First of all, we should realize that, as a hypothesis, we can't distinguish such problems. In a sense, just like Prince Li (Prince), Prince Yong (Old Four) and Prince Lian (Old Eight), who can better inherit the prosperity of Kangxi, it is simply unclear.
Li is the eldest son of Li Yuan and the founding monarch of the Tang Dynasty. There are many slanderous words against Li in Two Books of the Tang Dynasty and A Mirror of Learning from the Same Resources, and Li is deliberately vilified in film and television works, which makes it impossible for people to have an objective evaluation of this outstanding historical figure in the early Tang Dynasty. In fact, it is not difficult to have an objective and fair understanding of Li's merits and demerits by reading two historical documents of the Tang Dynasty, Zi Jian and A Record of the Entrepreneurship and Personal Life of Tang People.
Li Changzi, the second son of Li Yuan and Tai Mu, was born in the eighth year of Emperor Wendi of Sui Dynasty (588) and died in the Xuanwumen Revolution in the eighth year of Wude (626) at the age of 38.
He was an outstanding historical figure born in the background of drastic changes in the late Sui Dynasty and early Tang Dynasty, and also an outstanding politician and strategist in the early Tang Dynasty.
In Li Yuan's strategic actions to pacify Chang 'an, pacify the Three Qin Dynasties and unify the whole country, Li played a far more important historical role.
Later, when dealing with internal affairs as a prince, he showed outstanding political talent.
He is not only old, but also the real eldest brother among Tang Gaozu philosophers in literary talent and military strategy.
On the other hand, we know that it is Li's prince, and besides his talent as a famous minister, he also has an important identity, that is, Li's connection with Kanto Hero Group. Therefore, it is no accident that Xu Maogong and Qin did not support the change of Xuanwu Gate.
To sum up, if we lose the Xuanwumen Revolution, the fate of the Tang Empire will probably run in a more stable and smooth mechanism, and it is also a high probability that Li will become a generation of emperors.
Twelve years later, in order to win over the warriors of the old army? Γ? Ba ba ba ba/p >
Due to improper handling, Crown Prince Li kept pace with peace, and the contradiction between them was difficult to reconcile. In do or die, the two sides will have a showdown sooner or later.
The "June 4th" Xuanwu Gate Change was initiated by Li Shimin. After careful planning, the odds are very good. There is a moment in the whole plan that is the most dangerous, difficult to grasp and prone to problems, that is, the sneak attack on Li and Li Yuanji.
In fact, there is something wrong with this link, which is quite thrilling. Lee was shot dead, Li Yuanji was shot dead, and he fell in the bushes, was caught by Li Yuanji, tried to fight hard with him, and was immediately killed by the army.
For Lee and Li Yuanji, the brief moment at the beginning of the attack was their only chance. If you can't escape quickly, or even kill Li Shimin in turn, you will be completely caught up in the pace of Li Shimin and have no chance of winning.
Before it is too late, let's assume.
If you miss in the sneak attack, and are escaped by Li and Li Yuanji, or even killed by them, then the army of Orient House and Qi will unite to defeat the army, and Li Shimin will be ruined and become a sinner through the ages.
Or, suppose one of Li and Li Yuanji escaped and joined forces with his father to deal with it, and the palace and even the whole Chang 'an fell into a scuffle. Tang Gaozu announced Li Shimin's rebellion, and Li Shimin withdrew from Chang 'an with his cronies and went to Luoyang, which will be hit hard, and it is not optimistic in the long run.
No matter what happens, in a big way, it will not change the dominant position of the Li and Tang Dynasties. It is still one of his sons who will inherit Li Yuan in the future. However, the political and military systems of the Tang Dynasty followed the Sui system. No matter whether Li and Li are sitting in the position of emperor, the land of the Tang Dynasty empire will not be shaken, and the overall framework of national politics, military affairs and economy will not be greatly changed.
In the book Political History of Tang Dynasty, Mr. Chen Yinque pointed out that neither Li nor Li Yuanji are idle people, and they are "by no means cowards and incompetent". Li himself is very clever. At that time, Tang Gaozu set out for Taiyuan, and he and Li Shimin each took an army and performed well. Li Yuanji is also famous for his bravery.
Li Shimin, Emperor Taizong, praised the so-called "rule of chastity", which made the whole country stable, peaceful and powerful. The emergence of the rule of Zhenguan has its historical inevitability. After the death of Tang Xing in Sui Dynasty, social contradictions were greatly alleviated. After a long period of war, people's hearts were fixed. According to the book of the Old Tang Dynasty, during the Zhenguan period, the etiquette who assisted in governing the country was "good, Du Ruhui, and the king?" The genus is to assist the femur, and the gentleman is a loyal minister. "
Among them, and Wang? He used to be an important confidant of Crown Prince Li. Broad-minded, able to forget the past, reuse Li and other important staff to help him achieve prosperity. It can be assumed that if Li succeeds in the change of Xuanwu Gate and finally sits on the throne of the emperor, he will definitely reuse his cronies such as Fang, Du Ruhui and even others.
In this way, the Tang Dynasty will still have a prosperous time, with different names and different times, but it will definitely come. The important position of the Tang Dynasty in the history of China will not change.
Of course, there will be some changes in the details of the fate of the Tang Empire. There would be no Tang Gaozong and Emperor Xuanzong of the Tang Dynasty, and naturally there would be no rebellion between Wu Zetian and An Shi, let alone Yang Guifei's 3,000-year-old revenge. History will be less dramatic, or there will be a more wonderful deductive process.
Of course, all this belongs to the novelist's imagination.
Li Shimin became the emperor in history, and his performance goes without saying. He must be among the five emperors in ancient times. What kind of person is Li? In fact, it can be said that he is both civil and military, but I think he is very comfortable with the Tang Dynasty after Zhenguan and very uncomfortable with the Tang Dynasty after Wude. In the early years of Zhenguan, the Tang Dynasty suffered from internal troubles and foreign invasion, and Bashu riots in the south of the Yangtze River made northern Xinjiang prosperous. Politically, the aristocratic gate is monopolized, economically, everything is in ruins. Faced with such a dilemma, we can be sure that Li Shimin can handle it well, because he did. But Li is open to question, at least I think his probability of doing better is much lower. First of all, it is a question whether we can control the founding generals. Personally, I think that in fact, in the change of Xuanwu Gate, the two brothers won. People always like to attribute their success or failure to accidents. Some people say that Li is ungrateful and refuses to listen. In fact, isn't it inevitable behind a series of accidents?
Qin Gong and the East Palace are both counselors like clouds and warriors like rain. What they have done must be discussed and considered repeatedly. Why does it always happen by accident? Besides, we didn't know the situation at that time. How can we know whether Li's decision is wrong? Maybe if you don't do this, you have already lost. So now that Li Shimin has won the political struggle, do we have more reasons to believe that his emperor did better than Cheng Jian and that the Tang Dynasty would be better? Although not necessarily related, it can involve probability. Generally speaking, if Li is a wise monarch, then he is a sage; Built as a saint, the people are emperors through the ages. If it was built in Wude Dynasty, would there be a prosperous Tang Dynasty with Zhenguan rule as the starting point? I don't know. What we know now is that Li Shimin initiated the rule of Zhenguan and was the founder of the prosperous Tang Dynasty. His name is well-known at home and abroad, and his achievements will last forever. He was one of the greatest emperors in ancient China.
If nothing else, if Li Shimin lost the change of Xuanwu Gate, there would be no rule of Zhenguan to open peace for the Datang Empire, and there would be no future reign of Wu Zetian to lay a prosperous time for Datang. Datang decided not to be famous for porcelain at home and abroad, and there was no clear reward and punishment system and no gorgeous poems. Compare Li He's way of dealing with people, and then look at the future of the Tang Dynasty.
Before starting an army, Li Feng was ordered by his father to recruit talents in Hedong. Later, Li went to Taiyuan to help start an army, led an army to attack Xihe, take Huoyi, refuse Tongguan and conquer Chang 'an. After the establishment of the Tang Dynasty, he was appointed as the Crown Prince to assist Li Yuan in handling political affairs. Li led the army to repel the Turkish invasion many times and smashed the collusion with the Turks in one fell swoop.
Liuheita
, pacify Shandong.
Li Shimin joined the army as a teenager and went to Yanmenguan to rescue Yang Di. After the establishment of the Tang Dynasty, Li Shimin, the official residence of Shang Shuling, was the general of the right army, and was later named Qin Gong and King of Qin. He led his troops to pacify Xue, Liu Wuzhou, Dou Jiande and Wang, and made great contributions to the establishment and unification of the Tang Dynasty.
If Li Shimin lost the change of Xuanwu Gate, the Tang Dynasty might be short-lived, and it might only be the second dynasty. As far as personal ability is concerned, the three brothers Li, Li Yuan and Li Yuan each have their own advantages and disadvantages. Li and Li Yuan have certain abilities in politics and military affairs, but they are better than Li and Li Yuan in politics and military affairs. If Li and Li Yuanhe were killed in the change of Xuanwu Gate, all the generals and talents would be completely wiped out (it would be hard to say if Li didn't kill Li Yuanhe), which weakened the Tang Empire. The south has not been pacified. If Turks kill Chang 'an, I'm afraid neither Li nor Tang gaozu can stop it. It is still unknown whether there will be the Tang Dynasty. If Li Shimin fled back to Luoyang, it would split things and lead to civil war. This is the bad luck of the Tang Dynasty and may be replaced by other dynasties. Therefore, the success of the Xuanwu Gate in Li Shimin was the luck of the Tang Dynasty. Only a powerful emperor can achieve great achievements. Li might have been a good emperor if he hadn't been an emperor in an era of internal troubles and foreign invasion. The environment in the early Tang Dynasty was not suitable for Li.