Many places have proposed to maintain the stable and healthy development of the real estate market.
The central government has long been discussing the real estate market policy in 2020. 20 19 12 10 to 12 Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing. The meeting pointed out that it is necessary to increase the housing security for people in urban difficulties, strengthen urban renewal and existing housing transformation, do a good job in the transformation of old urban communities, and vigorously develop rental housing. It is necessary to adhere to the positioning that houses are used for living, not for speculation, and fully implement the long-term management and regulation mechanism of stabilizing land prices and housing prices due to urban policies to promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market.
Zhang Dawei, chief analyst of Zhongyuan Real Estate, once analyzed the client of Sino-Singapore Jingwei, saying that this has been the position of "staying and not speculating" made clear by the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years, which indicates that the real estate regulation and control will remain in the previous state.
According to the incomplete statistics of Sino-Singapore Jingwei client, two local conferences have been held one after another, and the government work reports of Beijing, Shanghai, Tianjin, Jilin, Hebei, Henan, Shanxi, Gansu, Xinjiang, Chongqing, Guangxi, Anhui, Zhejiang, Fujian, Guangdong, etc. 10 have all mentioned the real estate market policies.
It is found that maintaining or promoting the stable and healthy development of the real estate market frequently appears in the work reports of local governments. The work report of the Beijing Municipal Government pointed out that this year Beijing should maintain the stable and healthy development of the real estate market, adhere to the principle of "housing and not speculating", and further improve the long-term management and regulation mechanism; The work report of Shanghai municipal government puts forward that the house should be used for living, not for speculation, and strive to stabilize land price, house price and expectation, so as to promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market; Hebei province pointed out that promoting the stable and healthy development of the real estate market.
According to the work report of Jilin provincial government, the orientation of "houses are used for living, not for speculation" should be adhered to, and the main responsibility of cities should be implemented to promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market. Zhejiang Province indicated that it will promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market, strengthen the regulation of the real estate market, develop the housing leasing industry and improve the housing security system.
Yan Yuejin, research director of the think tank center of Yiju Research Institute, told Zhongxin Jingwei client that maintaining or promoting the stable and healthy development of the real estate market is a long-term formulation, which has been reiterated in various places this year, in line with expectations.
Wang Xiaoyu, an analyst looking for a house in Zhuge, said that the local two associations proposed to maintain or promote the stable and healthy development of the real estate market, and implemented the tone of the central government to maintain the stability of the real estate market, indicating that local real estate policies will not be greatly relaxed this year.
Property market regulation avoids "one size fits all"
It is also found that at this year's local two sessions, many provincial government work reports did not mention the property market regulation policy.
Zhang Dawei analyzed the client of Sino-Singapore Jingwei, saying that after the regulation in recent years, the time for the rapid rise of house prices has passed, and it is normal for the government work report to reduce some statements on the regulation of the property market. At present, the real estate market emphasizes "stability" and will not let house prices rise or fall sharply, because the city policy will be gradually implemented.
Wang Xiaotong told the client of Sino-Singapore Jingwei that the premise of "making policy for the city" is the steady development of the local urban real estate market. If some cities show strong signs of speculation or housing prices rise rapidly, such cities will still introduce tightening policies. Because the city's policy will continue to deepen, it is mainly the regulation of key areas, which is no longer a "one size fits all" policy in the country.
As far as Beijing is concerned, the work report of the Beijing Municipal Government points out that 600 hectares of commercial residential land will be put into storage this year, and 45,000 sets of various policy houses will be built. According to the data previously released by the Beijing Municipal Commission of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, in 2065, 438+086 sets of policy rental housing were built, 66,763 sets of policy property housing were built, and 80,262 sets of policy housing were completed and accepted, respectively, 100% and165438.
Zhang Dawei believes that although the actual scale of land entering the market remains to be seen, compared with before, the scale of 600 hectares is not large, which is related to the obvious regulation effect and the high inventory in the Beijing market. He also said that at present, the inventory of new commercial housing in Beijing has reached 80,000 sets, a record high for several years. Even if there is no land supply this year, the market will not fluctuate too much.
The transformation of old residential areas has become a new bright spot this year.
This year, all localities continued to promote the transformation of shanty towns, and some provinces also put forward specific transformation goals.
According to the work report of Jilin provincial government, this year, the shanty towns10.8 million sets will be rebuilt, and the problem of overdue resettlement of1.10 million sheds will be solved. Anhui Province proposed that the renovation of shanty towns will be basically completed this year1530,000 sets; Tianjin said that it will promote the transformation of scattered shanty towns in urban areas in an orderly manner and do a good job in the renovation of dangerous houses for people in rural areas; Shanxi said that 53,000 sets of housing renovation in shanty towns have been basically completed, and efforts have been made to solve the housing security problem of people with difficulties in cities and do a good job in "dynamic security" of dangerous houses in rural areas; Guangxi said that it will continue to promote the transformation of shanty towns.
"The 13th Five-Year Plan of China clearly states that by 2020, the renovation of existing urban shanty towns, villages in cities and dangerous houses will be basically completed. Judging from the current situation, most of the tasks of shed reform have been completed, and the rest will be vigorously promoted in 2020. It is expected that the new shed reform programs in various places will be weakened. " Wang Xiaoyu said.
In the past two years, some new situations in the housing rental market have attracted attention. Rent increase, rent loan and long-term rental of apartments occasionally occur in some first-and second-tier cities. Therefore, some insiders suggest that relevant departments continue to regulate the housing rental market.
The work report of Beijing municipal government points out that it is necessary to further standardize the transformation of non-residential rental housing and stabilize the order of the housing rental market; The work report of Zhejiang provincial government puts forward the development of housing leasing industry; Guangxi said that it will promote the construction of rental housing; Shanxi province said that it will vigorously develop the housing rental market; Tianjin said that it will promote the standardized development of public rental housing and actively explore the development of shared property housing.
Yan Yuejin analyzed that both the central and local governments pay more attention to the rental market, and may continue to exert their efforts in housing management, rent control and cracking down on "above and below" behavior in the future.
Wang Xiaoming said that the rental market in China is at the initial stage of development, and rectifying market chaos in various places is an important measure to promote the steady development of the rental market. It is expected that the stability of the rental market will be strengthened this year.
This year, in the government work reports of many provinces, there are plans to renovate old urban communities and install elevators, which has also become one of the highlights of local government work reports. According to the work report of Beijing Municipal Government, comprehensive renovation of old residential areas will be vigorously promoted this year, and 80 new projects will be realized. More than 400 elevators have been installed in the old building, and more than 200 elevators have been completed so far. The work report of the Henan provincial government said that the transformation and upgrading of old urban communities should be implemented; Hebei province said that it will implement a three-year action plan for the renovation of urban villages and old communities; Anhui province said that more than 700 old urban areas will be rebuilt this year.
Poor living environment and lack of elevators in old residential areas have become important factors affecting market transactions and maintaining and increasing the value of houses. Yan Yuejin analyzed that installing elevators will increase the value of the property. The higher the floor, the more profits and the corresponding increase in rental income. But for the whole floor, the noise will increase, which may also affect the lighting, and the low-rise residents will have resistance.
However, Wang Xiaoyu said that due to the long housing age, there is limited room for upgrading the value of old residential areas. At the same time, although the installation of elevators can improve the living environment, it will take a long time to popularize the installation of elevators because of the different opinions of residents, cost sharing and difficult construction.
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