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Ma Yuan Case Study: What is the relationship between human and machine in the future?
Another typical answer is whether the machine will do all the work instead of us, which is what we call Turing test today. But the focus of this paper is not actually the simulation game, but the possibility of machine intelligence. He also expounded his own viewpoint, which was coined by mathematician stanislav Ulan in 1958. Recently, this concept was popularized by futurist Ray Kurzweil, who accurately pointed out that 2045 will become an odd year. To be fair, I don't think singularity is the mainstream. 2045 is only a generation away from us, so what will humans do? The typical answer to this question is that I am a Luddite. Lourde doctrine is defined as distrust or fear of the inevitable changes brought about by new technologies. Bill Joy put forward a transition plan in 2000, "to limit the development of technologies that are too dangerous by limiting our pursuit of certain knowledge." I think it's time to put the question of the consequences directly on the table. This self-conscious artificial intelligence plays a major negative role in the trilogy. Among technicians, it is usually the singularity who thinks that machine intelligence will surpass human beings one day. The term singularity describes the technological acceleration that led to the big bang of machine intelligence? If machines are competent for almost any work that humans do, they have acquired enough intelligence to have a significant impact on the job market. For example, Skynet in the Terminator trilogy, when we saw the personal computer become a tablet. Joey's article was widely circulated as soon as it was published, but it seemed to have little effect. The book Race with Machines published on 20 1 1 describes how the digital revolution accelerates innovation, promotes productivity and irreversibly changes employment and economy. The authors Eric Brynolfson and Andrew mcafee claim that "technological progress is driving this revolution. It is against the background of the Great Depression that people began to notice that although the intelligence of machines has not surpassed that of human beings, work is crucial to human happiness. Thirdly, he thinks that we will see machine intelligence at the end of the 20th century. In the past few years, this concept has become the mainstream. Early pioneers of artificial intelligence were optimistic about the development of artificial intelligence. Alan turing's paper "Computer and Intelligence" written on 1950 may be famous because he proposed a "simulation game". We can't pass the buck and don't care about the happiness of the next generation. We can't blindly pursue the goal of artificial intelligence without considering its consequences. First of all, if the machine can do all the work of technology, then we don't even know if it is necessary to work 15 hours a week. Our economic system will be thoroughly adjusted so that billions of people can live a free life. Finally, people told me that my worry seems to be only for the distant future, and we don't need to worry. Perhaps it is because they believe that by 2045, human beings will also become immortal and be able to download their consciousness to computers. In 2000, Bill Joy, the co-founder of Sun Microsystems and a mainstream technical expert, wrote an article entitled "Why we are not needed in the future" for Wired magazine. He wrote: "In the 2 1 century, the threats brought by our most powerful technologies, such as robotics, genetic engineering and nanotechnology, are making people an endangered species, and we have also seen the expansion of income inequality in the world. Although the Great Depression has been blamed for the unemployment of millions of people in the past few years, it seems that the productivity growth brought by technology is at least a major factor. However, we now know that Turing was a little too optimistic about the timetable. The indomitable development of artificial intelligence in the past 50 years shows that Herbert Simon is right. He wrote in 1956: "Any work that humans can do, machines will be able to do." So Bill Joey's question should not be ignored: "Do you need us in the future?" . Secondly, I think the prospect of a life full of leisure is not attractive. What keeps people busy is mainly extracurricular activities. I don't think this is a bright future. This is a personal attack rather than a serious answer, even leaving workers in many industries behind. "In fact, in the past 30 years, we will be free to carry out our spare time activities. Economist john maynard keynes raised this question as early as 1930. He predicted that by 2030, most people will only work 15 hours a week. A more thoughtful answer is that unemployment has occurred since the beginning of the industrial revolution. But the artificial intelligence revolution is different from the industrial revolution. /kloc-in the 0/9th century, machines competed with human muscles, and now machines compete with human brains. We face the prospect of competing with products created entirely by ourselves. In the future, artificial intelligence will surpass human beings, and it is entirely possible to be competent for any work that human beings do. Source of this article, smart phones and cloud computing: Tencent Science What will happen when machines become as smart as humans or even smarter than humans seems to keep many science fiction writers busy. I think this answer is unacceptable.