The number of college graduates will reach 1 1.58 million in 2023 next year! If the population born in 202 1 corresponds to17.02 million, then almost 68% of the population born in 202 1 will go to college! If we know that the proportion of college students of the same age exceeds 15%, it means that higher education has moved from elite education to universal education: as early as 2004, China realized that the proportion of college students of the same age exceeded15%; The current college students' age rate is over 70%! In the seventh census in 2020, the population with college education or above in China reached 2130,000, accounting for more than 15% of the national population! Then it also means that our country has realized the stage of universal university education from elite education to universal education! This is the end of the university population; It has been more than 20 years since 1999, and with the pressure of enrollment expansion of almost a generation, there are more and more college students today! There are always so few good jobs, which makes it more and more difficult for college students to find ideal jobs and their expectations are getting lower and lower. Then get a master's degree and a doctor's degree and get ready for the escalating competition!

At present, in 985,211Toutou School in China, almost all the students take the postgraduate entrance examination together! Every year, the proportion of graduates from Tsinghua Peking University has reached more than 90%! As a result, the academic qualifications of undergraduates, masters and doctoral students are becoming more and more serious. However, what we are facing is not only the surplus of college students, but also the increasingly serious problem of academic qualifications! At the birth end of the population, it is also facing the problem of fewer and fewer people going to school! At present, in China, from 2000 to 20 17, the population born in this age group is basically at a flat stage! But after 20 17 years, the annual birth population gradually decreased from 170,000 to 20210.62 million. It is estimated that the population born in 2022 will fall below100000, which should be around 9.35 million! So what does this mean? It means that the newly born population in these two years, even if they all go to college in the future, is not enough for today's university!

Now in the kindergarten stage, the number of students has been greatly reduced, and in the next two to eight years, primary schools will soon face the problem of insufficient students, and gradually postpone to junior high schools, high schools and universities! Even if it is to implement small class education. The compensation effect is also quite limited! Generally speaking, on the one hand, domestic college students are facing the problems of employment difficulties and academic transition. On the other hand, the birth population has dropped significantly! In recent years, I have also faced the problem of insufficient students in most schools!