prigozin, the Nobel Prize winner and the founder of dissipation theory, believes that the deterministic evolution of an unstable system with enough complexity can be equivalent to an unpredictable probability process, which is called Markov process. This statement is easy to understand. For a complex stock market that has never been stable, its deterministic evolution is an unpredictable probability process.
Therefore, traders don't have to explain the stock market, look for the reasons for the stock market's ups and downs, make long-term predictions about the stock market, and ruthlessly subvert our comfortable assumptions about how the world works. A failed trader may spend 99% of his time explaining the stock market, looking for motives and predicting the stock market. If you understand this sentence, you don't have to do these useless things. You have to spend a lot of time looking for the internal order or rules of the stock market. That is, you don't have to explain why the market used to be like this, and you don't have to predict what the future market will be like, but you must know what you should do now!
The best traders, because they know this, all their trades are based on trends. The trend is the most real. I am bullish, but the market is falling, which means I am wrong. I was bearish, but the market kept rising, so I was wrong. They respect the profit and loss of positions, and they will never go against the market. So in their transaction, you will never see that kind of desperate resistance because of unyielding.
Livermore once said: "The difference between gambling and investment is that the former bets on market fluctuations, while the latter waits for the inevitable ups and downs of the market. Gambling in the market will go bankrupt sooner or later. " The essence of trading system is that there is no point of view, that is, to overcome "greed and fear" in trading and execute trading according to established rules. "No point of view" is actually "believing in the system and following the trend".
Traders who express their market views every day simply don't understand this truth. Opinions don't matter at all. How to get in and out and how to deal with risks and benefits are the core competencies of the best traders. Only by doing this can we be called the best.
That's why we say: the best traders are those who have no opinions.
I remember going to Hangzhou to attend a meeting of the asset management industry one year. At that time, Xiao of Yong 'an delivered a keynote speech.
After the keynote speech session, there is a question session. Later, someone asked him: What do you think of the market outlook of XXX varieties? What kind of strategy will be adopted? Generally speaking, I won't remember this question, but Xiao Guoping's answer left a deep impression on me. He's smiling. And say:
How should I know? If it goes up, it will be more, and if it goes down, it will be empty.
The best traders are those who have no opinions. Because, he is deeply aware of a problem, the future trend, and never cares about your opinion. The future trend is not something you can predict in advance at all. If you can predict, it means that you can predict the future, you can predict the future, and you have become the richest man in the world.
If I had known the K-line one second earlier, I would have been sitting in the world. This sentence is no joke.
The best traders, because they know this, all their trades are based on trends. The trend is the most real. I am bullish, but the market is falling, which means I am wrong. I was bearish, but the market kept rising, so I was wrong. They respect the profit and loss of positions, and they will never go against the market. So in their transaction, you will never see that kind of desperate resistance because of unyielding.
Only by doing this can we be called the best.
Traders who publicize their opinions every day simply don't understand this truth. Opinions don't matter at all. How to do it and how to deal with risks and benefits are the core competencies of traders. That's why we say: the best traders are those who have no opinions.
That is, we have always emphasized "follow the trend" and "follow the trend" and so on.
"Husband and wife fly far with birds, and people are proud of their good quality", "just follow, not predict". These words are to follow the trend, follow the trend.
If a truly successful trader does not assume in advance which direction the stock market should go, that is, does not make predictions, but lets the stock market tell him where the stock market will go, he just responds to the stock market trend.
He doesn't have to try to prove his point of view is correct. Because if he does this, the result is often counterproductive, and the result of falling into his account is often a lot of losses.
As a professional trader and a successful trader, don't predict! Used for forecasting rendering of analysts, stock reviewers, researchers, etc. We need an attitude away from ghosts and gods. Where there is innocence, you need to be careful.
Because their analysis and judgment mode is like this: if this is the case, then the stock will rise; In that case, the stock will fall; If it is between this and that, then the stock may be sideways. In short, their mouths are left and right, and there can be no mistakes. However, when it comes to transactions and accounts, there is only one result, not so many ifs.
Therefore, if you want to succeed in the investment market, you always need to use reason to overcome nature to the maximum extent and destroy yourself! Eliminating those "ifs" is much more difficult than fighting others! Too many people like to make a prediction and express themselves in this market, which is a big taboo to make money.
In the stock market, it is much smarter to admit your ignorance than to think you are smart. As Munger said, "Admitting ignorance is the beginning of wisdom". The stock market is a place where you constantly get rid of yourself. All your ideas, all your Excellence, are worthless in the market. What you can do is to get rid of your own ideas, focus on the trend itself, listen to the voice of the market and let the market tell you how to operate. Instead of how you think the market will go, guide your behavior according to your own predictions. How to go to the market is right. All you can do is follow and obey.
Stop struggling and you stop living. In the rapidly changing market, we will always be students.
To succeed in the stock market, the core technology of this market is not how powerful it is to analyze and predict, but how strong it is to change with the market changes!