Current location - Education and Training Encyclopedia - Graduation thesis - On the influence of the development of China's military strength on the world strategic pattern
On the influence of the development of China's military strength on the world strategic pattern
With the rapid development of China's economic strength, in recent years, China has naturally improved its national defense strength. Especially since China publicly released the new national defense white paper on June 20, 2009, articles about China's national defense strength have been published in newspapers. Although there is a big gap in the ranking of China's national defense strength in the world for different national strategic purposes, among them, there is concern about the rapid improvement of China's national defense strength. Although many sober international military observers are also surprised by the development speed of China's national defense strength, they generally affirm China's peaceful purpose and think that the development of China's military strength will hardly pose a threat to its Asian neighbors, thus judging that even if China develops at this speed for more than ten years, it will not catch up with the world's superpower, the US military. Because of this, many observers support the continuous improvement of China's military strength. In this way, China and Russia, both second-rate countries in the world, will form some kind of strategic containment to the US troops who do whatever they want in the world. Then, according to the data disclosed by China and the analysis of foreign "experts", what is the position of China's military strength in the world?

First of all, according to the military data and reports published by China, China's military strength should be in the middle and upper reaches of the world, which is about 5- 10. Why do you say that? To be fair, the United States and Russia are in an all-round leading position in all aspects. This gap is particularly large and comprehensive, and it can't be caught up in ten or eight years. Some people say that China is likely to surpass the Russian soon, but I think this is just a family opinion. Even though we can surpass Russia in quantity or quality in some equipment, our military strength also includes a comprehensive theory of military operations. Although China has made an unprecedented breakthrough in the construction of military theory in recent years, this gap cannot be achieved overnight! Therefore, despite the changes in the international and domestic situation, the United States and Russia still have comprehensive military advantages ahead of China for many years, and China's military strength can never be compared with it in the short term.

Then there are other world powers besides the United States and Russia, such as France, Britain, Japan and India. France and Britain are both permanent members of the UN Security Council and world economic powers, but neither of them is a "big country" in the world, so they have almost no strategic defense depth. Therefore, both countries attach great importance to the construction of their naval and air forces, which is also the reason why these two countries strive to develop sea-based and space-based strategic nuclear forces. Although China's military services have developed rapidly in recent years, especially the new technologies and equipment of the navy and air force have made great progress, it is still not as good as Britain and France, the world's established powers. As the world's veteran naval powers, Britain and France not only have the almost zero carrier formation of the China Navy and its ocean-going combat theory, but also have a nuclear-powered submarine fleet far stronger than that of the China Navy. More importantly, these two countries have rich naval ocean navigation capabilities and operational theories, which China's navy seems to be incomparable in the short term. So to some extent, Britain and France are better than China, but because these two countries are far away from us, our only army advantage is almost negligible.

As our close neighbor, Japan's comprehensive combat capability is far stronger than ours, whether it is the navy or the air force. The four "October 9" fleets of the Japanese Navy are all the latest surface ships. If we add the latest "Sunward" class helicopter carrier and its carrier-based aircraft formation, the improved Aegis destroyer with ballistic missile interception capability, and the most advanced submarine with the shortest average service time of the Japanese navy, it is still difficult to shake the maritime superiority of the Japanese navy in the Western Pacific. The Japanese Air Force has dominated the skies in Northeast Asia for a long time, and its third-generation fighters, such as F- 15J/DJ and F-2, are earlier than China and South Korea, and their training and operational application levels are certainly more mature. Although the number of third-generation fighters of China Air Force has increased dramatically in recent years, the Japanese Air Force, which has no worries, can fully cope with emergencies, while the China Air Force cannot. Similarly, as a multiplier of war capability, the Japanese Air Force has the strongest airborne early warning aircraft group in Asia, airborne electronic warfare capability, aerial tanker group to be put into use soon, and huge aviation anti-submarine aircraft group. However, the Chinese Army and the Second Artillery Corps, which are relatively dominant, are difficult to reflect because of their distance from Japan and the distance from the ship.

India, also a neighbor of Asia, is a developing country, but it is a country that believes in military strength extremely. Although India's gross national product (GNP) and per capita GDP are far behind China's, the scale and quantity of India's military purchases are not much worse than China's. Moreover, due to India's special international status, its sources of military purchases are relatively diversified, and its technical level is better than that of China. India can not only get all kinds of weapons and equipment with higher technical level than China from Russia, but also buy new weapons and equipment from EU countries, Israel, the United States and other countries. Although the vast majority of weapons can't be copied by India itself, and the diversity of sources may not really be beneficial, this South Asian weapon, the United Nations, is a collection of all kinds of advanced weapons in the world, and it also has the aircraft carrier that China dreams of. In weapons technology, the Indian navy and air force seem to be superior to China, and the missile nuclear weapons specifically aimed at China are also "sufficient" for strategic deterrence. Although China's army, which is at the advanced level in the world, is powerful, it has to fight in the cold tropical jungle of South Asia, which also invisibly reduces the combat capability of China's army. In a sense, except for strategic nuclear weapons, China is almost equal to Indian in other combat capabilities.

From the analysis of foreign countries, the Japanese Asahi Shimbun said on the 22nd that "China's white paper on national defense shows that China's military spending has maintained double-digit growth for 20 consecutive years, which is an amazing record". Even in 2 1, the Japanese "Tokyo News" thinks that China's military strength has already ranked second in the world. In fact, the Japanese say this not only because Japan wants to build momentum for its reckless military development, but also because the so-called "China has the second largest military power in the world" is only based on a simple comparison of the number of weapons. As we all know, although China ranks among the top in the world in terms of weapons and equipment, most of them are old weapons and equipment whose technical level cannot be compared with that of advanced countries. Even if China has advanced weapons, it can't compare with Japanese and other countries in quantity. This is like China's GDP. Although the growth rate ranks first in the world, due to the low base, the annual growth rate is basically the same as the annual growth rate of about 3% in the United States.

Last year, some American media suggested that China's military strength should rank third after the United States and Russia. At the same time, however, in the latest ranking of world military power in 2008 published by Jane's Defense Weekly, China ranked fourth. However, the RAND Corporation later submitted a report to the US Department of Defense, saying that China's military strength is the eighth in the world. Rand Company believes that the informatization level of the Army determines the outcome of information warfare, while the informatization level of the PLA ranks only 24th in the world, far less than that of most developed countries. "Due to China's lack of actual ocean-going combat capability, considering other factors such as missiles, nuclear weapons and nuclear submarines, China's military strength barely ranks eighth in the world".

These so-called ranking analyses all think that in recent years, China's military spending has increased substantially, the number of foreign advanced weapons purchased is also high, and China's army has paid more and more attention to information technology capacity building, all of which have invisibly enhanced the international ranking of China's national defense strength. However, many analyses are just figures or superficial articles, which may not be consistent with the actual situation of China's national defense construction. Although China released a new white paper on national defense construction in time to illustrate these situations, there are still many foreign institutions or news media speculating about it. Or the above report of Jane's Defense Weekly 2 1 is more pertinent: "It will take at least 2020 for China to realize the dual development of mechanization and informatization". The informationization and systematization of weapons and equipment system can play a multiplier role in improving the combat effectiveness of the army. In this regard, the advantages of western countries' military are particularly obvious. Although the People's Liberation Army is currently equipped with some advanced equipment, the assessment of the US military believes that compared with the global detection network, communication network and battle network, "the information construction of the People's Liberation Army has a gap of nearly 30 years with the US military, and the gap with other developed countries is also more than 10 years". We think this analysis is more in line with the current reality, but they obviously underestimate the determination and potential of the modernization development of the China People's Liberation Army, and also despise the rich connotation of the "leap-forward development" proposed by the people of China. With the progress of China in high-performance computers, military intelligence information network, military data link, microelectronics technology and various application satellites, especially Beidou navigation satellite, the informatization construction of China People's Liberation Army is entering a leap-forward development stage. A large number of new weapons and equipment, a large number of professionals who master the latest scientific and technological knowledge, a large number of military theories facing the future information-based conditions, and a scientific and technological environment that can enable talents to give full play. And paved the way for the progress of China's national defense strength. We can even expect that the modernization and informatization construction of the People's Liberation Army in China is unstoppable, and the People's Liberation Army in China can achieve leap-forward development as soon as possible, but this development process is based on peace! The people of China support it, just as the people of China want peace.

Although the above analysis of the ranking of the world's and China's military strength is just an armchair strategist, it is not comparable strictly, because the war can not be won by a single weapon or a single incident, and only actual combat can reflect the strength of each country, which is also in line with the actual ranking. But we can still learn some interesting comparisons. No matter what the status of China's national defense strength is, no matter how foreigners confuse people, China's national defense strength will continue to develop according to the idea of adapting to China's national conditions, that is to say, the China People's Liberation Army is destined to become the backbone of defending world peace! We fully believe that the China People's Liberation Army can defend the people's happiness and development achievements. We have no doubt about it.