At the beginning of the new year, people are generally concerned about forecasting the domestic situation and paying close attention to the changing trend of the international situation. From the perspective of economic experts, the author helps you point out three major points of view of the international situation in 2008: First, the cold war situation is on the rise again. This year coincides with the presidential election of the United States and Russia, and the presidents of the two countries are competing to express their views, creating international friction and diverting domestic attention. US President Bush has always been a hawkish representative. 9. After11,he has been planning to launch the war on terrorism, and there is no end in sight. The war between Iraq and Afghanistan has been in a stalemate, and recently there was a maritime ship crisis with Iran. Under the leadership of Putin, Russia has adhered to independent development and strengthened its national strength. It is stepping up its efforts to throw out the "new military doctrine", and will invest 654.38+08.9 billion US dollars to comprehensively transform and upgrade its armed forces system in 2007-20 15, so as to reunite its former dream of becoming a powerful country. Russian long-range strategic bombers and aircraft carriers have recently resumed global combat duty. People exclaim that today, nearly 20 years after the end of the world cold war pattern, there is a trend of re-emergence, and the world seems to have added some unstable factors. It requires a shift from the hegemonic strategy of great powers to the mediation mechanism of international multilateralism to ensure world peace. Second, the "economic war" among countries for strategic resources and capital markets has intensified. Since the beginning of this year, countries have competed for strategic resources around the three strategic commanding heights of space, polar regions and oceans. The United States continues to seek space hegemony, announcing that it will realize the huge plan of manned landing on Mars in 20031year. Subsequently, Japanese, German, Indian, Russian, China and other countries also competed to implement the lunar exploration and landing plan, and a new round of space race began. Space competition, which is the competition of scientific and technological strength on the surface and the competition of strategic resources behind, has become a new trend of world competition in 2 1 century. Third, the world economic growth has slowed down and a new pattern has emerged in the economic development of several big countries. First, the continued depreciation of the dollar is equivalent to sending inflation from the United States to all countries in the world, and the international monetary system centered on the dollar is facing major adjustments. Second, the spread of the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States has dragged down the economic growth of the United States and the world. Its impact is estimated to be seen in the trough in June this year. Third, after the international oil price broke through $0/00 per barrel at the beginning of the year, it has been hovering at a high point. The international energy situation is more severe, and the energy war between countries will gradually escalate, which will further enhance the restless atmosphere in the world. Fourth, the growth of the world's original three major economies (the United States, the European Union, and Japan) is weak, at around 1.5-2.3% respectively. The emerging BRIC countries (China, Indian, Russian and Brazil) will grow strongly, with growth rates of 1 1-5% respectively. The contribution rate of the four countries to world economic growth will exceed 50%. China should comprehensively and accurately analyze and grasp the basic pattern and trend of the international situation, seize the opportunity, take the initiative to deal with it, seek advantages and avoid disadvantages, and win greater development of the domestic economy.