1. At present, the dispute between China, the United States, Europe and Russia is the main pattern of the international situation, and the South China Sea issue should be considered under this pattern. The South China Sea issue is only the weight for the other three parties to contain China.
Second, the United States is the global hegemon. As weak countries, both China and Russia hope to change this situation and form a strategic interaction. Of course, strategic interaction is not alliance. In Romance of the Three Kingdoms, Lu Su asked Monroe before he died, who are our friends? Monroe said Liu Bei, Lu Su said, no, whoever is weak is our friend! Now it's the Romance of the Four Kingdoms. Both Europe and Russia understand this truth, but each has its own reasons.
Third, the US-led capital is military. First, petrodollars collect seigniorage. The latter is fundamental, but the existence of anti-American forces in the euro and the Middle East has shaken the status of petrodollars.
Fourth, now the core interests of the United States are in the Middle East, and China, Russia and Europe have joined hands with anti-American forces in the Middle East to engage in the United States, gradually weakening the United States.
5. The solution to the current crisis in the United States is to divide and rule the anti-American forces in the Middle East, such as China, Russia, Europe and Iran.
6. In The Romance of the Four Kingdoms, it is difficult for people who use each other and intrigue with each other (just pay attention to international news, don't elaborate), but it is difficult for China.
7. According to the current trend of the international situation, China has the best development, which is the last thing we need to change, as long as it is maintained, including the South China Sea issue. 10 and 20 years later, the problems of Taiwan Province Province, South China Sea, Diaoyu Island and Ryukyu can all be solved by strength. So we shouldn't worry.
8. The same is true of the South China Sea issue. As far as priorities are concerned, the South China Sea issue is very important, but it is not urgent. The importance of South China Sea to China lies in: 1, sovereignty. It won't take a while and a half to occupy our island. What's the hurry now? It's all small countries arguing with us. We just need to remain in a controversial state, and it will be better to solve it when we are stronger. 2. Oil. The South China Sea is full of deep-sea oil, and we are unable to develop it on a large scale at present, and we can't develop it now. 3. Strategic channels. The passage of the South China Sea, Malacca, Indian Ocean and Persian Gulf is too long, even if others control the South China Sea, they can cut off other links at any time; In addition, it is also an important channel for us to go to the Persian Gulf through Pakistan and Iran. This channel is not smooth, and the cost of calling the South China Sea is too high. Therefore, it is imperative to consolidate the back passage first, and then collect the South China Sea to avoid being blocked by others.
In short, in the Romance of the Four Kingdoms, the United States intensified the South China Sea issue in order to divert China's attention from the South China Sea and warn China not to make trouble in the Middle East, so as to concentrate on consolidating the core interests of the Middle East. Of course, it also involves the exchange of other interests of the four parties. On the contrary, we should unite with Russia, the European Union and Iran to strangle the United States in the Middle East, making it anxious and afraid to tamper with China's core interests.
Therefore, at present, neither China nor the United States has the will to fight a decisive battle in the South China Sea.