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China's economic take-off is extraordinary. It began to grow at an unimaginable speed about 40 years ago, and its scale is unprecedented in human history. It seems that it will continue in the next few decades. In addition, China is making great strides militarily, and the development of technology and capability enables it to project its strength.
China's absolute GDP is bound to catch up with the United States, but its innovation ability may never be comparable to that of the United States, because its culture does not encourage the free exchange and collision of ideas, rewards obedience and obedience, and greatly limits people's imagination and creativity.
"Maybe in five years, or 20 years, or 30 years, China will become the dominant force in the western Pacific", "By 2035, China's GDP will surpass that of the United States, and at the same time, it will have enough military strength to prevent the United States from monopolizing the western Pacific, which will be a great change".
Sino-US relations will be the most important bilateral relations in the world in 2 1 century. Peace and cooperation between these two giants will bring stability to the whole of Asia. Both sides have nuclear forces, and conflict is the least likely to happen. Moreover, there is no profound and irreconcilable ideological conflict between the United States and China, which enthusiastically embraces the free market.
Compared with the revival of China, the United States will enter a period of steady and slow development in the future. America's scientific and technological strength, entrepreneurial spirit and individualistic cultural advantages will keep the United States at a distance from the rest of the world, but this distance is constantly shortening.
America's greatest danger comes from a political right turn. The government should actively play the role of resource allocation and actively supervise and intervene in the economy and society. Of course, this kind of supervision and intervention is not to realize a transcendental ideology, let alone to intervene violently, but to ensure stability and order.
It is precisely because the leaders of the United States are weak in the face of public opinion, the government hesitates, does not dare to reform, promises the people wantonly, and does whatever it takes, which leads to the government being overwhelmed, the extreme individualism leads to cultural division, the inadequate supervision leads to the financial crisis, and the slow economic growth. These are all problems that the United States needs to face in the future. But, like China, these factors are unlikely to bring down the United States completely.
Even if China cannot replace the United States, a strong China will inevitably exert pressure on the rest of the world in its foreign relations. In Lee Kuan Yew's view, this pressure mainly lies in the China market. A market with a population of 65.438+0.3 billion is a place where many countries and multinational enterprises will develop in the future. Only by adjusting trade means can China achieve the goal of sanctioning and punishing other countries.
Therefore, in diplomacy, the United States should not be selective about China, which will bring misunderstanding to both sides. China should not treat the United States as an opponent, but should control the national sentiment at home. Cooperation is the only way out in the interests of both sides.