Secondly, China's army has a profound political and economic background in the South China Sea, not only for military strategic considerations.
Thirdly, considering from the tactical level alone,
1. The South China Sea is a continental shelf type sea area with a narrow width from north to south. China only occupies the northernmost part of the South China Sea, while Southeast Asian countries occupy the east, west and south coasts. And it has a large number of combat forces in the South China Sea (Vietnam alone has built airports on six islands and radar stations on 1 1 several islands). If our troops go deep into the South China Sea, they will be easily intercepted by coastal countries.
2. At the same time, because the South China Sea is more than 2,000 kilometers long from north to south, even if it is refueled in the air, it will take more than 2 hours for our fighters to reach Zengmu shoal in the South China Sea, which is enough for coastal countries to carry out more than 6 air strikes on our fleet! Moreover, pilots are tired of flying for two hours in a row, and the enemy air force is not good for our army.
3. In the final analysis, the quantity and quality of warships of China Navy are far from enough. There are only a few destroyers and frigates in the entire South China Sea Fleet. As we all know, the whole navy only has 18 large landing ship for island replenishment. If you occupy the South China Sea, you will face more than 100 islands, sandbars and reefs. It is a strategic taboo for our army to divide its troops and defend the island, and its logistics support is far away. On the contrary, Vietnam, the Philippines, Indonesia and other countries can attack nearby and crush our troops guarding the island less than 300 kilometers from their own territory.
Short-term combat is not a problem for us. It is not difficult for us to concentrate our forces to capture the Nansha Islands continuously (after all, the island is small, and the largest Taiping Island is only stationed with 1 tactical aircraft squadron), but it is difficult to defend after the capture. In addition, the military supply has been going on for many years, at least the resources exploited by China in the South China Sea are not enough to offset the impact of military expenditure on the national economy.
Fourthly, from the strategic analysis,
1, Southeast Asian countries are deeply wary of China in essence. This is caused by historical reasons. In order to control Southeast Asia, French, Dutch and British colonialists deliberately lured a large number of Chinese to "seek gold" in Southeast Asia, and then gave them certain economic support to ensure that Chinese controlled the local economic system, but they handed over political power to local aborigines and deliberately provoked conflicts between the two ethnic groups. Even today when ASEAN countries are independent, Southeast Asian countries are still very close to the West politically because of their economic dependence on the West, and regard China as a threat to them. From the Vietnamese exclusion from China in the 1970s to the Indonesian unrest in 1998, it is a direct manifestation of Southeast Asia's distrust of China.
2. The United States-led West bewitched and incited Southeast Asian countries, and at the same time exported advanced weapons and equipment to provide so-called "military cooperation" to induce ASEAN countries to confront China. However, China is still in the period of economic rise, and its comprehensive national strength is far less than that of the United States, so it cannot provide more military and political protection to Southeast Asia, but it has formed natural differences with ASEAN on the resources of the South China Sea.
3. The economic model of China, especially the southeast coast, is very similar to that of Southeast Asia. Therefore, China is actually the biggest economic competitor of ASEAN, while Southeast Asia, the United States and Western Europe are economically complementary. Therefore, ASEAN naturally doesn't want to see a powerful China grab its job.
4. The Malacca dilemma you mentioned is a problem, but it is not the only one, because there are not only a large number of China oil tankers on the oil route from the Persian Gulf to Shanghai, China, but also merchant ships from other countries flying various flags of convenience. Even if China's flag is banned from ASEAN, a large number of tankers flying the flag of third countries can still enter our port, and the oil circuit will not be greatly affected, but it will definitely increase to a certain extent.
5. At present, China has not solved the South China Sea issue. The internal core lies in the Taiwan Province Province issue and the East China Sea issue between China and Japan, which also involves a lot of energy. If these two strategic directions are eased, we will concentrate our efforts on the South China Sea, and the situation will not be like this. However, both Japan and Taiwan Province Province are not fuel-efficient lamps, and both have powerful fleets (don't underestimate Taiwan Province Province, Taiwan Province Province's navy is still very powerful tactically). If we don't get rid of them, we will solve the South China Sea problem, and they will definitely stab in the back.
In a word, the South China Sea is a dilemma, which should be considered in the context of China's coastal defense crisis. Korea-East China Sea-Taiwan Province Province-South China Sea is a chain dilemma. At present, while strengthening the construction of its own navy, it has been looking for a real breakthrough, which can break through this dilemma in one fell swoop.
Wish you success, my friend. Let's go