It is reported that the Global Coronavirus Pneumonia-19 epidemic forecasting system of Lanzhou University has used the epidemic data to predict the daily new cases in more than 180 countries, especially the epidemic trend in Brazil and India, which has aroused widespread concern from all walks of life.

Zhong Nanshan emphasized that the prediction of "Global Forecast System of COVID-19 Epidemic Situation" developed by the Center of Ecological Security in the West of Lanzhou is quite reliable. The center's prediction of the epidemic situation in Beijing last year was basically consistent with the subsequent epidemic development.

In response to the cluster epidemic in Beijing in June 2020, Zhong Nanshan said that the epidemic in Beijing was effectively controlled by taking effective measures such as strengthening nucleic acid detection and carefully tracking cases. The model of Lanzhou University predicts that if there is no intervention, Beijing will spread 200,000 people at about the same time. This is the result of our strong preventive and control measures.

Extended data:

The world's first global epidemic prediction system

On May 25th, 2020, the Collaborative Innovation Center established by the Western Ecological Security Department of Lanzhou University officially released the global coronavirus pneumonia-19 epidemic forecast system.

The system is the world's first global epidemic forecasting system, which aims to scientifically predict the development of epidemic situation and provide scientific basis for strategically judging epidemic situation and taking effective prevention and control measures.

In June 2020, Huang Jianping, head of the research team and director of the Collaborative Innovation Center of the Department of Ecological Security in the West of Lanzhou University, said in an interview that COVID-19 has strong transmission capacity at 5- 15℃. After the autumn and winter holidays, more and more areas in the northern hemisphere will enter the high-risk temperature zone conducive to the spread of the virus, and the forecast will appear from September to 1 1.

In addition, large-scale protests and demonstrations in the United States and many European countries are likely to push forward the second wave of epidemics in these areas.

Guangzhou Daily-Zhong Nanshan praised this university twice! The second global outbreak of the epidemic was predicted.